tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-63220160370223843382024-03-27T17:20:55.074-07:00Burl's Weather PageMehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.comBlogger1112125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-57462477437759303512024-03-27T17:20:00.000-07:002024-03-27T17:20:04.158-07:00Another AI weather forecast site.<p><a href="https://earth.atmo.ai/precipitation@35.69614,-95.22827,2.89,0,0,1711756800,9.00" target="_blank"> https://earth.atmo.ai/precipitation@35.69614,-95.22827,2.89,0,0,1711756800,9.00</a></p><p><br /></p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-68871858250716827852024-03-27T17:10:00.000-07:002024-03-27T17:10:21.076-07:00Eclipse weather for April 8th?<p>Since Monday, the GFS have been consistently forecasting rain on every run. And the new Artificial Intelligence forecast agrees with it.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgAlMOe8MLGGCW7ejBF3X6_atWfXLBCsel8cl3HonQ_ShymwJoGvctMDRTKVjQtAoxPWuyC20F1YojVQ8RsJnZHdmK_DWWH3L1gbX2I74bCjuC_XMTHZvM_4barwa5pNzgyDWcy-YqlMK3MkVfWro2wpcbK7ofmGiBpafdBV2OBaVLHMEhHOC5SIfO3D8c/s1277/Screenshot%202024-03-27%20200736.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="853" data-original-width="1277" height="428" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgAlMOe8MLGGCW7ejBF3X6_atWfXLBCsel8cl3HonQ_ShymwJoGvctMDRTKVjQtAoxPWuyC20F1YojVQ8RsJnZHdmK_DWWH3L1gbX2I74bCjuC_XMTHZvM_4barwa5pNzgyDWcy-YqlMK3MkVfWro2wpcbK7ofmGiBpafdBV2OBaVLHMEhHOC5SIfO3D8c/w640-h428/Screenshot%202024-03-27%20200736.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhK34eImUJAZ0YOPb2fl68XKJhbbPi9aJUlKXearJZsRsn-h72eYAwAujpVVdN7S2hUGQkvXJn2wqCETglSSRT6o16xvDyoaGHnPzuT47nEG6oG1Ptaauk1jhUBCTnnX19UO5e5HMvl00i44ee9wkv45n3dz_YT4gMF5VygKS33nHKF-Mm8GbbL_Xbu104/s1253/Screenshot%202024-03-27%20200819.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="795" data-original-width="1253" height="406" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhK34eImUJAZ0YOPb2fl68XKJhbbPi9aJUlKXearJZsRsn-h72eYAwAujpVVdN7S2hUGQkvXJn2wqCETglSSRT6o16xvDyoaGHnPzuT47nEG6oG1Ptaauk1jhUBCTnnX19UO5e5HMvl00i44ee9wkv45n3dz_YT4gMF5VygKS33nHKF-Mm8GbbL_Xbu104/w640-h406/Screenshot%202024-03-27%20200819.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p><br /></p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-63063435816715073802024-03-14T11:27:00.000-07:002024-03-14T11:35:00.425-07:00@2:00pm there are reports of a tornado in Madison Indiana<p>The radar signal is definitely there!</p><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjE8JMuxsMR1i9QBDiue8C8axTnpgw-aw_T22ejrjbfkAXi-25fv7IzhF3tue96pibSlFhRfmLmJUucK74W1i6V6zxe2Cbfh4ovsTJoqFdlKXukfqEUViJPPe6V_EpW-kxpcNnFhh1YRXxcSzugt6GqoB11GdDLITxgS7wk-Uzc1lVemO_wZa0wnFWeShk/s1443/Screenshot%202024-03-14%20at%202.24.40%E2%80%AFPM.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="620" data-original-width="1443" height="274" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjE8JMuxsMR1i9QBDiue8C8axTnpgw-aw_T22ejrjbfkAXi-25fv7IzhF3tue96pibSlFhRfmLmJUucK74W1i6V6zxe2Cbfh4ovsTJoqFdlKXukfqEUViJPPe6V_EpW-kxpcNnFhh1YRXxcSzugt6GqoB11GdDLITxgS7wk-Uzc1lVemO_wZa0wnFWeShk/w640-h274/Screenshot%202024-03-14%20at%202.24.40%E2%80%AFPM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjXBn3n1FlcDY8I9zH5q0dbORK_VsGSwG_nrLF5TNyNbl0VhdaTAam606_1xdLV4mcRuzwkMUcERs1UxSGm7Um2YKAm4l-CjmUzm_V2Ja-cIcH0Z8s-M1dUbEtQEY6bNPZbaV8rBRg5GeAqJylTU7NJB5tgkfou8mK-qIvpKZqV1Tg0kpYIKeYalZG2flQ/s1901/Screenshot%202024-03-14%20at%202.32.52%E2%80%AFPM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="830" data-original-width="1901" height="280" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjXBn3n1FlcDY8I9zH5q0dbORK_VsGSwG_nrLF5TNyNbl0VhdaTAam606_1xdLV4mcRuzwkMUcERs1UxSGm7Um2YKAm4l-CjmUzm_V2Ja-cIcH0Z8s-M1dUbEtQEY6bNPZbaV8rBRg5GeAqJylTU7NJB5tgkfou8mK-qIvpKZqV1Tg0kpYIKeYalZG2flQ/w640-h280/Screenshot%202024-03-14%20at%202.32.52%E2%80%AFPM.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><p></p><h3 style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif, Verdana, Geneva; margin: 0px; text-align: center;">Tornado Warning</h3><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><hr style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif, Verdana, Geneva; font-size: 12.496px; width: 650px;" /><pre style="font-size: 14px; padding-left: 20px;">Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
220 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024
INC155-KYC041-141830-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-240314T1830Z/
Switzerland IN-Carroll KY-
220 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN SWITZERLAND AND CARROLL COUNTIES...
At 220 PM EDT, a radar confirmed tornado was located near
Carrollton, moving east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.
SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. Radar shows tornado debris in the
air.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.
Locations impacted include...
Carrollton, Vevay, Ghent, Sanders, Worthville, Prestonville,
Braytown, Interstate 71 at Mile Marker 52, Interstate 71 at State
Route 227, Langstaff, English, Eagle Station, Easterday, General
Butler State Park, and Carson.
This includes I-71 in Kentucky between mile markers 43 and 53.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.
To report severe weather, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 3879 8520 3877 8501 3876 8502 3865 8494
3865 8497 3863 8499 3863 8501 3861 8503
3861 8506 3864 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1820Z 283DEG 38KT 3870 8517
TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
$$
Hatzos</pre><hr style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif, Verdana, Geneva; font-size: 12.496px; width: 650px;" /><pre style="font-size: 14px; padding-left: 20px;">Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
221 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024
INC077-141831-
/O.EXP.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240314T1830Z/
Jefferson IN-
221 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024
...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 230 PM EDT...
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Louisville.
LAT...LON 3869 8520 3870 8522 3873 8525 3875 8525
3875 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1821Z 267DEG 39KT 3871 8517
</pre><div><br /></div></div><p> </p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-2730021315119390002024-03-12T11:35:00.000-07:002024-03-12T11:35:57.062-07:00I bet you think winter is over don't you?The flowers and trees are blooming in Bloomington. Is that why this place is called Bloomington? Oh well, enjoy the nice weather on Kirkwood this week. Changes are coming!<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifouP2fmAtz6wrMcI_5SpMT_JS-U8Tmx11S110uvBKu5M7TcYYcMGRPvq5wmHG8Sr_FSpQmMQwJZpmottDTZU_PE2FmgCkDkhppGoNEW2fD8_ogRo2kFElcIsnUq2rKR4-5DCi9q1fOmbW5jk9Z8ZkcrWJcsYisD27MMgs2I7_TbGX8xaWEuP00XVoI1Q/s2016/IMG_8294.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2016" data-original-width="1512" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifouP2fmAtz6wrMcI_5SpMT_JS-U8Tmx11S110uvBKu5M7TcYYcMGRPvq5wmHG8Sr_FSpQmMQwJZpmottDTZU_PE2FmgCkDkhppGoNEW2fD8_ogRo2kFElcIsnUq2rKR4-5DCi9q1fOmbW5jk9Z8ZkcrWJcsYisD27MMgs2I7_TbGX8xaWEuP00XVoI1Q/w480-h640/IMG_8294.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCgVufPyffyZXdundk-ruzDcrDGit_zJnJE7FT-PhXBbByWyEs6Jl4uJqJEU6NIrN09n6uMYmFeHdPBQcpv2FgsxhIvbnUNAWRBqsPAzs4hluOqg-Y0RD8viVWrgWLq7JsBp_u7seOAQdPvsHEctBjetcSWnVHIVB7NQYvSRFWpTJydT1OoD9ZAW9ZX-4/s2016/IMG_8297.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2016" data-original-width="1512" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCgVufPyffyZXdundk-ruzDcrDGit_zJnJE7FT-PhXBbByWyEs6Jl4uJqJEU6NIrN09n6uMYmFeHdPBQcpv2FgsxhIvbnUNAWRBqsPAzs4hluOqg-Y0RD8viVWrgWLq7JsBp_u7seOAQdPvsHEctBjetcSWnVHIVB7NQYvSRFWpTJydT1OoD9ZAW9ZX-4/w480-h640/IMG_8297.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibKZorD21XF8VHMD5LCJyBDv3EB2cc0D68c_v6AtSvfip-TVfmq_8DFLjmbCcu4Spdn3j-pI0MjxvtWE0ShESJITAawar_pthGiAUjzSDD1jvw2-SpNrAwmFMJM00P8NO6jKJKSracu19l7TDDWV7cAnmwwV0mFOYHiw1ny28endGOGB9i9lz8HmJOl2s/s2016/IMG_8299.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2016" data-original-width="1512" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibKZorD21XF8VHMD5LCJyBDv3EB2cc0D68c_v6AtSvfip-TVfmq_8DFLjmbCcu4Spdn3j-pI0MjxvtWE0ShESJITAawar_pthGiAUjzSDD1jvw2-SpNrAwmFMJM00P8NO6jKJKSracu19l7TDDWV7cAnmwwV0mFOYHiw1ny28endGOGB9i9lz8HmJOl2s/w480-h640/IMG_8299.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">GFS Forecast for 3/18</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgiZeltsTWrFz4uyEEL13TN_E8i8CV1Li68MaNWPC5RvsyU6DZVvP9SknzOt-IvUCl5mvWUVYBZ-os70jqOlRC2JPeX2xhssaxC2JzCcpilNo32REAnAiWhha2VFqHkQENaom0GpckOktzDvOE-Hh2Qz5VWTN7PNvCPgHErZPYDzrgnY4coLULFqTt60K0/s1016/318.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="725" data-original-width="1016" height="456" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgiZeltsTWrFz4uyEEL13TN_E8i8CV1Li68MaNWPC5RvsyU6DZVvP9SknzOt-IvUCl5mvWUVYBZ-os70jqOlRC2JPeX2xhssaxC2JzCcpilNo32REAnAiWhha2VFqHkQENaom0GpckOktzDvOE-Hh2Qz5VWTN7PNvCPgHErZPYDzrgnY4coLULFqTt60K0/w640-h456/318.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">GFS Forecast for 3/27</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj7JN7Mbc6FnXzXkUT26ZzpweH-sYeYK1Z_vloDL9J0HM8lDfJ6PkVl8oCO4uMQMxVVGz5oa0UshC6xBA1ME8txZEYsqXBEgJ2-lWjGK4JmYburtb318EotkYXaH2jvDUxi5XUWPvrU9t4hUm4CGj8G_HS7W34VqvvExZG5203BS_dZzUacxiwuOVTiIu8/s1020/327.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="727" data-original-width="1020" height="456" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj7JN7Mbc6FnXzXkUT26ZzpweH-sYeYK1Z_vloDL9J0HM8lDfJ6PkVl8oCO4uMQMxVVGz5oa0UshC6xBA1ME8txZEYsqXBEgJ2-lWjGK4JmYburtb318EotkYXaH2jvDUxi5XUWPvrU9t4hUm4CGj8G_HS7W34VqvvExZG5203BS_dZzUacxiwuOVTiIu8/w640-h456/327.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">In the picture above, that snow showing up in Tennessee, Alabama and Georgia is possible but unlikely. I think it will end up being right over Indiana.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Here is what the National Weather Service is saying about long range forecast:</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><pre class="glossaryProduct" style="background-color: white; font-size: 12px;">.LONG TERM (Wednesday through Monday)...
Issued at 254 AM EDT Tue Mar 12 2024
Wednesday into Thursday Night...
A weakening upper short wave will move into the area Wednesday. Deep
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> will be lacking. Thus, any showers that survive into
central Indiana Wednesday morning should weaken or dissipate
completely. Will have some <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=slight%20chance" style="font-weight: bold;">slight chance</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=PoPs" style="font-weight: bold;">PoPs</a> during the morning,
but will go dry in the afternoon with the lack of any forcing.
Wednesday night into Thursday morning, a warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> will move
northeast through the area. A <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=low%20level%20jet" style="font-weight: bold;">low level jet</a> will bring <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> and
forcing along with the warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a>. Thus, will go with <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=likely" style="font-weight: bold;">likely</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=PoPs" style="font-weight: bold;">PoPs</a>
over much of the area later Wednesday night and <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=likely" style="font-weight: bold;">likely</a> or higher
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=PoPs" style="font-weight: bold;">PoPs</a> all areas Thursday morning.
Questions then arise for additional forcing Thursday afternoon
before a <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=low%20pressure%20system" style="font-weight: bold;">low pressure system</a> brings widespread forcing Thursday
night. Some models indicate upper energy moving through Thursday
afternoon, sparking off some showers and storms. Others keep best
chances for rain near the warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> across northern Indiana. With
the uncertainty, will not deviate much from blended guidance`s low
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=likely" style="font-weight: bold;">likely</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=PoPs" style="font-weight: bold;">PoPs</a> north (closer to the warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a>) and chance <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=PoPs" style="font-weight: bold;">PoPs</a> south.
Will go <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=likely" style="font-weight: bold;">likely</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=PoPs" style="font-weight: bold;">PoPs</a> Thursday night as the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=low%20pressure%20system" style="font-weight: bold;">low pressure system</a>
interacts with plentiful <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> and a continued <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=low%20level%20jet" style="font-weight: bold;">low level jet</a>.
If the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=atmosphere" style="font-weight: bold;">atmosphere</a> can recover from Thursday morning`s <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=rainfall" style="font-weight: bold;">rainfall</a>,
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=instability" style="font-weight: bold;">instability</a> and <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=shear" style="font-weight: bold;">shear</a> will be high enough for a conditional severe
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=thunderstorm" style="font-weight: bold;">thunderstorm</a> threat later Thursday afternoon into Thursday night.
Uncertainty remains high though given impacts from morning rain as
well as potential interference from stronger <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=convection" style="font-weight: bold;">convection</a> to the south
and west of central Indiana.
Warm air will remain across central Indiana with highs in the 60s to
lower 70s and lows in the 50s.
Friday and Saturday...
A cold <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> will move through on Friday, but best <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> will be
east of the area. Will keep some lower <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=PoPs" style="font-weight: bold;">PoPs</a> around, mainly Friday
morning. Friday night and Saturday, the area will be in between
systems and dry.
Saturday night and beyond...
An upper <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=trough" style="font-weight: bold;">trough</a> will approach the area through Sunday and then move
in for Monday. Ahead of it, a cold <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> will move through on
Saturday night. <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">Moisture</a> will be mainly tied up to the south with a
southern system, Will go dry most areas through Sunday.
As cold air aloft moves in with the upper <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=trough" style="font-weight: bold;">trough</a> on Monday, a few
snow/rain showers will be possible.
Temperatures will fall to below <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=normal" style="font-weight: bold;">normal</a> on Monday, with highs only in
the lower to middle 40s. Monday night`s lows will be in the 20s.
Models are hinting at the cold temperatures may not last as long as
previously thought, with <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=zonal%20flow" style="font-weight: bold;">zonal flow</a> potentially returning by Thursday
the 21st.
</pre><div><br /></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /><div><br /></div></div></div>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-84043049914601113682024-03-01T14:33:00.000-08:002024-03-01T14:33:09.796-08:00Happy first day of spring!Meteorological Spring that is. Astronomical Spring starts on March 20, 2024. And yes, there is still a chance to get more snow this month.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0KCh1o-xTntLhFRmMriKdtfYrn554KCOAx1r3ecVv34ZFEPruh_4zlPcKDDcrhbtrtoCuDt2NIiTBAlfSpOY8V5WTWpxnC510rtgpv-cs1EgF262fsijdwzNAKfZpqF5F7gd8FEaKbNaZsdxl1mpwEkrvdMs99t48ID3iQzJvBC-O7uKXy3k-9ms-25Q/s1298/Screenshot%202024-03-01%20at%205.28.06%E2%80%AFPM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="823" data-original-width="1298" height="406" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0KCh1o-xTntLhFRmMriKdtfYrn554KCOAx1r3ecVv34ZFEPruh_4zlPcKDDcrhbtrtoCuDt2NIiTBAlfSpOY8V5WTWpxnC510rtgpv-cs1EgF262fsijdwzNAKfZpqF5F7gd8FEaKbNaZsdxl1mpwEkrvdMs99t48ID3iQzJvBC-O7uKXy3k-9ms-25Q/w640-h406/Screenshot%202024-03-01%20at%205.28.06%E2%80%AFPM.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div></div>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-77386931700487539052024-02-28T12:02:00.000-08:002024-02-28T12:02:59.480-08:00The NWS is asking for storm reports.<p>The storms are over! There was a lot of wind and rain here in Bloomington. My weather radio went off multiple times last night. I hope everyone is okay.</p><p>There might have been a<a href="https://www.foxweather.com/watch/play-6f9c35c20000254" target="_blank"> tornado in Gary, Indiana</a></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgALIV6tIRFgMKa5gLNYsgBg7N6-6OBt2aMwCt93tj5eGMb6W1J9V3tgTQbIUXrek8mq21MbfoSFiBPscHbTQ7JAW0B44ln-xxFm-6S_iiQPOvqAcG7JpXMwflvG0XHQLHZcupxE9M6gGw63Po3GTxuiPd88VB3Ceo6Y9mzB7H_hx7P2wKPZN9uKwf_P3E/s1536/Tab1FileL.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="864" data-original-width="1536" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgALIV6tIRFgMKa5gLNYsgBg7N6-6OBt2aMwCt93tj5eGMb6W1J9V3tgTQbIUXrek8mq21MbfoSFiBPscHbTQ7JAW0B44ln-xxFm-6S_iiQPOvqAcG7JpXMwflvG0XHQLHZcupxE9M6gGw63Po3GTxuiPd88VB3Ceo6Y9mzB7H_hx7P2wKPZN9uKwf_P3E/w640-h360/Tab1FileL.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p><br /></p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-43302740647097322882024-02-27T11:56:00.000-08:002024-02-27T11:56:10.436-08:00Rain, hail, strong storms, tornadoes and snow tonight. <p>It looks like we'll have everything thrown at us except the kitchen sink tonight (unless you live in Bedford). If you haven't heard, this is our first round of severe weather and spring has not officially started yet. See the bottom portion of this post for what the National Weather Service in Indianapolis is saying. Keep reading to see what I think.</p><p>I think a cold front is moving in and it is attached to the northern polar jet. The southern tropical jetstream continues to bring in warm air from the south. It looks like they will collide over southern Indiana and Kentucky tonight between 7pm and 3am. Tornadoes are possible. In fact, I saw a sounding that has a tornado right over Bedford, Indiana. The coordinates in the sounding <a href="https://www.google.com/maps/place/38%C2%B052'12.0%22N+86%C2%B031'48.0%22W/@38.8721927,-86.5126193,13z/data=!4m4!3m3!8m2!3d38.87!4d-86.53?entry=ttu" target="_blank">are here</a>.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgw6fayPSypnFxE4fwW40lzJPKzfocHbJjUJjQXSKHzw2yVXDvJUo7PcGSgyry81DJfYhJ0FxCdp3G4vtzyFsMSbpEkqr6Qat3RXzlj8EKpWkhMCwuOWMCeJJP8xpbb61idCaFSBxjZe_uMpDNXVCw0AymrNzt706ATa7DO1Quk7gFYysKU7_XODSaLIMs/s1180/hrrr_2024022700_030_38.85--86.53.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="800" data-original-width="1180" height="434" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgw6fayPSypnFxE4fwW40lzJPKzfocHbJjUJjQXSKHzw2yVXDvJUo7PcGSgyry81DJfYhJ0FxCdp3G4vtzyFsMSbpEkqr6Qat3RXzlj8EKpWkhMCwuOWMCeJJP8xpbb61idCaFSBxjZe_uMpDNXVCw0AymrNzt706ATa7DO1Quk7gFYysKU7_XODSaLIMs/w640-h434/hrrr_2024022700_030_38.85--86.53.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Here is a good visual representation of the colliding air masses.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjEy8_D_NY4OPQK8xO2K56UW6rwUHNFfHz667C4kjuWp7URF5s6LpT3zzyBFhm0PimEltbfP4Oa66cmu1vH64k8k6B851WukLAODvBoZyIFi5FgHQ7_8LfuuXU_UUr_Po6qGZxFuP0J0Il4X-ofsIdxiMCQSwMMmtzpxHgx1kmJkB-eBJvHKYGTJDX4jPk/s887/Today.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="621" data-original-width="887" height="448" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjEy8_D_NY4OPQK8xO2K56UW6rwUHNFfHz667C4kjuWp7URF5s6LpT3zzyBFhm0PimEltbfP4Oa66cmu1vH64k8k6B851WukLAODvBoZyIFi5FgHQ7_8LfuuXU_UUr_Po6qGZxFuP0J0Il4X-ofsIdxiMCQSwMMmtzpxHgx1kmJkB-eBJvHKYGTJDX4jPk/w640-h448/Today.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">And then it looks like we get to experience this again around March 5, 2024.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjAsPRV1gbf63cSxXmtY9Bfn7mjktlhMpTP4DAkJsicAEVExmIOSN3Lj5VRQIVBmyvVeL5Xoy7Eq8YiTmLgzZJXha1QRijAvxVDd6ZVodtFviCvKSxRNysCohqV4KGhCJS3fQ6Bz2jASpIHul8RXGwxOpfqdbOdXMuKd2zfb7JqrCgEminLJET_5QWeNGY/s889/March%205.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="593" data-original-width="889" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjAsPRV1gbf63cSxXmtY9Bfn7mjktlhMpTP4DAkJsicAEVExmIOSN3Lj5VRQIVBmyvVeL5Xoy7Eq8YiTmLgzZJXha1QRijAvxVDd6ZVodtFviCvKSxRNysCohqV4KGhCJS3fQ6Bz2jASpIHul8RXGwxOpfqdbOdXMuKd2zfb7JqrCgEminLJET_5QWeNGY/w640-h426/March%205.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">If you think winter is over, think again. Check out this CFS forecast for March 29, 2024</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCp-SkU7m7fjBLCqYVbJ0jAMGrmKk-avtu50JUcYyqJTzuuKHrHOLRXG-HmBlWomFLtcYeQwKeaehlRAgcmb4fWcHNtjnLRbJha7dgmyZptWqeHipYYOs3S08TNrgWkrPU56z6pyvYEZNU7tfdmi4NthgB1h2TDE00QegjkuBMHusGcj4S_0D_-Wf7dxc/s892/March%2029.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="647" data-original-width="892" height="464" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCp-SkU7m7fjBLCqYVbJ0jAMGrmKk-avtu50JUcYyqJTzuuKHrHOLRXG-HmBlWomFLtcYeQwKeaehlRAgcmb4fWcHNtjnLRbJha7dgmyZptWqeHipYYOs3S08TNrgWkrPU56z6pyvYEZNU7tfdmi4NthgB1h2TDE00QegjkuBMHusGcj4S_0D_-Wf7dxc/w640-h464/March%2029.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">So here is what the NWS is saying:</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCHa3WelfW_jK2Pey7qJXSSN0WpxttgHZjWN4moAXEcVpeQXQIQ5cO_ts8YquMCOm3SMtX-1YZ_PqOwiAwcve0jWEzbvyDhUJwVK_Fat_RPq8kLIQMFRlnNcPBfeUDRMCgr41DaYaCsLKRmASp0xZxfV0ymALjMhqrchKAfnmjAkG0Vyi96EQwivfERmg/s1163/Screenshot%202024-02-27%20105445.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="556" data-original-width="1163" height="306" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCHa3WelfW_jK2Pey7qJXSSN0WpxttgHZjWN4moAXEcVpeQXQIQ5cO_ts8YquMCOm3SMtX-1YZ_PqOwiAwcve0jWEzbvyDhUJwVK_Fat_RPq8kLIQMFRlnNcPBfeUDRMCgr41DaYaCsLKRmASp0xZxfV0ymALjMhqrchKAfnmjAkG0Vyi96EQwivfERmg/w640-h306/Screenshot%202024-02-27%20105445.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhTrSFYzkQCDa-gfAHnsaa-2-ihGwypsgbpPf7nkeuTUW2JE-ubJqo3swkGU0s-9tZ7v4yTCBEsq2JZuSnxK7PliqNHsXbe0iqMJo6FoqQq2tfY3BRq7c7_89PnSdnLPhhxq5cUzICHbU1gPHOkPQtGIErjuchbfvMEx1-8TxX7NN-Q9uSK6zZCjC8qcuU/s1536/NWS%20Severe.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="864" data-original-width="1536" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhTrSFYzkQCDa-gfAHnsaa-2-ihGwypsgbpPf7nkeuTUW2JE-ubJqo3swkGU0s-9tZ7v4yTCBEsq2JZuSnxK7PliqNHsXbe0iqMJo6FoqQq2tfY3BRq7c7_89PnSdnLPhhxq5cUzICHbU1gPHOkPQtGIErjuchbfvMEx1-8TxX7NN-Q9uSK6zZCjC8qcuU/w640-h360/NWS%20Severe.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><pre class="glossaryProduct" style="background-color: white; font-size: 12px;"><a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Area%20Forecast%20Discussion" style="font-weight: bold;">Area Forecast Discussion</a>
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1142 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024
.Key Messages...
- Record High Temperatures possible today
- Strong to possibly severe weather this evening and overnight
- Gusty winds this evening and overnight
- Cold <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> arrives early Wed with brief shot of light snow
- Warm temps return for the weekend
&&
.Forecast Update...
Issued at 956 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024
Conditions are evolving as expected so far this morning following
pre-<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=dawn" style="font-weight: bold;">dawn</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=convection" style="font-weight: bold;">convection</a> along the Ohio Valley and a few small showers
passing west to east around the Spencer/Bloomington areas over the
past couple hours. 993 <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=mb" style="font-weight: bold;">mb</a> surface low pressure currently positioned
near the Twin Cities will drag its trailing surface <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=trough" style="font-weight: bold;">trough</a>/
pronounced cold <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> east across the Middle Missouri Valley today
and into northwestern Illinois by 00z this evening.
Central Indiana will continue to bask in the system`s <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=warm%20sector" style="font-weight: bold;">warm sector</a>,
with today`s record high of 73F in jeopardy...and surpassing today`s
record high maximum of 51F from 1876 <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=likely" style="font-weight: bold;">likely</a> a slam dunk through
midnight tonight. Considerable cloudiness and anomalously high
dewpoints now in the 55-60F range over the entire state will both
inhibit the stronger warming rates seen yesterday...yet suspect
continued <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=WAA" style="font-weight: bold;">WAA</a> amid southerly gusts approaching 25-30 mph by early
evening will boost readings to 70-75F by late day across the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=CWA" style="font-weight: bold;">CWA</a>.
All convective parameters are exhibiting a potent severe potential
across the region, with very high vertical wind <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=shear" style="font-weight: bold;">shear</a> over both 0-6
km and lower levels, impressive 700-500mb lapse rates, and more than
adequate <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=instability" style="font-weight: bold;">instability</a> that should be blossoming through afternoon
hours, especially north and west of the Indy <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Metro" style="font-weight: bold;">Metro</a>...albeit mostly
elevated through daytime hours. Very latest guidance continues to
delay convective initiation until this evening with a perhaps subtle
yet key <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=inversion" style="font-weight: bold;">inversion</a> lingering within the 750-850 <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=mb" style="font-weight: bold;">mb</a> layer. Widely
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=scattered" style="font-weight: bold;">scattered</a> showers cannot be ruled out at times through the daytime
hours but suspect organized <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=thunderstorm" style="font-weight: bold;">thunderstorm</a> activity to hold off until
overnight hours...following removal of <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=inversion" style="font-weight: bold;">inversion</a> aloft ahead of
approaching frontal zone. We will continue to <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=watch" style="font-weight: bold;">watch</a> and update this
dynamic situation throughout the day and tonight.
&&
.Short Term...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 256 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024
Early this morning...
Impressive <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> feed across the Ohio Valley, with several
locations early this morning seeing dewpoints rise from the upper
30s to near 50 degrees. A <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=meso" style="font-weight: bold;">meso</a>-sector for satellite data has been
setup over a portion of the Ohio Valley/Mid-Mississippi valley and
is depicting a feed of water vapor east lifting northeast across the
region. Aircraft soundings indicate the deeper <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> is still
elevated at 600mb and above with a dry layer beneath this until the
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=inversion" style="font-weight: bold;">inversion</a> around 850mb. Low clouds were initially <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=progged" style="font-weight: bold;">progged</a> to be
expanding northeast across the area have been sluggish to expand in
coverage, but latest surface <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=obs" style="font-weight: bold;">obs</a> indicate several locations <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=upstream" style="font-weight: bold;">upstream</a>
are beginning to see this development of a <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=stratus" style="font-weight: bold;">stratus</a> deck. Winds in
the near <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=sfc" style="font-weight: bold;">sfc</a> layer or 0-1km show southerly <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=flow" style="font-weight: bold;">flow</a> rather uniform with
very subtle deviation in the direction, and speed it also uniform
between 10-15kts and gusts 15-20kts during pre-<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=dawn" style="font-weight: bold;">dawn</a> hours. Some
elevated <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=reflectivity" style="font-weight: bold;">reflectivity</a> was showing up throughout Central Indiana
extending west into Illinois, but this coverage is minimal and not
reaching the ground at this moment. At 7Z the 925-850mb <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a>
transport footprint has grown with the highest values over
Arkansas/Western KY/TN. This places the best <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=gradient" style="font-weight: bold;">gradient</a> over Northeast
Missouri where <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=reflectivity" style="font-weight: bold;">reflectivity</a> has been expanding along the better
vertical momentum. Current wind fields would suggest <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=propagation" style="font-weight: bold;">propagation</a> to
this area of precip would slowly slide northeast, but as eluded too
earlier about aircraft soundings showing a dry wedge it may only
moisten partially this layer later this morning.
Midday... The big challenge for the afternoon will be how warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=sfc" style="font-weight: bold;">sfc</a>
temps can become as the sensible layer sees a <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=surge" style="font-weight: bold;">surge</a> in increase
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a>. Which should slow the rate of warmth, shallow <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=cloud%20layer" style="font-weight: bold;">cloud layer</a>
will also play a pivotal role in max temps. But given the delay in
precip development and the continued warm air <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=advection" style="font-weight: bold;">advection</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=progged" style="font-weight: bold;">progged</a>, we
should easily push temps back into the low 70s especially with temps
pre-<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=dawn" style="font-weight: bold;">dawn</a> starting in the low.
Main concern for this afternoon into the evening will be focused
with convective development. Looking at the setup a robust 300mb <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=jet" style="font-weight: bold;">jet</a>
streak is <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=progged" style="font-weight: bold;">progged</a> to be positioned to the southwest of Central IN,
placing the area within the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=exit%20region" style="font-weight: bold;">exit region</a>. This typically favors
diffluent <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=flow" style="font-weight: bold;">flow</a> aloft, and thus in the lowest layers presence of
upward motion. The limiting factors with the afternoon setup are the
fact that Central IN may not be seeing the stronger <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=sfc" style="font-weight: bold;">sfc</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=convergence" style="font-weight: bold;">convergence</a>
due to more uniform wind fields from the south. A 7Z aircraft
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=sounding" style="font-weight: bold;">sounding</a> indicates the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=inversion" style="font-weight: bold;">inversion</a> developing above the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=mixed%20layer" style="font-weight: bold;">mixed layer</a>,
which guidance is now indicating will linger through much of the
day. So despite an <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=EML" style="font-weight: bold;">EML</a> and favorable lapse rates of 7.5 to 8 <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=C" style="font-weight: bold;">C</a>/km
this afternoon, should this warn nose aloft remain for much of the
day the convective footprint and upscale growth could be minimal.
Should the shallow layers warm enough to erode the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=inversion" style="font-weight: bold;">inversion</a> then
considerable <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=MLCAPE" style="font-weight: bold;">MLCAPE</a> in excess of 1500J/kg and effective <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=shear" style="font-weight: bold;">shear</a> within
the 0-6km layer over 45kts would set the stage coupled with the
aforementioned <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=upper%20level" style="font-weight: bold;">upper level</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=jet" style="font-weight: bold;">jet</a> to see robust upscale growth to
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=convection" style="font-weight: bold;">convection</a> by late afternoon leading to damaging wind/large <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=hail" style="font-weight: bold;">hail</a> and
even a <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=tornado" style="font-weight: bold;">tornado</a>. While the forecast is slightly more complicated, the
potential remains for severe weather and thus the entire area
remains in a <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=slight%20risk" style="font-weight: bold;">slight risk</a> for today.
The <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=upper%20level" style="font-weight: bold;">upper level</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=jet" style="font-weight: bold;">jet</a> appears to drift further north, <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=likely" style="font-weight: bold;">likely</a> a result
of the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=downstream" style="font-weight: bold;">downstream</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=height" style="font-weight: bold;">height</a> rises helping to slow the forward
progression to the approaching mid-<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=lvl" style="font-weight: bold;">lvl</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=trough" style="font-weight: bold;">trough</a>. This will help to
further sharpen the frontal boundary that will be approaching from
the west late in the overnight hours. <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Sfc" style="font-weight: bold;">Sfc</a> low will be zipping north
into lower Michigan as the trailing cold frontal boundary will be
stretching southwest through East Central IL by 6Z Wed. There
remains some uncertainty tonight with how <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=convection" style="font-weight: bold;">convection</a> evolves as
guidance has backed off on the convective footprint. Still some
guidance indicates perhaps more linear segments develop. The
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=atmosphere" style="font-weight: bold;">atmosphere</a> will still be conducive to seeing severe storms with the
potential for slightly backed <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=sfc" style="font-weight: bold;">sfc</a> winds aiding in the 0-1km <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=helicity" style="font-weight: bold;">helicity</a>
fields, which would support a risk for <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=isolated" style="font-weight: bold;">isolated</a> rotating updrafts
from the linear segment of <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=convection" style="font-weight: bold;">convection</a> pre-frontal passage. This
focus would be along and east of Vincennes to Indy line.
&&
.Long Term...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 256 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024
Wednesday and Wednesday night...
The long term will start off with temperatures taking a nose dive in
the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=wake" style="font-weight: bold;">wake</a> of a strong cold <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> that models agree will be from
around in between Toledo and Cleveland to just east of Cincinnati at
12z Wednesday. This will put a temporary exclamative kibosh on the
near record temperatures we experienced yesterday and will once
again today. To illustrate how fast temperatures will fall during
the day Wednesday, model 850 <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=millibar" style="font-weight: bold;">millibar</a> temperatures at 06z Wednesday
have a <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=ridge" style="font-weight: bold;">ridge</a> of 13 to 15 degree <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=C" style="font-weight: bold;">C</a> temperatures over central Indiana
and by 18z Wednesday, 850 <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=millibar" style="font-weight: bold;">millibar</a> temperatures are -11 degrees <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=C" style="font-weight: bold;">C</a>
over southeastern sections and -14 degrees <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=C" style="font-weight: bold;">C</a> over northwestern
sections. In addition, with the upper <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=trough" style="font-weight: bold;">trough</a> still the west and
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> slow to move out, the lingering showers will quickly mix
with and change to snow before it moves southeast out of central
Indiana by 18z. With deep <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> and lift through the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Dendritic" style="font-weight: bold;">Dendritic</a>
Growth Zone, a quick dusting of snow is possible over mainly grassy
areas as the ground will start off well above freezing from the two
prior abnormally warm days. High confidence with this setup that
high temperatures will be right at 12z with temperatures falling
through the 30s and 20s during the day. In addition, tight surface
pressure <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=gradient" style="font-weight: bold;">gradient</a> in the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=wake" style="font-weight: bold;">wake</a> of the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> will result in windy
conditions with northwest winds gusting to 40 mph. This will make it
feel like even more of a shock to the system as Wind Chills drop
into the teens during the evening.
Thursday through Friday night...
A surface high will move across central Indiana Thursday. As it
moves east of the area, during the afternoon, temperatures will
start their rebound as low level <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=flow" style="font-weight: bold;">flow</a> shifts to the south. A dry
column per <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=BUFKIT" style="font-weight: bold;">BUFKIT</a> soundings will allow for plenty of sunshine and
low level thermals support temperatures to rebound to the upper 30s
to middle 40s Thursday afternoon. Although an upper wave will move
across late Friday which will bring more clouds in and potentially a
few rain showers to mainly southern sections closer to better
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a>, continued warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=advection" style="font-weight: bold;">advection</a> courtesy of breezy southerly
winds will allow temperatures to climb a few more degrees into the
middle and upper 40s, which is near <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=normal" style="font-weight: bold;">normal</a> for the first day of
March.
Saturday through Tuesday...
The weekend will be looking up for outdoor enthusiasts as continued
warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=advection" style="font-weight: bold;">advection</a> ahead of a potent and broad western system will once
again result in mostly benign weather and temperatures some 15 to 25
degrees above <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=normal" style="font-weight: bold;">normal</a>.</pre></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><p><br /></p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-88465360658214298712024-02-21T11:34:00.000-08:002024-02-21T11:34:01.102-08:00You think winter is over?It's definitely not over! Enjoy the spring-like weather.Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-24085379387226856242024-02-17T07:15:00.000-08:002024-02-17T07:15:06.416-08:00Pictures of snow in Bloomington Indiana! #BOTS!<div style="text-align: left;">I hope everyone made it home safely. Driving around was tracherous last night. I had no choice because my organization did not close but such is life. Enjoy. <b>#BOTS! </b></div><p><br /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjo9FWDUMS_5QXTz7GfZXWr8SgXizDURYmDIWm25LpBZPIZOeQ5-OptEekqRk_3Bw-ec6euleJPKo2hq1MkraXbPO_jvhWi4h_6w-wPEt230_C-IYtyDJrh4Ussu7ULDTDdzDuHnuR_qZkXfa3lvhY-3rfGOYEYFz7araTQaXQewn7PCkKoD-Mqpe9q3p8/s4032/IMG_7925.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="4032" data-original-width="3024" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjo9FWDUMS_5QXTz7GfZXWr8SgXizDURYmDIWm25LpBZPIZOeQ5-OptEekqRk_3Bw-ec6euleJPKo2hq1MkraXbPO_jvhWi4h_6w-wPEt230_C-IYtyDJrh4Ussu7ULDTDdzDuHnuR_qZkXfa3lvhY-3rfGOYEYFz7araTQaXQewn7PCkKoD-Mqpe9q3p8/w480-h640/IMG_7925.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuixtyEbJ39OiRse-E5R-_hJkFpIM7bcmwPerEyYwtF5ZqMtjirBp9ADVUvSazSqTxmU8wth-5-XgRIE03E3HeY9u-bI2x4jtPge25jWEeL8l_Dq0FOjjDP7wjkaEmbCtHGJJkJB_CxFvkw3XbMFt9YJhcMjajBHFxBvwbcqeM4U4PBC5gUN_b9VzpEKE/s4032/IMG_7923.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; 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text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXv0ov-H0T1cYA3EgVie_-euWOvq_sMYBGTIHXAdlWiK7bXXBV69x8MOAn_lnxZZON4kmCdp1EQT-Wrg3jFMAZZftWtDh2vJh3DAyAXjoBiuykzXENW810HXftbP5PIARyM_c1_4jfLoqXzqb6fikZYchFArfRiQD0UJ8S73OoNw0Z-1sBvr8aPRyGa1w/s1334/IMG_7879.PNG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1334" data-original-width="750" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXv0ov-H0T1cYA3EgVie_-euWOvq_sMYBGTIHXAdlWiK7bXXBV69x8MOAn_lnxZZON4kmCdp1EQT-Wrg3jFMAZZftWtDh2vJh3DAyAXjoBiuykzXENW810HXftbP5PIARyM_c1_4jfLoqXzqb6fikZYchFArfRiQD0UJ8S73OoNw0Z-1sBvr8aPRyGa1w/w360-h640/IMG_7879.PNG" width="360" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrLHY69IQC8jtRzmmi73VpJqo0uvXkMtRVRzhNoLbqCisPET5yZXaDCaP7h3UmL_8yTubFqTwXtbR1UtR8u4gCB0pHQUI6kiYeUY02cloKXeisjCGzNf18ODop-x8llMWBxm8WpZAV_eFMDAQ-6v9jpIZbGYDHdyiFmbq_IlmUZVm9HobiS0wCaj3f8Uo/s1334/IMG_7878.PNG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1334" data-original-width="750" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrLHY69IQC8jtRzmmi73VpJqo0uvXkMtRVRzhNoLbqCisPET5yZXaDCaP7h3UmL_8yTubFqTwXtbR1UtR8u4gCB0pHQUI6kiYeUY02cloKXeisjCGzNf18ODop-x8llMWBxm8WpZAV_eFMDAQ-6v9jpIZbGYDHdyiFmbq_IlmUZVm9HobiS0wCaj3f8Uo/w360-h640/IMG_7878.PNG" width="360" /></a></div><br /><p></p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-24447162701631387742024-02-13T08:48:00.000-08:002024-02-15T08:39:04.879-08:00No Lover's Day snow for us. A LOT of people are talking about the X factor in chaos theory and how forecasts can go 'bust' at least once a year. There's also a trend in people switching to AI weather because all the research is showing that it is more accurate than traditional methods. Here's a short explanation:<div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><iframe allowfullscreen="" class="BLOG_video_class" height="266" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/-KFO0pES-zQ" width="320" youtube-src-id="-KFO0pES-zQ"></iframe></div><br /><div><br /><div><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-KFO0pES-zQ">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-KFO0pES-zQ</a></div><div><br /></div></div></div>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-37902465433225100652024-02-10T09:20:00.000-08:002024-02-10T09:20:02.718-08:00A classic I-70 south snow for Indiana?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrit0PpWbc5a6bW-iDj8LezF8k5bFWgCY4acPM21-7AFJJQkT8lcatIeBFG4WbTzXlDR05VzdEHkawTC9IVoEFXe2LKR6oft2ZYJwTuEzr7xTblTiiNh1HSJf7vqFqDr1j4GSwZr1rrXX0ypIXPn0pFx-yiOqUDkSYJv6420k7zyPnN_No3Nd2LLxj2iE/s2860/Screen%20Shot%202024-02-10%20at%2012.18.27%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1414" data-original-width="2860" height="316" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrit0PpWbc5a6bW-iDj8LezF8k5bFWgCY4acPM21-7AFJJQkT8lcatIeBFG4WbTzXlDR05VzdEHkawTC9IVoEFXe2LKR6oft2ZYJwTuEzr7xTblTiiNh1HSJf7vqFqDr1j4GSwZr1rrXX0ypIXPn0pFx-yiOqUDkSYJv6420k7zyPnN_No3Nd2LLxj2iE/w640-h316/Screen%20Shot%202024-02-10%20at%2012.18.27%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><br />Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-57625017991205680012024-02-10T09:15:00.000-08:002024-02-10T09:15:54.911-08:00Solar eclipse 2024 Bloomington Indiana weather?The solar eclipse will occur on April 8, 2024 from 3:04pm to 3:06pm. If you are reading this and you are not from Bloomington nor the state of Indiana, there are some things that you should know. The weather in Indiana changes rapidly. I think there's some kind of saying here that goes like this: "<i>Just blink once and the weather changes.</i>" <div><br /></div><div>April could bring warmer than average temperatures, cooler than average temperatures, clouds, strong winds, rain, hail and tornadoes or even snow. All of that is possible and maybe even more likely than a bright sunny day. All this is to say that I don't want to be the bearer of bad news but based on historical data (<a href="https://www.wunderground.com/history" target="_blank">From Weather Underground</a>), April 8th has been mostly cloudy 60% of the time in the past ten years.</div><div><br /></div><div>If you are driving here, prepare for most places to be closed. Indiana University will be closed and the local library in town will be closed. If the weather is bad, I think most people will be upset at having spent so much money to come here only to experience our bad weather. I bet most people will get drunk but then there wont be nay public bathrooms available so plan ahead or dare I even say it, <b>CANCEL</b> your plans to come here. </div><div><br /></div><div>Okay, here is the raw data for the last 10+ years:</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5ILHXgjxkmdvngKCcv1K22jLGdaO2k-uwKfxt8d0Nif__zKguk_WTazINRS9RA-adGqSxtKH9yyOHvbPc6439Briqx9An8ga8ueJEBUW7x57VCqbZzZDSumiL4jKNzxY57nMm_cokm7bf9gRG-Q70cW3ArbS8HpY28IbLmGjYKw1cs5y3VkW0mtG-SSY/s1376/4-8-23.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1376" data-original-width="632" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5ILHXgjxkmdvngKCcv1K22jLGdaO2k-uwKfxt8d0Nif__zKguk_WTazINRS9RA-adGqSxtKH9yyOHvbPc6439Briqx9An8ga8ueJEBUW7x57VCqbZzZDSumiL4jKNzxY57nMm_cokm7bf9gRG-Q70cW3ArbS8HpY28IbLmGjYKw1cs5y3VkW0mtG-SSY/w294-h640/4-8-23.png" width="294" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; 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margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1432" data-original-width="568" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPG0rBw6AHlNNTmjt56wpgNyscCU5KLqSlA9P2G4CWMwiyEbewPqia9cq0bYQEt2reOu7hjrvjrlL8bsbGKDkieoSBzF96MQtDLRA5RnS3b7OmdYDw_aafEO_BM_r47faSyntovvRv-u5Ip3UDcGormdZdMX_BU4qGSOGaArTUZ57w6854Whyphenhyphen9vDzSzxI/w254-h640/4-8-21.png" width="254" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8X7osH94mCDvZ7QKpGqn1bRfpnpHavwrn9OyUTWyM1HtMms-S1BDf6j3qYQ3-bMgJlVaqKTHhty_h4sjwfRfW93oa25BFQnB7at29Lz9YqPFgOuT89FD_PSF2KvWNAzJ2iqC4Mjf2IGuXZJOhF0AWVGHwBctatLU62BgZ1vSmWcFBIZB0G5QiWSqBuXk/s1410/4-8-20.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1410" data-original-width="562" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8X7osH94mCDvZ7QKpGqn1bRfpnpHavwrn9OyUTWyM1HtMms-S1BDf6j3qYQ3-bMgJlVaqKTHhty_h4sjwfRfW93oa25BFQnB7at29Lz9YqPFgOuT89FD_PSF2KvWNAzJ2iqC4Mjf2IGuXZJOhF0AWVGHwBctatLU62BgZ1vSmWcFBIZB0G5QiWSqBuXk/w256-h640/4-8-20.png" width="256" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; 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text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div> </div>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-70910588282724419532024-02-02T13:19:00.000-08:002024-02-02T13:19:04.599-08:00Lover's Day trouble is brewing.<p>A snowstorm for Lover's Day? Winter returns!</p><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnaoBJA7LLFdyTsXtgfi4E6nwz3GBO6hahQEaS8RkL_rN0_DYvV40Kyaa4vTiS0745LuzxnUYsXQhDhOo325BQ_ejPvbAWQSD9T1Qj00_GZ_JJk0sJuJZX777wtik6faz6AFHTM9Yw5ojow-v67tZgHLsskNi7zPPK0HHyjRTyjDJU5bWMyhxtHPbkPGs/s1241/Screenshot%202024-02-02%20at%204.12.13%E2%80%AFPM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="813" data-original-width="1241" height="420" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnaoBJA7LLFdyTsXtgfi4E6nwz3GBO6hahQEaS8RkL_rN0_DYvV40Kyaa4vTiS0745LuzxnUYsXQhDhOo325BQ_ejPvbAWQSD9T1Qj00_GZ_JJk0sJuJZX777wtik6faz6AFHTM9Yw5ojow-v67tZgHLsskNi7zPPK0HHyjRTyjDJU5bWMyhxtHPbkPGs/w640-h420/Screenshot%202024-02-02%20at%204.12.13%E2%80%AFPM.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgBkdxUNykW8RA0FBYcovwu9KTvKRDH6Y5BqRAi_YG3TD5pvcDu-LdjvsdVZ04BK8ulCqqzNWhJ5WLS9SsdVNX0ZxbLnHCrjgYt8-BpgWgl769xPWsBiaKlvesUmtBvsNB-zoBcpIQD4HbZhvV6pRXvOtaJMr2zF0z4lIM7AcFWA7t9gfUHskWXT7r_o4Y/s1256/Screenshot%202024-02-02%20at%204.09.29%E2%80%AFPM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="818" data-original-width="1256" height="413" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgBkdxUNykW8RA0FBYcovwu9KTvKRDH6Y5BqRAi_YG3TD5pvcDu-LdjvsdVZ04BK8ulCqqzNWhJ5WLS9SsdVNX0ZxbLnHCrjgYt8-BpgWgl769xPWsBiaKlvesUmtBvsNB-zoBcpIQD4HbZhvV6pRXvOtaJMr2zF0z4lIM7AcFWA7t9gfUHskWXT7r_o4Y/w635-h413/Screenshot%202024-02-02%20at%204.09.29%E2%80%AFPM.png" width="635" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6tytXlWcd5tBVPstEOs1ez_B_azXzAcIlkLn6PtS0SxFh6givir8nYaHNGOaS_XGW2wBtv1iLjtrveh8BtC50kYky7sIoh0gf9z6dHQWWjKzMidA0AoR2x-E0tpfzlUlIaIV7TJPDE2J9oF8FOe89w4mMMkfa42hVoZS9BTUVYC9EqFQkbDVdTCpiFGI/s1116/Screenshot%202024-02-02%20at%204.03.03%E2%80%AFPM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="826" data-original-width="1116" height="474" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6tytXlWcd5tBVPstEOs1ez_B_azXzAcIlkLn6PtS0SxFh6givir8nYaHNGOaS_XGW2wBtv1iLjtrveh8BtC50kYky7sIoh0gf9z6dHQWWjKzMidA0AoR2x-E0tpfzlUlIaIV7TJPDE2J9oF8FOe89w4mMMkfa42hVoZS9BTUVYC9EqFQkbDVdTCpiFGI/w640-h474/Screenshot%202024-02-02%20at%204.03.03%E2%80%AFPM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiEiLKsxH68_B5NjBo_5pILmD67BAdDR9ofINV0ali3-NXHh7PhNAYDLYyJs4pjMXY2O2Nm0tow0ly1WKVNoBsTcyXCL5tDMd-E5BsJuGgB417lqMJJEhNcXY1uSV_LLlIq4p4zw-fjVBqPsYykRDF7zYjzPK8I3uRVklQxCUDUGsPeldLWDcNbcGmvIn4/s1124/Screenshot%202024-02-02%20at%204.11.02%E2%80%AFPM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="815" data-original-width="1124" height="464" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiEiLKsxH68_B5NjBo_5pILmD67BAdDR9ofINV0ali3-NXHh7PhNAYDLYyJs4pjMXY2O2Nm0tow0ly1WKVNoBsTcyXCL5tDMd-E5BsJuGgB417lqMJJEhNcXY1uSV_LLlIq4p4zw-fjVBqPsYykRDF7zYjzPK8I3uRVklQxCUDUGsPeldLWDcNbcGmvIn4/w640-h464/Screenshot%202024-02-02%20at%204.11.02%E2%80%AFPM.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><p><br /></p><p><br /></p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-31531261125403666962024-02-02T13:11:00.000-08:002024-02-02T13:11:33.118-08:00Punxsutawney Phil says that we will have an early spring but is that true?<p>Welp, only if you consider today, this weekend, and next week to be an early spring because winter will return by mid February. See my post below. </p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-43033041758754414802024-01-26T11:21:00.000-08:002024-01-26T11:21:29.822-08:00Is winter over for 2024? Teleconnections say 'No'!It's been a mild, rainy and foggy week and that will continue but does it mean that winter is over? I don't think so. The teleconnections say otherwise.<div><br /></div><div>The AO goes negative after February 11th. The EPO also goes negative after February 11th. The NAO goes negative around the 15th of February. The PNA goes positive after February 10th. So, based on the science of it, winter is set to return by mid February. If you are interested in learning more about the science and the data behind teleconnections, you can find more info here:</div><div><br /></div><div><a href="https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/what-are-teleconnections-connecting-earths-climate-patterns-global#:~:text=Teleconnections%20are%20significant%20relationships%20or,that%20span%20thousands%20of%20miles.">https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/what-are-teleconnections-connecting-earths-climate-patterns-global#:~:text=Teleconnections%20are%20significant%20relationships%20or,that%20span%20thousands%20of%20miles.</a></div><div><br /></div><div>Some very light snow is possible Sunday morning but you will have to get up at 4:00AM to see it.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjiLZtH0PuLXuFZKq4s-IKgkAtXI0Qb0kGjTrlCrHaw3c8RgCZSNAC0yJtK5kQb77l6md2QYZ6e3hIALFou49eIPLDFe421Ins_cK2XHzXZ08nzV51kg6Esiqq2qtY8Sw8MTPWU7Cr0dZyRtM5KcU4bLatLAa4_NrsAQ9mOrsfUvfg3B89S29b7jOpaK6M/s2866/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-26%20at%202.11.27%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1396" data-original-width="2866" height="312" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjiLZtH0PuLXuFZKq4s-IKgkAtXI0Qb0kGjTrlCrHaw3c8RgCZSNAC0yJtK5kQb77l6md2QYZ6e3hIALFou49eIPLDFe421Ins_cK2XHzXZ08nzV51kg6Esiqq2qtY8Sw8MTPWU7Cr0dZyRtM5KcU4bLatLAa4_NrsAQ9mOrsfUvfg3B89S29b7jOpaK6M/w640-h312/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-26%20at%202.11.27%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">On the other hand, the CFS model is trending warm through March 1 on today's run. Let's see what it says a week from today.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiNWWB5qGOdW_lhndFdKAqDDe2OK_vfHJ56s0GxW0TjbPXWnuFiArKr4EpA0puQzNuchk4S56eX8cZeCjhd-aZfSOLa_B7zdQ8TTmpZxnF8a1fqy5u0BhjwcVjie119E9fAS5yXYJsNNX9brZPeS3yYupWCuDOXG7WSwtKV4jQuSf5cZtQTwkjQpDLrdQk/s660/floop-cfs-2024012600.sfct-imp.conus.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="510" data-original-width="660" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiNWWB5qGOdW_lhndFdKAqDDe2OK_vfHJ56s0GxW0TjbPXWnuFiArKr4EpA0puQzNuchk4S56eX8cZeCjhd-aZfSOLa_B7zdQ8TTmpZxnF8a1fqy5u0BhjwcVjie119E9fAS5yXYJsNNX9brZPeS3yYupWCuDOXG7WSwtKV4jQuSf5cZtQTwkjQpDLrdQk/w640-h494/floop-cfs-2024012600.sfct-imp.conus.gif" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-28075537252927671982024-01-18T08:15:00.000-08:002024-01-18T08:15:35.914-08:00A little bit of snow tonight and then that's it for a while.We'll see a small amount of snow tonight. The bigger snow will be to our north and south while we are stuck in the snow hole.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVx3bn1zEDuU9htj9rdWBGtFORVV6zBV6mhAP0Zjj5ccZhGl2aA9dTYy2TdseyQqqaJznyxuYwdAbclvF_Ohe34JQAxE8q3jwGyEJ76tMx8hMbOEqffC5ucG2D17WKpedF9xsNmGAlwkKudMfOe9AmSM8LRMBfNNgIbYguhTk_nhvJfl-_ILBsMlC3sCc/s1034/Screenshot%202024-01-18%20105722.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="766" data-original-width="1034" height="474" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVx3bn1zEDuU9htj9rdWBGtFORVV6zBV6mhAP0Zjj5ccZhGl2aA9dTYy2TdseyQqqaJznyxuYwdAbclvF_Ohe34JQAxE8q3jwGyEJ76tMx8hMbOEqffC5ucG2D17WKpedF9xsNmGAlwkKudMfOe9AmSM8LRMBfNNgIbYguhTk_nhvJfl-_ILBsMlC3sCc/w640-h474/Screenshot%202024-01-18%20105722.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">The polar vortex will retreat on Monday as we reach a high of 38 degrees with rain. On the weekend of the 27th to the 28th we could see high temperatures in the 50's! After that, the polar vortex will try to make a comeback during the second week of February. <b>#Bots!</b></div><br /><div><br /><div><br /></div><div><br /></div></div>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-36580020517245701872024-01-14T08:39:00.000-08:002024-01-14T08:39:05.541-08:00A high temperature of -25 degrees in North Dakota!<p>Just brutal!</p><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjiliPa0ayjWiag0igtBFv5p77Evd8OuP8Efj0TGxP8tn-5ribHUKmyj5ZvPIxqn549IvOL2_nONx7ziPLwqFSK1cuxv8pZGZhIs73X8T9o9wOWHBHOBZi-CLPQGif_J1I_BnWkx4y2G0yX59HZeqCCLP99kSazdZyPHKGospYBOvVzWAyQomkVjvN9AMY/s1160/Screenshot%202024-01-13%20175057.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="738" data-original-width="1160" height="408" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjiliPa0ayjWiag0igtBFv5p77Evd8OuP8Efj0TGxP8tn-5ribHUKmyj5ZvPIxqn549IvOL2_nONx7ziPLwqFSK1cuxv8pZGZhIs73X8T9o9wOWHBHOBZi-CLPQGif_J1I_BnWkx4y2G0yX59HZeqCCLP99kSazdZyPHKGospYBOvVzWAyQomkVjvN9AMY/w640-h408/Screenshot%202024-01-13%20175057.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /> <p></p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-103566435916306802024-01-13T07:09:00.000-08:002024-01-13T07:09:34.087-08:00Snow pictures - Bloomington IN, 1-13-24.We got a dusting of snow. We still have light snow showers going on. Here are some pictures from this morning. Feel free to share pictures of your own. <div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjv8biu8h3DTVCDNFOSo2jqUxFB1Uq6ZXuDp6I4FXMX2fc4QGQdHepBxwia6gcqnoghDhBjReYYGeM1KAoHjUnLHAI4SiG39QVUAG0G4So5RJUGu-ElNbMMB844PSvsKIRDhlm6V1txRHVC_4CX_hblO5IYdXewwpQ1guOjBOQtcOpI3U7jqeZy2_HmFIw/s4032/IMG_3299.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="4032" data-original-width="3024" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjv8biu8h3DTVCDNFOSo2jqUxFB1Uq6ZXuDp6I4FXMX2fc4QGQdHepBxwia6gcqnoghDhBjReYYGeM1KAoHjUnLHAI4SiG39QVUAG0G4So5RJUGu-ElNbMMB844PSvsKIRDhlm6V1txRHVC_4CX_hblO5IYdXewwpQ1guOjBOQtcOpI3U7jqeZy2_HmFIw/w480-h640/IMG_3299.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZMpkqNcSUWXoYppjykM_6WjRN2bbn5BLy63ObTzBIIly0DBjZWfuCwYOyyw9d3-Tcpl_yc_bgQMWhbS6GEbJlihYRUWXZd2sAaHdld0Tk0RIVO_cL4WAlNsSaPQ0TFyv4mE07Zz0ZNyrz5Xk5DV1GU0YgWKf_yxN3fgu-yqqhRlykNykb_gvQqfcu_0c/s4032/IMG_3300.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="4032" data-original-width="3024" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZMpkqNcSUWXoYppjykM_6WjRN2bbn5BLy63ObTzBIIly0DBjZWfuCwYOyyw9d3-Tcpl_yc_bgQMWhbS6GEbJlihYRUWXZd2sAaHdld0Tk0RIVO_cL4WAlNsSaPQ0TFyv4mE07Zz0ZNyrz5Xk5DV1GU0YgWKf_yxN3fgu-yqqhRlykNykb_gvQqfcu_0c/w480-h640/IMG_3300.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9cygpMSWFcmfuFszsi0wDxbrQMR1yJd_gVLd0d75FupwaTkazbkRO7SIIZolU7iihqE97RMcajQG8xrzOWDPXOab7E0gxUmY6ZX7BJMbQXu6grnXZdqUytJbkCyAW3ezXurBN-holLcjB_kdvGA3tqttD4tkJv3voB86y2QYwz0VNmZY40xJwYVz48TE/s4032/IMG_3301.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="4032" data-original-width="3024" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9cygpMSWFcmfuFszsi0wDxbrQMR1yJd_gVLd0d75FupwaTkazbkRO7SIIZolU7iihqE97RMcajQG8xrzOWDPXOab7E0gxUmY6ZX7BJMbQXu6grnXZdqUytJbkCyAW3ezXurBN-holLcjB_kdvGA3tqttD4tkJv3voB86y2QYwz0VNmZY40xJwYVz48TE/w480-h640/IMG_3301.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; 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margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="4032" data-original-width="3024" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEij1e7YAdDZ-D6PBE9r2aOxGxPVy_cqtahcGNT4w-BZjAyvDFOzb1xcwymfXhAx-qpr0t1cHdZxgxGjJPrtFKA6Xof0PkNgsZXzZy4Akt5DOU1J3_DqrT1FN4ZEqBB6F2hPhG5DqVl-VcSvBeKzwjK4CTLB2dZtZpF2KmO-mPxh-D2NbW5cYdXt8RZbx90/w480-h640/IMG_3303.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjEEuPc_IiQ0ryiivNWD5fQEp3aIkzW4Aw4EMLFCVdS0qmWmrkb-20rsMcgSZ_82UdcllrLz8gnY1LYAA3pmMbE6XQnd9dejmxN0iMi9_aWoUo_17c15R9EBI7YzmgQZ6pzNMcSphWJXBB403sPFBuAnAHwmy3Uo1uvkP0IdUWTsj2Xi-uTpTok3jE5bng/s4032/IMG_3304.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="4032" data-original-width="3024" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjEEuPc_IiQ0ryiivNWD5fQEp3aIkzW4Aw4EMLFCVdS0qmWmrkb-20rsMcgSZ_82UdcllrLz8gnY1LYAA3pmMbE6XQnd9dejmxN0iMi9_aWoUo_17c15R9EBI7YzmgQZ6pzNMcSphWJXBB403sPFBuAnAHwmy3Uo1uvkP0IdUWTsj2Xi-uTpTok3jE5bng/w480-h640/IMG_3304.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifnnxgibm1Ia4zr0zcEgpLsSirQsRvffT-CMT6lZB5sjB2bxnl2QA9F3C82s-4UpChwdhTGOLWWEZ2NX4deU8tytizQE8SOtRFTn_TQ9m-ofAjU7M6ZbGhsuxzzBx8KiKKZSoVFeYHEfzH0NozmXEeYI1KngotaJiyEtXPB5tQhu9nSjRRrJesEizFXf4/s4032/IMG_3306.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="4032" data-original-width="3024" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifnnxgibm1Ia4zr0zcEgpLsSirQsRvffT-CMT6lZB5sjB2bxnl2QA9F3C82s-4UpChwdhTGOLWWEZ2NX4deU8tytizQE8SOtRFTn_TQ9m-ofAjU7M6ZbGhsuxzzBx8KiKKZSoVFeYHEfzH0NozmXEeYI1KngotaJiyEtXPB5tQhu9nSjRRrJesEizFXf4/w480-h640/IMG_3306.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhoyUaEj96xzE9cpujZI8omtgWrMdugS8VMuqiD_b8PI0x8yL6aatKp3V6mO90Y8Az28NIRnZYhFhc8p3z_auYBiM5dpksjdoT6qVVAdBHrhz1dUWflNpGkTinwLEEQJtN_00Un5oQowrVRgUw7mTB5ls2_V3HANlfqGM1VSE5dC1636HnH_7Fgr-nFr0/s4032/IMG_3307.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="4032" data-original-width="3024" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhoyUaEj96xzE9cpujZI8omtgWrMdugS8VMuqiD_b8PI0x8yL6aatKp3V6mO90Y8Az28NIRnZYhFhc8p3z_auYBiM5dpksjdoT6qVVAdBHrhz1dUWflNpGkTinwLEEQJtN_00Un5oQowrVRgUw7mTB5ls2_V3HANlfqGM1VSE5dC1636HnH_7Fgr-nFr0/w480-h640/IMG_3307.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div><br /></div>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-63809295019413205442024-01-12T10:01:00.000-08:002024-01-12T10:01:32.016-08:00Mostly rain for central and southern Indiana today but light snow for tonight.<p>Well #bots fans, we have to take what we can get. It looks like we will get a lot of heavy rain today (which we need) and then a brief changeover to snow tonight (which we love). It wont amount to much. After that, there are a few chances for light snow events but nothing big on the horizon for central Indiana. Nonetheless, this is powerhouse of a storm and it is affecting the entire country in some way or another. There's an alert in every state except Arizona.</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjG205JCph8P27Bl7e3ALNUaCfX4jJNUt2S3jDLrqs0Uli8g938cVUCTKn4TCFDdQg_0hJhftNrdmgOgAIVhgOfwLRHlm_5RZzZf3IqiaCfocwm2QT9v-FqqSI6_lqCjaztEJ7IXP80ygO7XBYNvSAvXPiWQRJaA9h8XaEyeWBykxk_sSMvFtYgAkZkk1I/s1638/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-12%20at%2012.53.11%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1218" data-original-width="1638" height="476" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjG205JCph8P27Bl7e3ALNUaCfX4jJNUt2S3jDLrqs0Uli8g938cVUCTKn4TCFDdQg_0hJhftNrdmgOgAIVhgOfwLRHlm_5RZzZf3IqiaCfocwm2QT9v-FqqSI6_lqCjaztEJ7IXP80ygO7XBYNvSAvXPiWQRJaA9h8XaEyeWBykxk_sSMvFtYgAkZkk1I/w640-h476/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-12%20at%2012.53.11%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">The barometer keep dropping every 30 minutes!</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRzXWTFfrFPlKka_yyHUe-D2wkNfgUfdSufk3m_VAaaOvgjggtaGOS_rXKKe1eIdDwVKXY8gOIJhLshTrJNiLZR8xR8Z3Pqs_67e5M_aHyKFb1qPLSnB9w1Yz364rkqiNqCT79ksaWhDI3Pp4hFjFVBhEMBat9byGC6Lxg-mx9Gyn_0zk9a0D3wSwbOog/s4032/IMG_7641.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="4032" data-original-width="3024" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRzXWTFfrFPlKka_yyHUe-D2wkNfgUfdSufk3m_VAaaOvgjggtaGOS_rXKKe1eIdDwVKXY8gOIJhLshTrJNiLZR8xR8Z3Pqs_67e5M_aHyKFb1qPLSnB9w1Yz364rkqiNqCT79ksaWhDI3Pp4hFjFVBhEMBat9byGC6Lxg-mx9Gyn_0zk9a0D3wSwbOog/w480-h640/IMG_7641.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5n-4_CiwLP2WLpWnJY0Eizl8clcdc6CU9u8a0oglQCp__Jck6X8xF2HrJIFZ13WE8rJuQ7LyzlpiaLU23cwNco2E7fFwl-YFf5JQaL4MqQoiuNWJu4wFXKmAvgxA1dpBd8oR2PtaQyPV-4BmujDsQyv71A0BuhPwLBKouzGX0vFIIb3H5wMIsujijCf4/s2432/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-12%20at%2012.48.35%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1212" data-original-width="2432" height="318" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5n-4_CiwLP2WLpWnJY0Eizl8clcdc6CU9u8a0oglQCp__Jck6X8xF2HrJIFZ13WE8rJuQ7LyzlpiaLU23cwNco2E7fFwl-YFf5JQaL4MqQoiuNWJu4wFXKmAvgxA1dpBd8oR2PtaQyPV-4BmujDsQyv71A0BuhPwLBKouzGX0vFIIb3H5wMIsujijCf4/w640-h318/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-12%20at%2012.48.35%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div>Keep the faith #bots fans!<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhXVVSjyXfuorndC3aGjWt3Dkgf5LF-OnHmUGsQ0B60yjfJyfawMeQtPuRL990oLvxnmncFB_3HHJeK8L4C5rsmJOwIFYYSCMm6KVrUjpopJwpiamkwYgAr6UKMlRgJfi0N_qMLdf8syfls5KBb31fVz1__BlakMl0JZyR0LK4bScU8PUBqHr0bl0X3GqI/s4032/IMG_7640.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="4032" data-original-width="3024" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhXVVSjyXfuorndC3aGjWt3Dkgf5LF-OnHmUGsQ0B60yjfJyfawMeQtPuRL990oLvxnmncFB_3HHJeK8L4C5rsmJOwIFYYSCMm6KVrUjpopJwpiamkwYgAr6UKMlRgJfi0N_qMLdf8syfls5KBb31fVz1__BlakMl0JZyR0LK4bScU8PUBqHr0bl0X3GqI/w480-h640/IMG_7640.JPG" width="480" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Here is what the National Weather Service in Indianapolis is saying: (Very long an detailed information)</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><pre class="glossaryProduct" style="background-color: white; font-size: 12px;">.Forecast Update...
Issued at 936 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024
The forecast remains on track today with only minor adjustments
made. Current surface observations show a <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=deepening" style="font-weight: bold;">deepening</a> low pressure
system centered near the MO/IL border with a warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> extending
east into central Indiana. The first round of rain this morning
was associated with the warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> lifting north. Latest <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=radar" style="font-weight: bold;">radar</a>
imagery shows a <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=dry%20slot" style="font-weight: bold;">dry slot</a> across much of central Indiana.
Expect this lull in precipitation to be brief as an intense <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=LLJ" style="font-weight: bold;">LLJ</a>
advects deeper <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> northward during the day. Steady moderate
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=rainfall" style="font-weight: bold;">rainfall</a>, possibly heavy at times, will result in widespread
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=rainfall" style="font-weight: bold;">rainfall</a> amounts of 1-2 inches. The threat for widespread flooding
is low, but localized flooding in low-lying areas is possible.
Strong winds are expected today with occasional gusts up to 50
mph. A tightening pressure <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=gradient" style="font-weight: bold;">gradient</a> on the back side of the
aforementioned surface low will lead to more widespread gusts up
to 55 mph by the early evening hours.
&&
.Short Term...(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 936 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024
Surface analysis early this morning shows deep low pressure over SW
MO. A cold <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> trailed this area of low pressure into eastern OK
and eastern TX. A warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> was found from the low, across southern
MO and then across KY. Easterly Surface winds were found across
Central Indiana, with <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=dew%20point" style="font-weight: bold;">dew point</a> temps in the upper 20s to around 30.
Aloft, water vapor showed a deep <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=trough" style="font-weight: bold;">trough</a> of low pressure over the
Central Plains, resulting in the previously mentioned associated
surface low. Showers and storms within the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=warm%20sector" style="font-weight: bold;">warm sector</a> were found
over Arkansas, while lighter showers were found ahead of the warm
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> over Central IL. GOES16 shows abundant cloud cover ahead of
the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=convection" style="font-weight: bold;">convection</a> to the southwest streaming toward Indiana.
Today...
An <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=active" style="font-weight: bold;">active</a> weather day will be in store. The strong surface slow is
suggested to push northeast toward Indiana today, allowing the warm
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> to the south to push across Central Indiana. Models suggest a
very strong <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=LLJ" style="font-weight: bold;">LLJ</a> ahead of the surface low with winds near 50 knots
amid this <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=flow" style="font-weight: bold;">flow</a> across Central Indiana. A strong pressure <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=gradient" style="font-weight: bold;">gradient</a> is
also expected today as this possibly historically deep low pressure
system pushes across Central Indiana this afternoon. Thus strong
gusty winds around 40 mph with <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=isolated" style="font-weight: bold;">isolated</a> higher gusts will be
possible this afternoon and tonight. Caveat remains this afternoon
as lower clouds arrive if we will be able to mix down some of those
higher gusts. For now the Advisory level wind gusts appear to be
quite certain, thus will trend toward Wind advisory today. Should it
become apparent that an organized area of higher winds, clearing
developing (unlikely), or some rogue <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=convection" style="font-weight: bold;">convection</a> develop (Better
chances for that south of Central Indiana), short-lived <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=high%20wind" style="font-weight: bold;">high wind</a>
warnings will be used.
Strong <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=isentropic%20lift" style="font-weight: bold;">isentropic lift</a> is in place today. The <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=GFS" style="font-weight: bold;">GFS</a> 290K surface shows
strong upglide with specific humidities up to 4.5 <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=g/kg" style="font-weight: bold;">g/kg</a>. Best lift is
present during the morning and early afternoon hours as the low to
the southwest approaches. HRRR shows two main pushes of rain today.
The first arriving near rush hour and the second late this morning
and afternoon as the warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> pushes north across the forecast
area. Forecast soundings today show a deeply saturated column with
pwats near 0.70 inches. Thus confidence for rain today is high.
Today`s expected impacts include: Rainy and windy conditions, with
brief heavy rain possible. Wind gusts to around 40-45 mph will
result in unsecured outdoor items being blown about. <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Isolated" style="font-weight: bold;">Isolated</a> tree
limbs being blown down and associated <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=isolated" style="font-weight: bold;">isolated</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=power" style="font-weight: bold;">power</a> outages will be
possible.
Tonight...
As we start tonight, the strong surface low will continue to be
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=deepening" style="font-weight: bold;">deepening</a> and found over northern Indiana. Models suggest this low
will then push northeast to Lake Huron, <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=deepening" style="font-weight: bold;">deepening</a> all the way. This
will continue to keep a strong surface pressure <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=gradient" style="font-weight: bold;">gradient</a> in place
across Central Indiana amid cold air <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=advection" style="font-weight: bold;">advection</a> and cyclonic lower
level <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=flow" style="font-weight: bold;">flow</a>. The cold <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=front" style="font-weight: bold;">front</a> associated with the low will push east of
Central Indiana by 00Z, resulting in very windy and cold conditions.
Also as the low departs the 290K <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Isentropic%20surface" style="font-weight: bold;">Isentropic surface</a> shows strong
downglide and drying. Forecast soundings show dry air arriving
aloft, but saturated lower levels due to trapped lower level
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a>. Given the cyclonic <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=flow" style="font-weight: bold;">flow</a>, a few <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=scattered" style="font-weight: bold;">scattered</a> light snow
showers will be possible, but confidence is low in this. HRRR shows
very little organized development. Thus will keep some mention of
snow showers through the evening hours as the low departs.
Strongest winds of the day should be during the evening hours. The
pressure <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=gradient" style="font-weight: bold;">gradient</a> across the area at that time will be strongest as
the low deepens and <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=subsidence" style="font-weight: bold;">subsidence</a> ongoing may help some of the higher
winds aloft mix downward. The 850mb winds will remain around 40-50
knts through the evening. Thus gusts in that range do not seem out
of the question. Again will keep the advisory focused from mid
morning through early Saturday morning.
Tonight`s expected Impacts include: Windy conditions, with gusts to
around 45-50 mph. This will result in unsecured outdoor items being
blown about. <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Isolated" style="font-weight: bold;">Isolated</a> tree limbs being blown down and associated
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=isolated" style="font-weight: bold;">isolated</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=power" style="font-weight: bold;">power</a> outages will be possible. Snow showers are possible,
with <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=blowing%20snow" style="font-weight: bold;">blowing snow</a> reducing <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=visibility" style="font-weight: bold;">visibility</a>.
&&
.Long Term...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 301 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024
Saturday and Saturday night...
Initially, central Indiana will still be close enough for some
influence from the surface low over northern portions of the region
Saturday morning. Trends have been pushing in much drier 700-500mb
air in behind the low, leading to a quicker end in surface low
related snow showers.
The <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=upper%20level" style="font-weight: bold;">upper level</a> low will still linger behind however, creating
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=isolated" style="font-weight: bold;">isolated</a> snow showers and <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=snow%20flurries" style="font-weight: bold;">snow flurries</a> once again during the day on
Saturday. With mid to low level temperatures plummeting beneath
strong <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=CAA" style="font-weight: bold;">CAA</a>, minimal <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> will be needed to squeeze out a tenth
or two of snow accumulations. Snow rates dont look to be too high
though with lapse rates failing to promote upscale growth within
shower activity.
As mentioned, mid to low level temperatures will drop steadily
throughout Saturday, but surface temperatures will <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=lag" style="font-weight: bold;">lag</a> slightly
until the upper low departs Saturday night. Once the upper low
departs, uniform NW <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=flow" style="font-weight: bold;">flow</a> and <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=diurnal" style="font-weight: bold;">diurnal</a> cooling will push surface
temperatures from the low 20s Saturday evening, down to the single
digits by Sunday morning. Continued modest wind will make
temperatures feel even colder with <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=wind%20chill" style="font-weight: bold;">wind chill</a> values below -10
Sunday through Tuesday...
This will be a period of very cold temperatures as Arctic high
pressure remains in control at the surface.
Even with surface high pressure, an <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=upper%20level%20disturbance" style="font-weight: bold;">upper level disturbance</a> will
push through Sunday night. Now, when I say "upper-level", this only
means 15000 feet above the surface since the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=tropopause" style="font-weight: bold;">tropopause</a> will be down
near 500mb over this stretch. Because of the condensed <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=troposphere" style="font-weight: bold;">troposphere</a>,
dry surface layers wont be able to deter snowfall much within upper
level disturbance. With this in mind, there will be increasing
chances for snow, mainly over southern portions of central Indiana
Sunday night into Monday morning. The bulk of the forcing looks to
remain south of central Indiana, limiting chances to between 15-40%
for our area. If snow does fall, snow rates will be very high (15-
20:1), allowing for efficient accumulations even with low <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=QPF" style="font-weight: bold;">QPF</a>.
Another upper disturbance could bring more light snow around Monday
night into Tuesday morning. Models begin to vary significantly this
far out though, with questions still remaining about <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a>
availability and where the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=upper%20level" style="font-weight: bold;">upper level</a> <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=trough" style="font-weight: bold;">trough</a> will track
Highs will be in the single digits above zero to the teens, with
lows from around zero into the positive single digits. Temperatures
will be influenced by cloud cover timing and any snow that does
fall, so these numbers may change. Wind chills will be below zero,
with readings down to around -15 at times for portions of the area.
Wednesday and beyond...
The Arctic high begins to move out mid week, with slight moderation
possible as surface winds veer towards southerly. This could allow
for highs back into the 20s and even 30s by Thursday. This will be
short lived however, with another through passing through late next
week, and continued arctic air behind the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=trough" style="font-weight: bold;">trough</a>.</pre></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><p><br /></p><p><br /></p></div>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-45599072611445569042024-01-10T15:30:00.000-08:002024-01-10T15:30:02.632-08:00Oh no! Say it ain't so!The Indiana snow hole strikes again. The GFS is showing all the snowstorms going around Indiana. <div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhASO-dtzIqjDZIHot0tb8Icns1HIYcLeni7VO3cb5TixyLztG5rjqKbooSMEEEzsj8PFol1zohN5djQmFt6hqMskNgIlCnpZGdxBgeRdVWRg4qEaxTihP9cYOlbeccHrmzessD2yD3UPnPYNRaqw2SLPz45LJdzhOYb5rf7ZGCC9ZMmglx1dn1TRVXHs4/s1024/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh6-384.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="696" data-original-width="1024" height="436" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhASO-dtzIqjDZIHot0tb8Icns1HIYcLeni7VO3cb5TixyLztG5rjqKbooSMEEEzsj8PFol1zohN5djQmFt6hqMskNgIlCnpZGdxBgeRdVWRg4qEaxTihP9cYOlbeccHrmzessD2yD3UPnPYNRaqw2SLPz45LJdzhOYb5rf7ZGCC9ZMmglx1dn1TRVXHs4/w640-h436/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh6-384.gif" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-size: large;">If it's going to be extremely cold, I'd rather have snow on the ground!</span></b></div><br /><div><br /></div>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-13463151979086106392024-01-10T15:19:00.000-08:002024-01-10T15:19:29.246-08:00For all weather nerds, another partially free model website.<p>Weather Models dot com.</p><p><a href="https://weathermodels.com/index.php?r=site%2Fpreview&mode=animator&set=GFS%2050-STATES%20USA&area=Indiana%20%26%20Illinois&param=24-h%20Snowfall&offset=0&thumbs=1" target="_blank"> https://weathermodels.com/index.php?r=site%2Fpreview&mode=animator&set=GFS%2050-STATES%20USA&area=Indiana%20%26%20Illinois&param=24-h%20Snowfall&offset=0&thumbs=1</a></p><p><br /></p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-15871735935385646872024-01-10T14:36:00.000-08:002024-01-10T14:36:56.453-08:00Heavy rain on expected Friday 1/12.<p>BOOOOOO! It will help relieve our drought situation though.</p><pre style="font-size: 14px; padding-left: 20px;">Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
309 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2024
…Heavy Rainfall Expected over Central Indiana Friday…
An active weather pattern this week will bring a second round of
heavy rainfall on Friday. Current forecast totals for Friday of
around one to two inches across central Indiana with locally higher
amounts will bring additional river rises after the responses from
early week rains of 1 to 1.5 inches. Area river and stream levels
have been very low up to this point due to ongoing drought, but this
round of heavy rainfall Friday could bring many river locations to
action stage, which will mean faster flows and higher stages than
have been seen in quite some time. While widespread flooding is not
currently expected, some smaller, faster responding streams and even
a few spots along the Wabash could see minor flooding develop
depending on rainfall rates and where the heaviest rain falls. Stay
weather aware and monitor for any possible flood watches or warnings
going into and through the weekend.</pre><p><br /></p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-52760409464091263692024-01-09T13:48:00.000-08:002024-01-09T13:48:15.766-08:00Indiana broke a weather record today!<p>The National Weather Service says central Indiana has set a new record for the lowest recorded January air pressure.</p><p>According to the agency, this afternoon’s pressure reading of 982.3 millibars in Indianapolis beats the old record of 984.4 millibars, set during the Blizzard of 1978 on January 26th that year.</p><p>The weather service says that Indiana is on the warm side of the low pressure zone, which means no blizzard conditions, but there will rain, snow and wind gusts of up to 40 mph tonight.</p><p><a href="https://www.wishtv.com/weather/weather-stories/indianapolis-sets-new-record-low-pressure-mark-for-january-on-tuesday/" target="_blank">From Wish Tv 8</a>:</p><p>"INDIANAPOLIS (WISH) — Tuesday has been filled with chilly rain across much of central Indiana. Spots in the Midwest have already picked up a half foot of snow in the states to our west.</p><p>Our low-pressure system today was strong, and took a track right over us. With that being said, history was made today. January’s record low-pressure mark adjusted at sea level in Indianapolis is 984.4 mb set back on January 26, 1978. More notably for us in central Indiana, that date and storm is known as the Blizzard of ’78.</p><p>At 2 p.m., our sea level pressure was 982.3 mb which broke the monthly record for January. Our pressure may continue to fall in the coming hours."</p>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-6326604071538324712024-01-09T13:29:00.000-08:002024-01-09T13:29:59.576-08:00The Polar Vortex will visit Indiana next week! (1/15/24)Get ready! After a month-long delay, the polar vortex will be visiting Indiana starting Saturday, 1/13/24. Check your car batteries. Check your insulation. Check on your pets and remember to let the faucets drip overnight next week. Minus 12 degrees Fahrenheit is rough.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiPMBiQivsYlV49kpVUk9NWXmhdDNZQtDMTU3h4TFub5_N8NsbkB3aS3S7Yw-15X7xHhFinqvfUFhh1YPKhyphenhyphenMS1QDCmJpeRNXEfR2RcpsIv3nCKCM1If6XCUJMSxZkegavU59jPcA8P8-MFxmut5HwxotmDC5ZaXlnEixE6rXIJxtLDaLdi-7T68pJGJ7U/s1120/Screenshot%202024-01-09%20162227.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="773" data-original-width="1120" height="442" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiPMBiQivsYlV49kpVUk9NWXmhdDNZQtDMTU3h4TFub5_N8NsbkB3aS3S7Yw-15X7xHhFinqvfUFhh1YPKhyphenhyphenMS1QDCmJpeRNXEfR2RcpsIv3nCKCM1If6XCUJMSxZkegavU59jPcA8P8-MFxmut5HwxotmDC5ZaXlnEixE6rXIJxtLDaLdi-7T68pJGJ7U/w640-h442/Screenshot%202024-01-09%20162227.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322016037022384338.post-48002046244578746722024-01-06T12:47:00.000-08:002024-01-06T12:47:33.586-08:00If you're a #BOTS fan then you're going to love the next 3 weeks!<p>Good news #BOTS fans! Just about all of the wx computer models are showing a very active storm track through the midwest and Ohio Valley. Buckle up! It's going to be a fun ride. We'll start out with some light snow showers and flurries tomorrow on 1-7-24. After that, the fun and games begin.</p><p>Right now, the cold air and /or the PV (Polar Vortex) is split into Siberia and Canada. Check these out: (The pink and purple colors represent the coldest air.)</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2NBUTmOQw7ady3QjSobP-AVOcj3Z8fdzMsDMjodme_zxKaPkymrsB0TGWQ0MjBA9cYOPIKKzIfAnAVolxCsLKc89bJBdegjSajXdESLBtb59chjRxajC9H6zHHqOa94Nj9kS8shn8G-_AzioRAuM-UqZT61CBtN5IjusUl2YHhhx0UIncWZg2EaULacg/s2444/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%202.50.08%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1362" data-original-width="2444" height="356" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2NBUTmOQw7ady3QjSobP-AVOcj3Z8fdzMsDMjodme_zxKaPkymrsB0TGWQ0MjBA9cYOPIKKzIfAnAVolxCsLKc89bJBdegjSajXdESLBtb59chjRxajC9H6zHHqOa94Nj9kS8shn8G-_AzioRAuM-UqZT61CBtN5IjusUl2YHhhx0UIncWZg2EaULacg/w640-h356/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%202.50.08%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhNucNjVJemhtAJGRys3C6cXzoiNElat9wFcHx6dADNEGEA8GvBmJ2BecMaqTEUyCFkJGQyOiuHdZvUmAMGDD9-3CB4MefIDk2Orfs92QtmyDpX1TNAUF1uLTcTwxDOyoOh23YNyuq2BTXHkeQ1p7vz7rjPYUtkmWWhUKepitB2ZwmK8d-6QQLIDlF64-s/s2866/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%202.53.14%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1428" data-original-width="2866" height="318" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhNucNjVJemhtAJGRys3C6cXzoiNElat9wFcHx6dADNEGEA8GvBmJ2BecMaqTEUyCFkJGQyOiuHdZvUmAMGDD9-3CB4MefIDk2Orfs92QtmyDpX1TNAUF1uLTcTwxDOyoOh23YNyuq2BTXHkeQ1p7vz7rjPYUtkmWWhUKepitB2ZwmK8d-6QQLIDlF64-s/w640-h318/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%202.53.14%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Temperatures will stay close to normal until January 13th and then the polar vortex looks move into town around the 15th.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQuUDOQgWCsa6kl5InmUISMo_ssTiQDLlJEluMOpcXwSKsQGrG5Mfsr3wNmA4P83_0Tw2JqY29LksrsYA-TpIVmBbP_qzjkSVuqpwSe2l8Bv6FXw2eLiKNROH9XxT2HyLiiWu9uzA4KLIlCVcFu9PoFDNCpNGhcP8vNAqhVLltk7UCg1MkJM9qTnjtngQ/s1806/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%203.01.42%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1264" data-original-width="1806" height="448" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQuUDOQgWCsa6kl5InmUISMo_ssTiQDLlJEluMOpcXwSKsQGrG5Mfsr3wNmA4P83_0Tw2JqY29LksrsYA-TpIVmBbP_qzjkSVuqpwSe2l8Bv6FXw2eLiKNROH9XxT2HyLiiWu9uzA4KLIlCVcFu9PoFDNCpNGhcP8vNAqhVLltk7UCg1MkJM9qTnjtngQ/w640-h448/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%203.01.42%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Take a look at the CFS forecasted temperature for January 19th. (-9F)</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6Z9J-dC5GXBHLhyCN-r2z17TofQNhHrx0d7UEmPEtl0ACC1Yo_1iUxPW24w_xBeTiOelPo2q2Juhp6lTO6MSSroowembrYzT6S_BbQRptSvIRpGjgnKur0saxKJ1QSteB0RpZ94dTrx1WQ7oPrzfVZxjz1eMteNEbO1spvRM60zzwbfBVAbXLqhzzYnE/s1804/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%203.04.37%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1264" data-original-width="1804" height="448" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6Z9J-dC5GXBHLhyCN-r2z17TofQNhHrx0d7UEmPEtl0ACC1Yo_1iUxPW24w_xBeTiOelPo2q2Juhp6lTO6MSSroowembrYzT6S_BbQRptSvIRpGjgnKur0saxKJ1QSteB0RpZ94dTrx1WQ7oPrzfVZxjz1eMteNEbO1spvRM60zzwbfBVAbXLqhzzYnE/w640-h448/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%203.04.37%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">The cold air looks like it will be in place until 2-7-24. After that, we return to our average temperatures for February. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">On the flip side, those of you in the south, as in southern Texas, Louisiana, Arknasaw, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia will see severe weather with the possibility of damaging winds and tornadoes between 1-8 and 1-9. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">So how do things look for Bloomington, Indiana? Well, I have my eyes on January 13th. This is NOT a forecast because it could end up being rain or clear skies but look at this! (INTENSE heavy snow *if* it were to happen according to the GFS)</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhey1QLZzsu0LBLUOe5rD3wibAVFDGcmRG3Tj9Vz-1SkcR8P_y9NGBKDih7ULBUOk2Tc_ssu0ZSK5nFJhFMRP39dgfhAdXfKWFTzi7EWOOSFnhkFz7Nb804o8DhQA6dw7e8V0YjEkXNfcaOiMRgNFm0642aH_yC60ImFF1CFdRSN_TYM4pABJkYNdaoFpc/s2852/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%203.28.57%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1416" data-original-width="2852" height="318" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhey1QLZzsu0LBLUOe5rD3wibAVFDGcmRG3Tj9Vz-1SkcR8P_y9NGBKDih7ULBUOk2Tc_ssu0ZSK5nFJhFMRP39dgfhAdXfKWFTzi7EWOOSFnhkFz7Nb804o8DhQA6dw7e8V0YjEkXNfcaOiMRgNFm0642aH_yC60ImFF1CFdRSN_TYM4pABJkYNdaoFpc/w640-h318/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%203.28.57%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Today through January 19th animation:</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjnh1uienGwBkOBG682kd4U5IvVE87Kk-ImQhyq_Xx6xS139JRgp_v5yrFkgUQb5p4oWcC8eG1Do0VibgWh7wayjCvvjdd7acugHJQ9phkjuA5rHKnVfS39Fhyphenhyphenz10mocj_vxmjIPsFrlE31kY95Q7I3q2SnGm1LeBQeSUGYpm3voYLPDmKvaUlwjGszunc/s1024/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh6-252.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="696" data-original-width="1024" height="436" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjnh1uienGwBkOBG682kd4U5IvVE87Kk-ImQhyq_Xx6xS139JRgp_v5yrFkgUQb5p4oWcC8eG1Do0VibgWh7wayjCvvjdd7acugHJQ9phkjuA5rHKnVfS39Fhyphenhyphenz10mocj_vxmjIPsFrlE31kY95Q7I3q2SnGm1LeBQeSUGYpm3voYLPDmKvaUlwjGszunc/w640-h436/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh6-252.gif" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">The Canadian model has more rain changing-to-snow type systems.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtnkJcpzJiRJ9cMVX0jAGnWSUYA-OcZIxSzfvX4Ig8PTtHmsge19gzedzz8EMNGZgw0_hH70RIlWAs3x247qG2ZG3d_UkTQ6mnTuCsSZZ0PdIaX13oer8uf2DZkSb_KsKCSs2PQ-zfwpDcLGryDGov2A4NJvr-8CDKGArTC0CKwblbk9JsDAd8pCSwSz8/s1024/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh6-240.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="696" data-original-width="1024" height="436" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtnkJcpzJiRJ9cMVX0jAGnWSUYA-OcZIxSzfvX4Ig8PTtHmsge19gzedzz8EMNGZgw0_hH70RIlWAs3x247qG2ZG3d_UkTQ6mnTuCsSZZ0PdIaX13oer8uf2DZkSb_KsKCSs2PQ-zfwpDcLGryDGov2A4NJvr-8CDKGArTC0CKwblbk9JsDAd8pCSwSz8/w640-h436/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh6-240.gif" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Also, it's interesting to see the European model agree with the GFS model on the January 13th storm.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6rE7Y5VJvhlp-dXKgVIfzi1IndNCmOL-Y6JWAKnOGgXleBW1Zo_jS4jVUZJdm8Xe6UHRIzrG4HtHlIQZ3wiLMqDOdB4olCuCJe3MVbwH27i9ncgpeizM13oAQWrSuEWf-9ODZjzwmvXOWiTX9jsOrexkzf7GrRfhHrSPoxupAotDjKGUcRixKHToJGHQ/s2846/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%203.39.28%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1408" data-original-width="2846" height="316" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6rE7Y5VJvhlp-dXKgVIfzi1IndNCmOL-Y6JWAKnOGgXleBW1Zo_jS4jVUZJdm8Xe6UHRIzrG4HtHlIQZ3wiLMqDOdB4olCuCJe3MVbwH27i9ncgpeizM13oAQWrSuEWf-9ODZjzwmvXOWiTX9jsOrexkzf7GrRfhHrSPoxupAotDjKGUcRixKHToJGHQ/w640-h316/Screen%20Shot%202024-01-06%20at%203.39.28%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div>Here is the latest analysis from the National Weather Service:<div><pre class="glossaryProduct" style="background-color: white; font-size: 12px;">National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
313 PM EST <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Sat" style="font-weight: bold;">Sat</a> Jan 6 2024
.Key Messages...
- Drizzle/patchy <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=fog" style="font-weight: bold;">fog</a> through the rest of the afternoon.
- A weak system tonight will bring additional light snow with
amounts up to an inch north of Indianapolis.
- Few changes to forecast with storm system Monday night into early
Wednesday; primarily rain and gusty winds expected much of the
event, with a brief <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=burst" style="font-weight: bold;">burst</a> of light snow accumulations possible at
the onset and ending Monday night and Tuesday night. Impacts to the
Wednesday morning commute possible.
- Yet another strong winter storm is possible in the Midwest late
next week into the weekend. Much too early for details but continue
to <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=watch" style="font-weight: bold;">watch</a> for possible impacts.
&&
.Short Term...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 312 PM EST <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Sat" style="font-weight: bold;">Sat</a> Jan 6 2024
Rest of Today.
Lingering low clouds and abundant near surface <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> has led to
occasional drizzle with lowered visibilities across central Indiana.
Temperatures at Indianapolis have only varied by 3 degrees between
31 and 34 since midnight and with sunset approaching, not expecting
any more than a 1 degree increase through the rest of the day. With
surface temperatures just above freezing, there haven`t been any
impacts from the drizzle but will continue to monitor this ahead of
the loss of the minimal daytime sun. ACARs soundings combined with
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=IR" style="font-weight: bold;">IR</a> satellite show that the top of the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=cloud%20layer" style="font-weight: bold;">cloud layer</a> lacks ice which is
leading to the drizzle vs snow as seen earlier.
Tonight.
This <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=cloud%20layer" style="font-weight: bold;">cloud layer</a> will begin to deepen later into the evening and
overnight hours with ice nucleation expected to begin around 7-8PM
which will coincide with a weak wave that is expected to move across
the northern counties to bring another quick hitting snow. There is
little to no <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=vorticity" style="font-weight: bold;">vorticity</a> with this system with snow being driven more
by lift within the 600mb to 850mb layer which is much less
substantial than what was seen during the overnight hours last night.
This snow should generally remain <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=isolated" style="font-weight: bold;">isolated</a> to points along and north
of I-70 with amounts no greater than an inch for most spots with
most areas seeing closer to 0.50". Temperatures tonight will remain
near steady state with lows in the low 30s with westerly winds
beginning to strengthen as pressure gradients briefly tighten across
the forecast area.
Sunday.
Similar weather is expected for tomorrow with some lingering low
clouds in the morning with drier air gradually working in. Non-zero
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=instability" style="font-weight: bold;">instability</a> will arrive by the afternoon with dry <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=adiabatic" style="font-weight: bold;">adiabatic</a> lapse
rates up to the top of the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=boundary%20layer" style="font-weight: bold;">boundary layer</a> at around 3kft with drier
air above it. This could have led to some brief convective snow
showers/light rain if the top of the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=cloud%20layer" style="font-weight: bold;">cloud layer</a> had been a bit
cooler combined with a weaker <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=cap" style="font-weight: bold;">cap</a> at the top of the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=boundary%20layer" style="font-weight: bold;">boundary layer</a>,
but with those limitations expect just a few areas of heavier
sprinkles or perhaps light snow mid to late afternoon with much of
the precipitation ending by noon.
&&
.Long Term...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 312 PM EST <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Sat" style="font-weight: bold;">Sat</a> Jan 6 2024
Very <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=active" style="font-weight: bold;">active</a> long term period across central Indiana, with at least a
couple of impactful systems <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=likely" style="font-weight: bold;">likely</a> for the region.
The first round of the week comes Monday night into early Wednesday.
A very strong <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=low%20pressure%20system" style="font-weight: bold;">low pressure system</a> will pull quickly northeast out of
the Texas Panhandle into central Illinois and northwest Indiana late
Monday into Tuesday evening. <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Ensemble" style="font-weight: bold;">Ensemble</a> guidance is very well
clustered with a low track near or just northwest of the northwest
corner of the forecast area, which will keep central Indiana in the
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=warm%20sector" style="font-weight: bold;">warm sector</a> and all rain for the bulk of the event.
However, Monday night presents an opportunity for a quick <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=burst" style="font-weight: bold;">burst</a> of
accumulating snow on the leading edge of the precipitation, despite
borderline near surface temperatures - forecast profiles show a deep
near-isothermal layer near or just below 0C, and with the onset of
strong frontogenetic forcing at the nose of the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=low%20level%20jet" style="font-weight: bold;">low level jet</a> Monday
night, dynamic cooling may offset midlevel warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=advection" style="font-weight: bold;">advection</a> for a few
hours either side of midnight and allow for a <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=burst" style="font-weight: bold;">burst</a> of briefly heavy
snow to accumulate, potentially up to an inch or two, primarily from
Indy northward.
However, strong low and midlevel warm <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=advection" style="font-weight: bold;">advection</a> as we approach
daybreak Tuesday will rapidly produce a changeover to rain, with
rain continuing through the day on Tuesday. <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Precipitable%20water" style="font-weight: bold;">Precipitable water</a>
values continue to exceed climatological 90th percentile much of the
event, with probabilistic guidance showing <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=rainfall" style="font-weight: bold;">rainfall</a> amounts in
excess of a half inch a virtual certainty (90%) and in excess of an
inch a significant likelihood (50-60+%), which may put a slight dent
in the longer term <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=drought" style="font-weight: bold;">drought</a> conditions. Some minimal upright
<a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=instability" style="font-weight: bold;">instability</a> is present in some forecast profiles, and given the
strong <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=dynamics" style="font-weight: bold;">dynamics</a> present throughout the depth of the <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=troposphere" style="font-weight: bold;">troposphere</a>,
some elevated <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=convection" style="font-weight: bold;">convection</a>/embedded <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=thunder" style="font-weight: bold;">thunder</a> cannot be ruled out, but
remain uncertain and will not include for now.
As the low continues to wrap up and move rapidly northeast into the
central Great Lakes, onset of cold <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=advection" style="font-weight: bold;">advection</a> Tuesday night will
promote a potentially rapid changeover back to a mix or all snow,
with potential for another brief <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=burst" style="font-weight: bold;">burst</a> of accumulations in the
plentiful wraparound <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=moisture" style="font-weight: bold;">moisture</a> before precipitation tapers off late
Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as the column dries from aloft.
Will have to monitor for possible impacts to the Wednesday morning
commute.
Some of the guidance suite produces a weak clipper-type system
moving through the Great Lakes late Thursday into Friday, with
additional potential for light snow or a mix across portions of the
area, particularly north.
Models then show another strong low somewhere in the region Friday
night into Saturday, but extremely large <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=ensemble" style="font-weight: bold;">ensemble</a> spread and model-
to-model inconsistencies give very low confidence on precipitation
types and amounts - but another round of impactful precipitation is
on the table.
It remains very important to avoid keying in on one model, one run,
or one cherry-picked extreme solution, particularly for the late
week system, and to instead monitor trends and updates from trusted
sources as the week wears on.</pre></div><div><div>Enjoy and have a great weekend!<br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><p><br /></p></div></div>Mehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03070028248271008980noreply@blogger.com0