The weather pattern is locking in.

Here's a quick update.

Expect rain on Tuesday and into Wednesday.

There will be tremendous winds on Wednesday. I'm seeing gusts of up to 60MPH. A high wind watch has already been posted so get ready.

Thanksgiving looks somewhat safe with a 50% chance of light rain.

An arctic outbreak looks likely between December 7th and 10th.

The winter pattern looks to be shaping up this way: Storms develop over Colorado and track off to the north-east while riding the leading edge of advancing cold air.


Calm and quite for the next two weeks.

Temperatures will SLOWLY warm up over the next two weeks. I don't see any snow chances. The pattern looks very quiet until November 29th. After that it looks like the pattern will begin to reload with the *potential* for fresh arctic outbreaks. If that fails to happen, I would expect December to be warm than normal and then turn colder towards the end of December and in to January. Stay tuned...

A taste of winter in November.

It's 11 degrees outside right now. That will also be the low temperature for tonight.


According to my measurements, we received two to two-and-a-half inches of snow.








#BOTS Fans!

Wooooo hooooo! I know #BOTS fans are happy. I honestly thought we would only see an inch of snow on grassy areas given how warm and sunny it was yesterday. What a nice surprise.

Please be very careful tomorrow morning into Wednesday morning. Wind chills will be in the single digits. Drive safely and dress in layers.

Send pictures if you have them and want to share them. Here's what I took after work today:







Rain / Snow mix right now in Bloomington, Indiana

The cold front has arrived!

Bad news.

I'm sorry folks but I've got the "bad news blues".

For #BOTS fans: Despite what you see on twitter and facebook, the National Weather Service is not forecasting snow in Monroe County Indiana for Thursday, 11-7-19.

NWS Forecast for: Bloomington IN
Issued by: National Weather Service Indianapolis, IN
Last Update: 6:45 pm EST Nov 6, 2019


Tonight: Showers likely, mainly between 9pm and 2am, then rain likely after 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 37. Calm wind becoming north 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Thursday: A 50 percent chance of rain before 2pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 42. North wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 21. North northwest wind 6 to 9 mph.

For Fall-weather fans: Forget it! Next week is going to feel more like January than fall so brace yourself. Check the air pressure in your tires. Check your car battery. Keep an ice scraper and a winter coat handy. Get ready! Here's the last discussion from the National Weather Service:

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 326 PM EST Wed Nov 6 2019

Clouds will continue to increase over the rest of the day as a
weak cold front approaches the area. Rain has begun to move into
the southwest counties and will continue to spread over much of
the state by tonight. A few snowflakes will be possible early
tomorrow as the front exits the area with dry weather expected
through the weekend. Another front is expected to move through
early next week bringing chances for precipitation and the coldest
air of the season.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Tonight/...

Issued at 326 PM EST Wed Nov 6 2019

Active weather is expected for tonight across central Indiana as
a weak cold front passes through the area. The front is expected
to be near Lafayette around midnight and be exiting the southeast
counties by around sunrise. This front will provide just enough
lift to cause scattered to widespread stratiform rain tonight. The
best chances for rain will be across the southern counties where
the moisture is highest. Further north, rain is expected to be
more scattered and end by the morning. A few snowflakes will begin
to mix in during the late overnight hours as the temperatures
continue to fall. No snow accumulations are expected. Winds will
begin out of the south at 5 to 10 mph and shift northwesterly as
the front passes with occasional gusts around 20 to 25 mph.

Low temperatures are expected to fall into the low to mid 30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Thursday through Saturday/...

Issued at 326 PM EST Wed Nov 6 2019

The primary focus for the period will be on the temperatures and
precipitation for Thursday morning as the aforementioned front
exits the area. There looks to be a brief period during the
morning hours where a mix of rain and snow is possible. Confidence
is fairly low in seeing snow with the cold air generally moving
in after the precipitation exits. No snow accumulations are
expected. Dry weather will is expected from Thursday afternoon
through the end of the period as high pressure builds across the
area. A weak upper level disturbance is expected to move over the
area Saturday and Saturday night but with little to no moisture,
precipitation looks unlikely with the only impacts being winds in
the range of 20-30 mph during the day on Saturday.

Temperatures will be well below average through the period with
highs in mid 30s to mid 40s Thursday and Friday and then the mid
to upper 40s on Saturday. Lows will range from the low to mid 20s.

&&

.LONG TERM /Saturday Night through Wednesday/...

Issued at 222 PM EST Wed Nov 6 2019

The long term will start out with slightly below normal
temperatures but models show a general agreement on a cold front
moving through Sunday night. There are some disagreements between
models on depth and timing of the front leading to a lack of
confidence on the timing of the precipitation along and ahead of
the front. At this time, precip is possible between Sunday evening
through Monday overnight. Some snow will likely mix in with the
rain and even switch over to all snow at times for the more
northern counties as temperatures drop. Cross polar flow starting
early next week is going to usher in significantly colder air
Monday through the end of the forecast period. By midweek, highs
will be near 30 degrees and lows in the teens. Wind chills on
Tuesday could dip down to the single digits.


And for all of us: The damn crows are back!