All quiet on the weather front for Thanksgiving.
There isn't anything interesting going on in the weather department this week. It might even be a good week to go golfing. The only thing showing up is rain on Sunday that might, just maybe, possibly, hopefully, turn to snow before ending. Both the American and the Canadian model are saying snow but the old trusted European model says dry and cloudy. Boooo! Here are both the American and Canadian models:
Here is what the National Weather Service is saying:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 1248 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2023 .Key Messages... - Good weather for traveling today and tonight - Dry and mild for Thanksgiving, then cooler for holiday weekend and beyond - Chance of rain showers Sunday which could mix with light snow
Saturday Night through Tuesday Brief ridging aloft during the first part of the weekend will buckle by early Sunday as an upper low pulls out of the central Rockies. The upper low will become absorbed by the mean flow while also serving as a catalyst for pulling polar jet energy into the upper Midwest and Great Lakes by early next week. Moisture will advect north out of the Gulf of Mexico late Saturday night and Sunday ahead of the original upper low and will generate light precip. Rain should be the main precip type but critical thicknesses are marginal late Saturday night and Sunday morning across the northern half of the forecast area...with snow likely to mix with the rain for a period of time. Precip rates will be light enough that this should not create much impact. Dry weather returns Sunday night into early next week as a large area of high pressure expands into the Ohio Valley in tandem with an increasingly sharp upper trough. Much colder air will advect into the region through the first half of next week with highs expected to hold in the 30s across much of the area. Overnight lows may dip as lows as the upper teens in spots Monday night. The chilly air is expected to linger across the region for much of next week with continued influence from an upper trough over eastern Canada into the Great Lakes and northeast U S.
Temperatures will flipflop between warn and cold between now and December 15th. I don't see any signs of sustained cold air until about December 17th. Take a look at the CFS temperature prediction for December 18th:
Looking for a White Christmas? The CFS snow depth chart looks interesting. Check this out:
#BOTS fans!
#BOTS Poem
I know, I know...
Not everyone likes snow
But if you do,
I have good news for you!
Thanksgiving is two weeks from now
And I think there will be snow to plow.
___________
I don't want to get everyone's hopes up but the last week of November is starting to look cold and snowy. Check this out: A classic comma shape!
Headache warning!
The rest of November will have wild temperature swings between warm and cold. This can cause headaches and trigger migraines. Here are some articles about how this happens.
Can Changes in Weather Trigger Migraine and Other Headaches?
Good news! #BOTS!
The computer models are now trending colder for the last week of November and snow is showing up right in time for Thanksgiving.
Good news / Bad news!
The bad news is that there will not be any snow for the month of November because the warm weather will continue for the rest of November or at least until November 28th. The good news is that the weather pattern will change around December 1st and I expect the first 1 inch snowfall to be on December 17th. Okay! I made my prediction. Go ahead and make yours! When do you think Bloomington, Indiana will see its first 1 inch snowfall? Pick a date!
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