.LONG TERM (Wednesday through Monday)... Issued at 329 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 The threat for severe weather will return on Wednesday as a low pressure system tracks across the Great Lakes region. Confidence on how exactly this system will play out is still lacking as models are showing multiple solutions for storms. The first thing to watch for is how the early to mid morning storms play out as there is some potential for those storms limiting the afternoon destabilization and reintensification in the afternoon to evening storms. The next uncertainty comes ahead and along the cold front in which the line of storms may move through as one wider line of storms or as a couple of subsequent lines. Regardless of the above, there will be ample warmth and moisture to work with as well as lift, instability, and shear making all severe hazards possible for central Indiana. The best guess at timing is still from late afternoon to early overnight with a brief hail threat during the Wednesday morning hours. Outside of the storms, gusty winds will also be a concern throughout the day Wednesday as gusts could potentially reach up to 40-45 mph at times. Higher confidence comes with the flooding concerns from Wednesday into the weekend as a boundary sets up in the Ohio Valley region, keeping a persistent band of training storms in the area. The boundary will meander some, but is expected to largely center over the Ohio River, just south of the forecast area. While the main excessive rainfall concern is for our far southern counties and areas further to the south, enough moisture and rainfall is possible through the week to extend the flood watch just north of I-70 corridor. There is still uncertainty in exact rainfall amounts but to give an idea, parts of south central Indiana could see anywhere from 5 to 10 inches of rain while along I-70 could see amounts of 4 to over 6 inches. Models indicate that the boundary should finally push off to the east by Monday allowing for at least a brief break in precipitation and a likely return to nearer to normal temperatures.
Historic flooding and extreme weather headed to Indiana tomorrow on Wednesday 4/2/2025
Snow in April again!
Winter just does not want to give up. Check out this model run for April 6, 2025
The dust storm is here in Indiana
March in Indiana = Tornadoes tonight and snow tomorrow!
Severe storms and tornadoes are possible tonight!
I'm issuing a Burl Alert for Saturday morning between 3:00AM and 7:00AM for severe storms and possibly a tornado. That's going to be the most dangerous time of the overnight hours according to hi-res data and the rotation tracking software. The National Weather Service has not issued a Tornado Watch yet but if they do, that is an additional reason to be alert.
Indiana Statewide Tornado Drill Happening Now!
It's sectionals week! And it's snowing!
You think winter is done? Think again!
Light snow and cold for the next 24 hours.
Bloomington is seeing light snow right now. There is a storm to our south that will graze us with more light snow tomorrow.
Surprise snowstorm for Bloomington Indiana!
The Bloomington Indiana snow hole 2025!
Sunday and Monday will be the last nice days for a while.
Freezing rain and thunderstorms in Indianapolis right now. Is this true?
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 912 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025 INZ028-035>037-043>047-054-055-065-060430- Warren-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam- Hendricks-Marion-Morgan-Johnson-Decatur- Including the cities of Williamsport, West Lebanon, Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, Zionsville, Clinton, Fairview Park, Rockville, Montezuma, Rosedale, Greencastle, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville, Indianapolis, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin, and Greensburg 912 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025 ...PATCHY FREEZING RAIN ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH SMALL HAIL... Patchy freezing rain will continue for parts of central Indiana this evening. Temperatures will warm slowly from southwest to northeast, ending the freezing rain threat by around midnight. Slick spots are possible mainly on untreated and elevated surfaces. In addition, isolated thunderstorms will continue to move quickly northeast across the area this evening. Some of the storms will contain small hail.
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 318 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025 INZ028-035>037-043>048-051>057-060>065-067>072-062030- Warren-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-Hendricks- Marion-Hancock-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-Rush-Sullivan- Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-Lawrence- Jackson-Jennings- 318 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025 This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana. .DAY ONE...Through Tonight. Light freezing rain is possible early tonight with minor ice accumulations possible on elevated surfaces. Best chance of freezing rain is north of a line from Terre Haute to Bloomington to Columbus. A few thunderstorms cannot be ruled out Wednesday Night. Severe storms are not expected, but lightning is a threat with any thunderstorm.
Punxsutawney Phil says six more weeks of winter and he is right!
Winter is coming back! Cold and snow to return in week two of February 2025,
The data says the polar vortex is coming back during the second week of February. You can count on it happening after Valentine's Day.
February is going to be a wild ride!
The pattern that is setting up for February is going to throw everything at us and it all starts next week. We could see rain, snow, ice, thunderstorms and possibly tornadoes in February as the weather keeps oscillating between warm and cold. Indiana will be right on the rain-snow line with a the potential for ice but anything is possible next week. The best advice I can give you right now is: Do not trust the weather app on your phone for next week!
Right now, here is what the pattern looks like: (excuse the ugly drawings)
There's data showing another sudden stratospheric warming event after February 10th. If that happens, the polar vortex will be on the move again but where will it go? We don't know yet.
Did you know that we are not halfway through winter yet?
Blizzard Warning: For Louisiana!
Blizzard Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 415 AM CST Tue Jan 21 2025 ...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA... .A coastal low moving across the northern Gulf of Mexico is producing periods of visibility reducing heavy snow and wind gusts in excess of 35 MPH in bands moving onshore. These bands will continue to move in and out of the warned area through the morning creating hazardous conditions to anyone exposed outdoors for extended periods of time. LAZ044-073-074-141>143-152-241>243-252-TXZ515-516-615-616-211800- /O.UPG.KLCH.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250122T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KLCH.BZ.W.0002.250121T1015Z-250121T1800Z/ Lafayette-West Cameron-East Cameron-Northern Calcasieu-Northern Jefferson Davis-Northern Acadia-Upper Vermilion-Southern Calcasieu-Southern Jefferson Davis-Southern Acadia-Lower Vermilion-Upper Jefferson-Northern Orange-Lower Jefferson- Southern Orange- Including the cities of Welsh, Jennings, Carlyss, Morse, Klondike, De Quincy, Iota, Lafayette, Fenton, Port Arthur, Sea Rim State Park, Sulphur, Church Point, Hackberry, Cameron, Nederland, Abbeville, Grand Lake, Beaumont, Rutherford Beach, Forked Island, Westlake, Johnson Bayou, Sabine Pass, Orange, Hathaway, Vidor, Topsy, Intracoastal City, Elton, Maurice, Gueydan, Bell City, Meaux, Kaplan, Moss Bluff, Lake Arthur, Hayes, Vinton, Rayne, Iowa, Creole, Mauriceville, China, Grand Chenier, Bridge City, Branch, Crowley, and Lake Charles 415 AM CST Tue Jan 21 2025 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas. * WHEN...Until noon CST today. * IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay in your vehicle.
The polar vortex and arctic air will arrive tonight and stay for 48 hours but the good news is...
I'm about to have a temper-ature-tantrum!
We all know it's going to be cold for the three days but...
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 932 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025 INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-062>065-072-182245- /O.CON.KIND.EC.A.0001.250120T0600Z-250120T1800Z/ Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery- Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke- Putnam-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan- Johnson-Shelby-Rush-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Jennings- Including the cities of Clinton, Spencer, Crawfordsville, Indianapolis, Fishers, Delphi, Lafayette, Martinsville, Parker City, Tipton, Plainfield, North Vernon, Attica, Greenfield, Fairview Park, Montezuma, Columbus, Williamsport, Greensburg, Frankfort, Greencastle, Covington, West Lafayette, Carmel, Franklin, Flora, Union City, Veedersburg, Gosport, Noblesville, Shelbyville, Rushville, Mooresville, Brazil, Rosedale, Lebanon, West Lebanon, New Castle, Greenwood, Terre Haute, Farmland, Bloomington, Zionsville, Winchester, Rockville, Danville, Muncie, Brownsburg, Nashville, Anderson, and Kokomo 932 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025 ...EXTREME COLD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, south central, southeast, and west central Indiana. * WHEN...From late Sunday night through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Very cold wind chills between 10 and 20 below zero are also possible on Tuesday and Wednesday.
My interpretation of the polar vortex this year.
There's a constant low pressure over the Hudson Bay that has been there for a long time. There's a blocking pattern off the coast of the southeastern US. There's also blocking pattern off the coast of the northwestern US. Add in sudden stratospheric warming in the north pole and this is what we get:
The rule of thumb is: If it's cold in Alaska, it's gonna be warm in Indiana. If it's warn in Alaska, it's gonna be cold in Indiana.
An excellent blog post by Amy Butler and Laura Ciastro on this season's polar vortex.
Wild temperatures wings coming.
Tuesday night's low will be -2 degrees.
Friday's high temperature will be 43 degrees with rain. Boooo!
Next Tuesday's high will be 10 degrees and the low will be -7 degrees.
Watch out for a big snowstorm during the last week of January, specifically between January 26-29.
The data for February is showing mixed results. Some of the data says warm and some of the data says cold.