Light snow flurries occurring in Bloomington Indiana right now.
There was some graupel on my car this morning.
The NWS has posted a Hazardous Outlook for Central Indiana
This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Outlook: The wind chill will drop to the teens and even upper single digits at times tonight. Discussion: A modified arctic front will move in from the north late today and tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Outlook: Snow showers will be possible Friday night and Saturday as an upper wave moves through the Ohio Valley. Light snow accumulation is possible. There will be another chance of snow Monday night and Tuesday with another wave. Discussion: Upper waves will reinforce the cold weather and occasional chances for snow to the area into next week. The wind chill will drop to the teens and even upper single digits at times.
Cold and snow coming soon, #BOTS!
.LONG TERM /Tuesday through Friday/... Issued at 220 AM EST Sat Dec 2 2017 High confidence that temperatures will be plummeting early in the long term. Models in good agreement that a strong cold front will sweep east across central Indiana early Tuesday. The 00z GFS and Canadian runs were quicker than 12z ECMWF were around 6 hours quicker with this front and lingering QPF. The blend seemed to side closer to the ECMWF solution. Confidence in exact timing is not great, but either way the bulk of the showers should end no later than Tuesday afternoon and likely earlier and temperatures will be falling in cold post-frontal advection. The next issue will be temperatures as models agree that various waves and high amplitude western ridging will allow for a deep trough to expand south and eastward over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley through the remainder of next week. Model 850 millibar temperatures fall all the way to the negative teens late next week. This modified arctic airmass suggests late week temperatures may struggle to reach the freezing mark over our far northern counties. Canadian and GFS in particular suggest a clipper system will drop southeast across the area Thursday night and Friday with the potential for our first light snow accumulation possible. Overall, blend temperatures may not be cold enough.
A pattern change is coming soon.
Enjoy the warm weather while it lasts. By December 6th we'll see sustained high temperatures in the 30's. There is a possibility that we might see some snow a week later between December 13th and 16th. This colder pattern looks to hold in place for about ten days to two weeks and I think the pattern will ease up a little just after Christmas but that is too far away to tell right now. So once again, enjoy the warm weather while it lasts.
Also, there could be a risk for some severe weather during the transition to colder weather on December 6th.
Also, there could be a risk for some severe weather during the transition to colder weather on December 6th.
Warmth to continue.
It looks like the warmth will continue until December 10th. After that, things look very intersting.
A line of storms is fast approaching.
2pm -5pm is the main event otherwise wind will be the problem.
The seesaw effect next week
Thanksgiving week will be a wild ride. High temperatures will be in the 50's some days and in the 30's on other days. Up and down... up and down. See the animation below for next week. I don't see any clear signs of snow showing up just yet. Hang in there,
#BOTS!
#BOTS!
The NWS long range forecast discussion for our area next week
.LONG TERM /Tuesday Night through Saturday/... Issued at 142 PM EST Sat Nov 11 2017 Quasi-zonal flow ends going into this period as several mid/high level shortwave troughs will move over the area and bring periods of rain. First wave will move from Alberta into the Great Lakes Tuesday and Wednesday bring the first round of rain, then the next one will move from the Pacific Northwest into the Plains starting precipitation possibly as early as Thursday night, more likely on Friday into early Saturday. There is low confidence in the precipitation starting as early as Thursday like the Euro, but maybe wait until Friday afternoon, which is what the GFS is leaning towards. Both models bring a southerly advection of moisture northward into the area, so there may be some moderate rainfall with each of these systems. At this point in time, it looks like the Friday system, but will keep a low confidence right now on the timing/intensity of the second storm system. Temperatures are forecast to be into the lower half of the 50s Tuesday through Thursday before falling into the 40s again Saturday. Low temperatures will generally be in the mid or upper 30s with the exception of Friday morning when lows are forecast in the low/mid 40s.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)