https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=0&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=full_disk&p%5B0%5D=geocolor&x=10848&y=10848
Will it rain tonight?
I certainly hope so. There's an 80% chance of rain and it should start after 8:00pm today.
The dust storm arrives a week from today.
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2020-06-21-saharan-dust-sal-caribbean-gulf-of-mexico-us-forecast
The dust storm arrives a week from today.
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2020-06-21-saharan-dust-sal-caribbean-gulf-of-mexico-us-forecast
It's raining in Bloomington!
Hallelujah! Bring on the rain!
I feel sorry for businesses on Kirkwood Ave. They just started curbside dining this weekend and now it's raining. You can read more about it in the IDS.
City council approves weekend Kirkwood street closing
Here are some pictures from yesterday:
Cooler temperatures arrive next week.
I feel sorry for businesses on Kirkwood Ave. They just started curbside dining this weekend and now it's raining. You can read more about it in the IDS.
City council approves weekend Kirkwood street closing
Here are some pictures from yesterday:
Cooler temperatures arrive next week.
SYNOPSIS... Issued at 321 AM EDT Sun Jun 21 2020 Periodic showers and thunderstorms will be possible throughout the short term period as several perturbations rotate around an upper low situated over southern Manitoba. The best chances, however, will be later today and again Monday and Tuesday. After a lull in activity around mid-week due to brief high pressure, the convective chances will increase again late in the extended period with the next upper level wave and associated surface front. Meanwhile, temperatures will start out above normal early in the period before falling to near or slightly below normal from Tuesday through Thursday. Another warming trend will commence late in the extended period. && .NEAR TERM /This afternoon/... Issued at 1009 AM EDT Sun Jun 21 2020 Surface analysis late this morning shows a weak trough of low pressure over southern Indiana. On a broader scale...strong high pressure was found off the Florida panhandle and Low pressure was found over Ontario. This was resulting in a southerly flow of warm and moist air to Central Indiana. Water vapor aloft shows a short wave over IL/KY/Wrn TN sliding east. Radar mosaics show an area of rain associated with the wave aloft pushing east. HRRR suggests the precip will be mostly focused across the southern parts of the forecast area this afternoon...as the best dynamics will be located there. Forecast soundings through the afternoon suggest nearly saturated column as these features pass. Thus will include highest pops across the southern parts of the forecast area this afternoon...trending lows toward the northern parts of the forecast area. Given the expected clouds and precip...trended highs slightly cooler than the previous forecast. && .SHORT TERM /Tonight through Tuesday Night/... Issued at 321 AM EDT Sun Jun 21 2020 Tonight, shower and thunderstorm chances will taper off from west to east across central Indiana with a lull over the western half of central Indiana between vorticity maximums. However, southwestern portions of the forecast area will slowly start filling in again with shower and thunderstorm chances by Monday morning as another vort max moves in ahead of a cold front. With the upper Canadian low also closer by that point, upper forcing will contribute further to higher shower and thunderstorm chances. As a result, will trend toward the likely and categorical Pops of the latest National Blend of Models initialization from Monday afternoon into Tuesday. As the Canadian low pushes farther eastward on Tuesday night, most of central Indiana will trend toward a dry forecast except for the east/southeastern counties where low chances for showers and thunderstorms will persist through Tuesday night. Temperatures will start out above normal on Monday with a southwest push of warm advection in the warm sector of a surface low. So, highs will top off in the upper 80s. However, they will dip closer to normal behind a cold front on Tuesday with highs in the low 80s. Overnight lows will vary from the upper 60s tonight and Monday night to low 60s by Tuesday night. && .LONG TERM /Wednesday through Saturday/... Issued at 253 AM EDT Sun Jun 21 2020 Surface high pressure building in from the Plains will bring some drying to central Indiana from Wednesday into Thursday with northwesterly flow bringing in slightly cooler temperatures and lower dew points. From Thursday through Friday the surface high and the best subsidence associated with it will be south of the forecast area. With little in the way of forcing but heat and moisture slowly returning, could see a few isolated showers and storms from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning. By Friday afternoon, though, better forcing arrives in the form of an upper wave and an approaching surface front. This will bring more widespread chances for showers and thunderstorms across the area for the weekend. Highs Wednesday should top out in the upper 70s to lower 80s, but mid to upper 80s are back on tap for the weekend.
We keep missing out on all the action.
It should have stormed here yesterday but it didn't. The prospects for today don't look so good either but maybe we'll get lucky.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 275 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 1249 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2020 INC005-011-013-015-023-031-035-057-059-063-065-067-071-079-081- 093-095-097-101-105-109-135-139-145-159-102200- /O.CON.KIND.SV.A.0275.000000T0000Z-200610T2200Z/ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 275 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN INDIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 25 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL INDIANA BARTHOLOMEW BOONE CLINTON DECATUR HAMILTON HANCOCK HENDRICKS HOWARD JOHNSON MADISON MARION MORGAN RUSH SHELBY TIPTON IN EAST CENTRAL INDIANA DELAWARE HENRY RANDOLPH IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA CARROLL IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA BROWN JACKSON LAWRENCE MONROE IN SOUTHEAST INDIANA JENNINGS IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA MARTIN THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ANDERSON, BEDFORD, BLOOMINGTON, BROWNSBURG, BROWNSTOWN, CARMEL, COLUMBUS, CUMBERLAND, DANVILLE, DELPHI, FISHERS, FLORA, FRANKFORT, FRANKLIN, GREENFIELD, GREENSBURG, GREENWOOD, INDIANAPOLIS, KOKOMO, LEBANON, LOOGOOTEE, MARTINSVILLE, MITCHELL, MOORESVILLE, MUNCIE, NASHVILLE, NEW CASTLE, NOBLESVILLE, NORTH VERNON, PLAINFIELD, RUSHVILLE, SEYMOUR, SHELBYVILLE, SHOALS, TIPTON, WINCHESTER, AND ZIONSVILLE. $$
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 408 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020 INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-102100- Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery- Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke- Putnam-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan- Johnson-Shelby-Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew- Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings- Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, Muncie, Winchester, Clinton, Newport, Rockville, Greencastle, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville, Indianapolis, Greenfield, Cumberland, New Castle, Terre Haute, Brazil, Clay City, Spencer, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, Sullivan, Linton, Bloomfield, Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington, Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, Mitchell, Seymour, Brownstown, and North Vernon 408 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020 ...Gusty Winds Again Today... Strong winds are expected throughout the day as a cold front moves through central Indiana. Southwest winds are expected at 20 to 25 mph with gusts peaking at 40 to perhaps as high as 45 mph this afternoon. Winds will diminish this evening. These wind gusts could easily blow around unsecured objects while making driving more difficult for high profile vehicles.
The direction of travel and radar plotting.
Check out the snow in Colorado below. #BOTS Colorado!
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 235 PM MDT Mon Jun 8 2020 COZ058-060-090445- /O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.200609T0300Z-200609T1500Z/ Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet- Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet- 235 PM MDT Mon Jun 8 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 6 inches...with 3 to 6 inches north of Cottonwood Pass. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Western Mosquito Range and East Lake County Above 11000 Feet and Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 9 AM MDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and poor visibility at times. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.
Rain and thunderstorms arrive tomorrow after 5:00PM.
If you haven't been paying attention, the remnants of Tropical Storm Cristobal will pass to our west tomorrow night. That will give us plenty of rain and thunderstorms. Central Indiana is under a slight risk for severe weather.
After that, temperatures cool off to the lower 80's for the rest of the week as it stays dry through the weekend. Our weather has been quite boring this year and we are in for more of the same according to the NWS.
After that, temperatures cool off to the lower 80's for the rest of the week as it stays dry through the weekend. Our weather has been quite boring this year and we are in for more of the same according to the NWS.
.LONG TERM /Thursday Night through Monday/... Issued at 356 PM EDT Mon Jun 8 2020 Models are close enough that the National Blend of Models initialization was accepted for most items. Quiet weather is expected throughout the long term with near normal to below normal temperatures. The upper pattern will transition from troughing to ridging. At the surface, a cold front with a secondary push of cooler air will move through on Friday, but it won`t have enough moisture to work with to produce rain. Otherwise high pressure will rule at the surface.
I love the 90's don't you?
Today's high will be 91 degrees in Bloomington. Please remember to drink plenty of water and stay hydrated if you are outside.
Oddly enough though, the air quality is going to be pretty good today.
Grass and tree pollen are at high levels so if you have allergies, you might want to stay in.
Here is the NWS analysis for the long term: (PS: There's good news at the end if you hate the 90's!)
.NEAR TERM /Today/... Issued at 313 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2020 A front is just to our north this morning, and this will slide southward through the area early today. No convection is expected along it, as convective temperatures appear unreachable and a strengthening subsidence inversion centered around 825 mb will keep the overall profile stable. Ample sunshine is expected across the area, and highs should be in the 80s across the area, with potential to hit the 90 degree mark across the far southern portion of the area. Blend handled this well and required no significant adjustment. && .SHORT TERM /Tonight through Monday Night/... Issued at 313 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2020 Surface high pressure over the Great Lakes will be the dominant force across the area throughout the short term, and the strong subsidence inversion will remain in place, along with a significantly less humid airmass, making for ample sunshine and fairly pleasant conditions. Blend temperatures appeared reasonable throughout. Temperatures will still be in the 80s across the area Sunday, with the 90 degree mark potentially sneaking back into our west on Monday. && .LONG TERM /Tuesday through Friday/... Issued at 341 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2020 Much of the extended period will see a transition from hot weather on Tuesday to a cooler and drier regime by late next week as the remnants of Cristobal interact with an expanding upper trough to aid in the shift in the overall pattern. The ridge aloft in place over the Ohio Valley to begin the week will be shifting to the east on Tuesday as the Cristobal remnants lift north through the Ozarks. Model guidance remains consistent in a predominantly due north track to the remnants that will keep the widespread heavy rainfall west of the forecast area with the remnant low in Wisconsin by Tuesday night and near the south end of James Bay by Wednesday afternoon. Scattered convection will become increasingly likely from west to east over central Indiana on Tuesday with the greatest risk for convection Tuesday night and Wednesday morning as a strong low level jet associated with the remnants lift through the region. Locally heavy rainfall continues as the primary threat with PWATs climbing above 2 inches. Remain concerned that potential for low topped convection in an environment with deeper BL shear and storm relative helicity may produce a conditional severe weather risk...but the timing late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning is likely to rob available instability. A large upper level trough over the northern Plains will help to kick out the Cristobal remnants to the N/NE Wednesday while ushering in a cooler and much drier airmass for later next week. Chances for rain will end by Wednesday evening as a cold front sweeps east. An amplified upper level flow will develop across the country with the ridge centered over Texas and the deep trough over Ontario. This will place central Indiana within a dry northwest flow regime as high temperatures slip back into the mid and upper 70s by next Friday and Saturday.
Tree pollen is back but a little later than last year.
You might see green treen pollen on your car the next few days. It can cause allergies for some people so please be alert.
ALWAYS be safe and ALWAYS listen to weather warnings! (Like ALWAYS!)
Another terrible tragedy happened in Australia in which a person drowned on a kayak a few days ago. DO NOT go kayaking when the weather professionals issue alerts for bad weather. Please don't do it.
The weather agencies in Australia said this:
A tweet by the Bureau of Meteorology in New South Wales warned locals of “a monster southerly swell up to 4 to 5 metres and strong winds,” encouraging people to stay away from rock ledges and check their skill level before going into the water.
That afternoon, the organization called beach conditions “dangerous,” citing “damaging surf” and “damaging wind” in the area.On Sunday, the New South Wales police released a statement regarding the suspected drowning death of a man believed to be age 43. The man was pronounced dead at the scene on the state’s south coast.
https://www.facebook.com/jeremy.worthy.12/videos/291233838586892/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYE2rX0rkUA
The weather agencies in Australia said this:
A tweet by the Bureau of Meteorology in New South Wales warned locals of “a monster southerly swell up to 4 to 5 metres and strong winds,” encouraging people to stay away from rock ledges and check their skill level before going into the water.
That afternoon, the organization called beach conditions “dangerous,” citing “damaging surf” and “damaging wind” in the area.On Sunday, the New South Wales police released a statement regarding the suspected drowning death of a man believed to be age 43. The man was pronounced dead at the scene on the state’s south coast.
https://www.facebook.com/jeremy.worthy.12/videos/291233838586892/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYE2rX0rkUA
Smooth sailing ahead!
After three weeks of boring weather, there were spectacular storms clouds this evening. I'm not sure how many people noticed because it happened so quickly. Here are my pictures from the south side of Bloomington near Bloomington South High School, Dairy Queen and Winslow Road.
After tonight and tomorrow we return to a very quiet and boring pattern.
I'm sorry for not giving an update for so long but the weather pattern we are in is very boring. When is the last time someone heard a tornado siren in Monroe County? Was it last fall?
Here is what the National Weather Service office out of Indianapolis has to say:
The latest radar image as of 10:00pm shows this:
I'm sorry for not giving an update for so long but the weather pattern we are in is very boring. When is the last time someone heard a tornado siren in Monroe County? Was it last fall?
Here is what the National Weather Service office out of Indianapolis has to say:
.SYNOPSIS... Issued at 243 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020 Showers with isolated thunderstorms will move in to the region this evening and will continue overnight. By tomorrow morning shower coverage will increase and move towards the southeast. Additional development of thunderstorms is possible tomorrow afternoon. By Friday night, dry and cool conditions will settle in and remain through the weekend. For next week, central Indiana will be positioned is a warm but relatively dry pattern. && .NEAR TERM /Rest of Tonight/... Issued at 922 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020 Scattered to numerous showers and some thunderstorms continued to push across the southeastern half of central Indiana this evening. This activity will continue to move east, so adjusted PoPs to reflect this. Meanwhile, another line of convection back across eastern Illinois looks to impact the northwest forecast area soon. Tweaked existing PoPs for this line. Convection should diminish some as heating is lost, but it shouldn`t go away completely with the upper trough nearby and a cold front approaching during the night. Not expecting any severe storms, but heavy rain and gusty winds remain possible this evening. Adjusted current temperatures as needed based on latest observations. Only needed to make minor adjustments to overnight lows. Previous discussion follows... Clouds are moving off to the north, providing periods of sunshine and partly cloudy skies for portions of central Indiana. Conditions look to remain dry for the majority of region this afternoon and into the evening, prior to the emergence of a weak wave from the west. Lingering boundaries created by this morning`s precipitation may initiate isolated regions of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon near the western Indiana border, therefor PoPs have been slightly increased towards the west. Dew points in the mid 60s will provide sufficient moisture for shower development late this evening as lift increases with the impending wave. CAPE values above 1500 J/kg should also be enough to initiate isolated convective clusters within these rain showers. However, the lack of resemblance of any jets aloft will hinder thunderstorm development and any updrafts that become robust should diminish relatively quickly. A thunderstorm with temporary small hail and gusty winds is possible this evening, but severe thunderstorms will be unlikely. Showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue into the overnight hours, and should start to curtail as the wave moves east of the region. Clouds should extend throughout central Indiana, limiting diurnal cooling and keeping overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s. && .SHORT TERM /Friday through Sunday/... Issued at 243 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020 By Friday morning, an upper level trough will approach Indiana, and with it a distinguished surface trough. Ahead of this trough, scattered to numerous showers will be present. Isolated convection is possible in the morning, but lapse rates will be limited given non-peak diurnal warming. Showers will be scattered during the morning hours in NW central Indiana. These showers will slowly move from WNW to ESE during the day. During the afternoon, as surface temperatures increase, convective lines may develop out ahead of a frontogenetical region. Increased thunderstorm development should be isolated to southeast portions of central Indiana, where the front is not expected to move through until earlier in the evening. Any variation in the progression of this front will alter where initiation will occur. Surface winds will increase ahead of the surface trough as the day progresses. Some regions, specifically towards the southeast, may experience brief non-thunderstorm inducing wind gusts greater than 20 mph. By Friday night, the upper level trough should be east of Indiana and a cooler air mass will settle into the region. Given decreased cloud cover and moderate cold air advection, temperatures were lowered slightly against model progs. Expect overnight lows to be in the low 50s. The remainder of the weekend will stay cooler than normal with highs in the low 70s. The presence of fairly robust surface high pressure, and a broad ridge aloft keep conditions dry with mostly clear skies. && .LONG TERM /Sunday Night through Thursday/... Issued at 213 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020 Upper level ridging will move in at the start of the period as northwesterly flow begins to end and temperatures warm. Much of the period is expected to be dry with small chances for rain and thunderstorms Monday night into Tuesday as a weak wave rides the upper level ridge. Best chances look to be across the northern counties at this time. A stronger wave arrives by midweek bringing better chances for rain and storms with potential of a complex of thunderstorms in that timeframe. Severe weather threats don`t look too high right now, but will be dependent on the timing of the system. The potential is also there for much of the area to see 90 degrees on Wednesday assuming the upper level wave tracks as currently expected. Temperatures will begin the period near to below average before quickly warming to above average the middle of next week. &&
Warmer tomorrow and a chance of storms.
80 degrees tomorrow with a 50% chance of thunderstorms.
Hurricane season officially starts on June 1st but there will be some tropical activity showing up on Sunday and Monday.
Other than that, there's not much else going on. It's a fairly quiet pattern with rain and some thunderstorms but nothing too severe.
Here are the national trends for temperature and precipitation:
Here is the latest from the NWS:
Hurricane season officially starts on June 1st but there will be some tropical activity showing up on Sunday and Monday.
Other than that, there's not much else going on. It's a fairly quiet pattern with rain and some thunderstorms but nothing too severe.
Here are the national trends for temperature and precipitation:
Here is the latest from the NWS:
.NEAR TERM /Tonight/... Issued at 251 PM EDT Wed May 13 2020 The thick cloud shield present north of a warm front from the southern Plains into the Tennessee valley continues to expand northeast across the forecast area slowly. Areas north and east of a LAfayette-New Castle line were enjoying a nice but breezy day with abundant sunshine and temperatures in the mid 60s. Over the rest of the forecast area...skies were cloudy with temperatures largely in the 50s. A few light showers continue southeast of the Indy metro. The isentropic lift that is assisting with the light showers will shift east of the area later this afternoon which should further minimize any showers coverage to isolated at best into the evening. The focus will then shift towards the approaching warm front which will lift across the forecast area overnight. Additional isentropic lift will develop and focus over northern counties as the night progresses...otherwise any scattered convection is likely to be dependent on increasing warm advection with the bulk of the better forcing to the northwest of the region. Will focus highest pops in the 06-12Z window as the front lifts through the region. Temps...temperatures are not likely to fall back much this evening with perhaps the exception of the northeast where temperatures may peak in the upper 60s to even near 70 late today before dropping back. As the front passes from south to north late tonight...may see temps rise several degrees prior to daybreak. Mid 50s a good bet for lows and that is handled well by guidance. && .SHORT TERM /Thursday through Friday Night/... Issued at 251 PM EDT Wed May 13 2020 Forecast challenges focus on chances for rain and storms throughout the period as a frontal boundary becomes quasi-stationary over the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes. The warm front will shift north into the Great Lakes on Thursday as ridging aloft becomes firmly established across the region and finally...finally brings Spring back to central Indiana after being gone for the last 10 days or so. A noticeably warmer and more humid airmass will settle into the forecast area south of the boundary on Thursday. Could still see lingering scattered convection Thursday morning before activity shifts away to the north with the boundary. Potential exists for some sunshine into the afternoon and with a strong S/SW flow...expect temperatures to skyrocket across the forecast area. Potential for scattered convection to redevelop once again in the afternoon but expect any storms to be largely dependent on available instability and steepening lapse rates through the boundary layer. The primary low level jet will remain focused to the northwest closer to the surface wave tracking into the western Great Lakes and should limit convective coverage into the evening over the forecast area. Robust linear convection is likely to develop ahead of the front extending from northern Illinois back into the central/southern Plains by Thursday evening. The frontal boundary will sag into the region from the northwest late Thursday night likely bringing the remnants of this convective line into the forecast area in a weakened state. A strengthening low level jet nosing into the area should be able to maintain convection all night but With just elevated instability present...expect storms to be largely subsevere with gusty winds...small hail and heavy rainfall as the primary threats. Even as the low level jet moves away to the east on Friday...the front will lag back across central Indiana for much of the day. With plentiful low level moisture and about 1000-1500 j/kg MLCAPE... expect widespread showers and storms periodically throughout the day. Categorical pops are warranted with a gradual shift south into the afternoon and evening as the front presses south. Models are now in good agreement on the front settling south of the Ohio River by early Saturday as weak high pressure over the Great Lakes advects drier and slightly cooler air into the forecast area. Temps...strong warm advection...some sunshine and breezy SW flow all support going above guidance for highs in most areas Thursday. Expect upper 70s and lower 80s across the forecast area. The combination of rain and clouds will keep temps lower Friday but should still see low to mid 70s in many locations. Utilized a model blend for lows Thursday and Friday night. Expect low to mid 60s Thursday night with slightly cooler air Friday night enabling a drop into the mid and upper 50s over the northern half of the forecast area. && .LONG TERM /Saturday through Wednesday/... Issued at 301 PM EDT Wed May 13 2020 Temperatures look to remain similar for the weekend with highs in the 70s and dew points in the low 60s. Overnight Saturday, another weak boundary will progress through, bringing in showers from west to east. Current timing of the surface low is variable. It looks likely that some rain will reach western portions of central Indiana by Saturday evening. Lower confidence in rain to the north and east for much of Saturday. Showers and thunderstorms look likely on Sunday along a quickly progressing cold front. Further updates will aid in pinpointing this weekends rain chances. A period of dry weather does look possible this weekend before and after the trough moves through. Most showers throughout the weekend will be convective in nature given the high surface moisture and decent mid level lapse rates. Weak upper level forcing and shear should limit updraft longevity and therefor lightning. However, instability will be sufficient for convective development, and any sustained updraft will likely be associated with some lightning. For now, the greatest threat for thunderstorms during the long term looks to be Saturday night and Sunday as a better area of low-level dynamics looks to promote updraft development. For Monday, a cooler airmass will build in leading to highs in the mid 60s and overnight lows near 50. By Tuesday however, temperatures look to return into the 70s. Some lingering moisture may wrap around bringing slight chances for rain to the north. High pressure will bring drier conditions for the rest of the long term.
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