Today's high will be 70 degrees and tomorrows low temperature will be 32 degrees.I think this will be our last winter-spring freeze.
Last snow of the season for south and central Indiana is tonight.
If it's not, I'll eat my hat! Here is the hi res 3k nam model for later tonight.
It's snowing in Bloomington right now.
It's hard to believe this is happening in the middle of April. Today is April 16th.
Severe storm risk increasing for Saturday.
Parts of Indiana were in the "marginal risk" category and now some parts have been upgraded to the "slight risk"category.
Did you see the green dust on your car this morning?
Yes, it's called pollen. The allergy season has arrived.
Lots of rain coming this weekend.
You'll want to enjoy today and tomorrow because it will rain for most of your weekend. Also, we are under a marginal risk for severe weather on Saturday. Remember that storms can form in the marginal risk areas just as we saw last week.
http://burlsweather.blogspot.com/2018/04/tornado-in-lafayette-indiana.html
http://burlsweather.blogspot.com/2018/04/tornado-in-lafayette-indiana.html
An Interesting factoid.
So, I wanted to know if it ever snowed in the month of May in Indiana. Much to my surprise the answer is yes. Sure, it's only a trace amount but is has happened. Here's the data from the National Weather Service.
Don't be fooled by the warm weather this weekend.
I know it feels like April Fool's Day has lasted well beyond its time but don't be fooled by the warm weather forecast for this weekend. Friday will be beautiful with sunny skies and a high of 75 degrees. You couldn't ask for a better day than that. Please get out and enjoy it if you can because old man winter will try to make another comeback next week.
Here is the NWS discusssion:
Here is the NWS discusssion:
.LONG TERM /Friday through Tuesday/... Issued at 330 AM EDT Tue Apr 10 2018 A large slow moving low pressure system will impact the region during the coming weekend, necessitating pops through the weekend. Thunder will also be a threat Friday night and Saturday and will carry at least a slight chance mention then, potentially ramping this up as we get closer to the end of the week. Unfortunately, while the long term will start warm, passage of the cold front associated with the low will bring another shot of cold air to the region and temperatures will drop back to well below normal.
Monday, April 16th and Thursday April 19th look particularly colder than average.
I wouldn't completely rule out seeing a few wet snowflakes after the passage of the cold front Sunday into Monday.
A brief warm spell and back to colder than normal temperatures.
.SHORT TERM.../Tonight through Sunday night/ Issued at 315 AM EDT Fri Apr 6 2018 Models are close enough that the model blend initialization was accepted for most items. The surge of colder air aloft and the upper wave will still be influencing the area at the start of the Tonight period. The NAM and short term hi-res models focus the best precipitation chances across the northern and central forecast area early in the period with the global models farther south. The NAM has strong frontogenesis across the Interstate 70 corridor at 00Z, while the RAP and GFS weaker and farther south. If the NAM ends up being right, this could create some banded heavier precipitation in the colder air, which would lead to a quick couple of inches of snow for parts of the I-70 corridor. With most models, including the SREF mean, keeping the best forcing to the south, will not buy into the NAM solution at this time. Will have to keep an eye on how things develop though. By sticking with the other models, will go high chance to low likely category PoPs this evening across the south, diminishing overnight. Precipitation type looks to be a mix of rain and snow south, with some snow central and north. Went with a dusting for much of the southern half of the area, with perhaps up to a half an inch some areas farther south. Cold high pressure will build in for Saturday and Saturday night, keeping conditions dry. A low pressure system will move into the area Sunday afternoon and night, bringing more rain and snow. There is the potential for 1-2 inches of snow for some areas with this system. Winter will just not give up. The model blend looks reasonable for temperatures. && .LONG TERM /Monday through Friday/... Issued at 250 AM EDT Fri Apr 6 2018 A fairly active period is expected through the long term, with weak systems bringing chances for precip early in the week and then again later in the week. Rain chances will increase and temperatures will warm significantly later in the period as a stronger low pressure system organizes near the end of the long term, placing the area solidly in the warm sector. While this may bring a brief period of the sorely missed warmth from this unsatisfying spring, guidance beyond the period suggests this will be only temporary. Blended initialization required relatively few minor tweaks.
Another Ghost Storm!
I don't think I've ever seen this before. The NWS (Louisville office not Indianapolis) issued a Winter Storm Watch for southern Indiana counties yesterday. Today it has been removed /canceled.
Light snow flurries in Bloominton.
Wow! What week. In the past few days it was 50 degrees on Sunday. Then it snowed Sunday night into Monday morning. Yesterday it 69 degrees with rain and storms plus we spent the second half of the day under a Tornado Watch. This morning there's light snow flurries and wind. What a way to open the month of April.
The line of storms has almost passed.
I don't see any tornado warnings happening for Monroe County. There looks like another 45 minutes of moderate to heavy rain, thunder and gusty winds. It could elevate to a severe thunderstorm but that's about it. I'm signing off. The radar looks pretty tame to me.
The line of storms slowed down.
The Tornado Watch that was due to end at 8:00pm has been extended until 1:00am.
Tornado Watch
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 31 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 730 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2018 TORNADO WATCH 31 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS INC005-011-013-019-021-025-027-029-031-035-037-041-043-047-055- 057-059-061-063-065-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-109- 115-117-119-123-133-135-137-139-143-145-153-155-159-161-175-177- 040500- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0031.180403T2330Z-180404T0500Z/ IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN CLARK CLAY CRAWFORD DAVIESS DEARBORN DECATUR DELAWARE DUBOIS FAYETTE FLOYD FRANKLIN GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK HARRISON HENDRICKS HENRY JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MADISON MARION MARTIN MONROE MORGAN OHIO ORANGE OWEN PERRY PUTNAM RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH SCOTT SHELBY SULLIVAN SWITZERLAND TIPTON UNION WASHINGTON WAYNE $$
Tornado in Lafayette Indiana.
This one was confirmed by radar and spotters who called in when they saw it. This is a classic case why people in the slight-to-marginal risk areas should also pay close attention to the weather. It's easy to assume that moderate risk areas is where all the severe weather will occur but it can occur in the slight risk and marginal risk areas too.
The second line of storms is almost here.
The second line of storms is approaching the Illinois / Indiana state border. There's a tornado warning in Effingham, Illinois right now. The estimated speed of the line of storms is between 55-60MPH.
We also saw a little bit of sunshine but not much. The temperature shot up to 69 degrees while the dewpoint sits at 60 degrees. This second line of storms is the main event. It would be best to stay inside and turn on your weather radio if you have one and check the radar.
We also saw a little bit of sunshine but not much. The temperature shot up to 69 degrees while the dewpoint sits at 60 degrees. This second line of storms is the main event. It would be best to stay inside and turn on your weather radio if you have one and check the radar.
It's not over yet.
Remember that the tornado watch lasts until 8:00pm. The second line of storms is still in Missouri and moving off to the east. There's a lot of sunlight that can break through between now and then.
Good news! The storm weakened.
Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 242 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2018 INC013-105-109-031852- /O.EXP.KIND.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180403T1845Z/ Monroe IN-Morgan IN-Brown IN- 242 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2018 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL MONROE...SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN AND NORTHERN BROWN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 245 PM EDT... The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire. A tornado watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for south central and central Indiana.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Bloomington Indiana right now.
A line of storms has arrived. Thunder and lightning can be heard and seen around town right now. Individual cells within the line are moving northeastwards.
Tornado Watch just posted for southern Indiana.
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 26 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 115 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2018 TORNADO WATCH 26 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS INC005-011-013-019-021-025-027-029-031-035-037-041-043-047-051- 055-057-059-061-063-065-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-105- 109-115-117-119-123-125-129-133-135-137-139-143-145-147-153-155- 159-161-163-167-173-175-177-040000- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0026.180403T1715Z-180404T0000Z/ IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN CLARK CLAY CRAWFORD DAVIESS DEARBORN DECATUR DELAWARE DUBOIS FAYETTE FLOYD FRANKLIN GIBSON GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK HARRISON HENDRICKS HENRY JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MADISON MARION MARTIN MONROE MORGAN OHIO ORANGE OWEN PERRY PIKE POSEY PUTNAM RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER SULLIVAN SWITZERLAND TIPTON UNION VANDERBURGH VIGO WARRICK WASHINGTON WAYNE $$
Sunshine just came out in Bloomington Indiana.
It's 11:56am and the sun is shining. That's bad news for this evening. This will add fuel in the form of heat and instability to atmosphere for this evening. Still no tornado watch posted for southern Indiana yet but, the NWS has issued a "Situation Report". In the report is states that,
"Individual Storms tending to track more east or east-southeast bound will have higher tendency to produce tornadoes."
So, if you have access to weather radar you'll definitely want to pay attention to how the individual cells are moving. Tornadoes are cyclonic and spin in a counterclockwise formation so any cells tracking southeast have the greatest severe weather potential.
"Individual Storms tending to track more east or east-southeast bound will have higher tendency to produce tornadoes."
So, if you have access to weather radar you'll definitely want to pay attention to how the individual cells are moving. Tornadoes are cyclonic and spin in a counterclockwise formation so any cells tracking southeast have the greatest severe weather potential.
From snow to 70 degrees and thunderstorms
Our season's first sever weather will likely happen overnight tonight and into tomorrow. My main concern is the damaging line of storms that forms after the low pressure crosses the Illinois / Indiana state line. See below.
Believe it or not, after this there's still more chances for snow heading into the weekend.
Believe it or not, after this there's still more chances for snow heading into the weekend.
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