#BOTS!

Snow is on the way! Bloomington will see it's first snow of the fall season on Thursday night overnight into Friday morning. The NWS is calling it a rain /snow mix.

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday night/...
Issued at 307 AM EST Tue Nov 6 2018

Dry conditions are expected tonight with surface high pressure
building into the area. Should be noted even though majority of
guidance has the area dry tonight, the NAM bring some small QPF
amounts to the area late tonight. Still think moderate confidence
in dry conditions, but not willing to go high on that. Dry weather
is then the rule until Thursday night when the next low pressure
system approaches. This system will also bring colder air with it,
and should see a changeover from rain to snow late Thursday night
as well but no accumulation is expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /Friday through Tuesday/...
Issued at 237 AM EST Tue Nov 6 2018

Surface high pressure to the southwest will largely be the
dominant force during the long term period. A departing low
pressure system may result in some light precip Friday morning,
but this will quickly move out. Models indicate a clipper type
system may move through the Great Lakes late in the weekend, but
at this time they keep precipitation largely north of central
Indiana. That said, this will bear watching, as these systems
often can squeeze out surprise precipitation.

Blended initialization handled things relatively well and required
only minor adjustments.