SHORT TERM /Saturday through Monday/... Issued at 305 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2019 Saturday morning looks mainly dry across the area, with lack of any appreciable forcing. By Saturday afternoon, though, an upper wave moving over the area could bring a slight chance for some showers and storms. Chances will increase Saturday night and hit their peak on Sunday with an upper wave and surface wave moving through. By Sunday night, subsidence should move in over the area and keep conditions dry through Monday. Temperatures will be near to just above normal through the period. People planning outdoor activities for the holiday weekend should note that there are some chances for spotty storms, but no day looks like a "washout".
Can we get to 90 degrees by Tuesday?
I hope so! One more 90 degree day would be awesome.
Could Hurricane Dorian become a cat 5?
Hurricane Dorian is expected to reach a category 4 before making landfall in Florida. Yesterday it was predicted to be a category 3. I think the day-to-day changes mean you should pay close attention to what's going on. 24 hours is a long time and the next computer model could show it weakening, staying the same or strengthening. Florida is already declaring a state of emergency so, if you have loved ones and friends in Florida, please urge them to take all the necessary precautions.
Now this is not a weather prediction but, I think climate change and global warming have made storms far more chaotic and unpredictable. Anything is possible in terms of track, location and amounts. Please follow the weather news closely.
Here is the latest from the NWS @ 5:06 PM ETD
Synopsis for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas 506 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2019 .SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Dorian near 22.5N 67.7W 986 mb at 5 PM EDT moving NW at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds 75 kt gusts 90 kt. Dorian will move to 23.8N 68.7W Fri morning, 25.2N 70.4W Fri afternoon, 26.0N 72.3W Sat morning, 26.5N 74.2W Sat afternoon, and 27.0N 77.7W Sun afternoon. Dorian will change little in intensity as it moves to near 27.5N 80.0W Mon afternoon, and inland near 28.1N 81.4W Tue. On the forecast track, Dorian should move over the Atlantic well east of the southeastern and central Bahamas tonight and on Friday, approach the northwestern Bahamas Saturday, and move near or over portions of the northwest Bahamas on Sunday. Dorian is anticipated to become a major hurricane as early as Fri and remain that way until landfall.
Now this is not a weather prediction but, I think climate change and global warming have made storms far more chaotic and unpredictable. Anything is possible in terms of track, location and amounts. Please follow the weather news closely.
Here is the latest from the NWS @ 5:06 PM ETD
Synopsis for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas 506 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2019 .SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Dorian near 22.5N 67.7W 986 mb at 5 PM EDT moving NW at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds 75 kt gusts 90 kt. Dorian will move to 23.8N 68.7W Fri morning, 25.2N 70.4W Fri afternoon, 26.0N 72.3W Sat morning, 26.5N 74.2W Sat afternoon, and 27.0N 77.7W Sun afternoon. Dorian will change little in intensity as it moves to near 27.5N 80.0W Mon afternoon, and inland near 28.1N 81.4W Tue. On the forecast track, Dorian should move over the Atlantic well east of the southeastern and central Bahamas tonight and on Friday, approach the northwestern Bahamas Saturday, and move near or over portions of the northwest Bahamas on Sunday. Dorian is anticipated to become a major hurricane as early as Fri and remain that way until landfall.
When does fall begin?
Well, there are two answers. Meteorological fall begins on September 1, 2019. Astronomical fall begins on September 22, 2019. So, what the difference between the two? Ahhh, so glad you asked. Check out this article from NOAA:
Meteorological Versus Astronomical Seasons
Lunch hour update.
There will be another round of showers and storms this evening. The high temperature will be about 88 degrees. After that, it cools off for the rest of the week.
As we await the arrival of September you'll happy to know that the average high temperature starts to drop from 85 to 83 degrees.
As we await the arrival of September you'll happy to know that the average high temperature starts to drop from 85 to 83 degrees.
The front has passed.
It's 71 degrees @ 8:25pm on the south side and it feels great. Temperatures have been upgraded a little for the rest of the week. It looks like low 80's instead of high 70's for highs but still not too bad. Here's a picture from earlier today.
Sever Storm Warning until 3:15PM for Monroe County
Severe Thunderstorm Warning INC021-027-055-083-093-101-105-119-153-201915- /O.NEW.KIND.SV.W.0166.190820T1830Z-190820T1915Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 230 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019 The National Weather Service in Indianapolis has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southern Monroe County in south central Indiana... Southeastern Sullivan County in southwestern Indiana... Knox County in southwestern Indiana... Southwestern Clay County in west central Indiana... Southern Owen County in west central Indiana... Martin County in southwestern Indiana... Greene County in southwestern Indiana... Western Lawrence County in south central Indiana... Daviess County in southwestern Indiana... * Until 315 PM EDT. * At 229 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles southwest of Linton, or 22 miles northeast of Vincennes, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... Bloomington, Vincennes, Washington, Linton, Bloomfield, Shoals, Ellettsville, Bicknell, Loogootee, Jasonville, Worthington, Odon, Dugger, Lyons, Carlisle, Elnora, Oaktown, Monroe City, Wheatland and Bruceville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.
Good news!
The heat is on for today and tomorrow and then the high temperatures will be in the upper 70's the rest of the week. Wont that be nice? For now we have to endure two more days in the 90's with a chance of severe weather today. Take a look at the NWS severe outlook potential for today.
The long range is looking pretty good but we'll see. From the NWS:
The long range is looking pretty good but we'll see. From the NWS:
.SYNOPSIS... Issued at 226 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019 An upper level weather disturbance over the plains is expected to generate thunderstorms this morning and push them across Central Indiana this afternoon. More storms will be possible on Wednesday afternoon and evening as a cold front is expected to push across Indiana. In the wake of the cold front...mainly dry and cooler weather will be expected for the end of the work week and weekend as Canadian high pressure builds across the Great Lakes. Chances for for showers and storms will return to the area early next work week.
.LONG TERM /Friday through Monday Night/... Issued at 404 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019 Below normal temperatures will prevail for much of the extended period in the wake of a cold front. This front will settle into the Tennessee Valley and finally Southeast U.S. by Friday, so the best chances for any showers and thunderstorms on Friday will be across the southern half of central Indiana. This is a low confidence forecast though as a large ridge of high pressure strengthens over the Great Lakes Region simultaneously. And, this will be the case through most of the weekend, just low chances for daily showers and thunderstorms across the southern portions of the forecast area. It won`t be until Monday when shower and thunderstorm chances increase as a warm front shifts into the region also bringing high temperatures back into the mid 80s after mid 70s (N) to low 80s (S) from Friday through Sunday.
Eye candy for #BOTS fans.
Accuweather and it's super long range forecasting. Check out the Halloween forecast.
Are people doing winter outlook predictions already?
Yes! Obviously is too early to know anything from this far out but the preliminary data is in. It looks like we might have a slightly warmer than normal winter but the data is subject to change. Don't worry #BOTS fans.
Here is the link to the data:
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/two_class.php
Temperatures for months Dec. to Feb.:
Precipitation for the months Dec. to Feb.:
Here is the link to the data:
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/two_class.php
Temperatures for months Dec. to Feb.:
Precipitation for the months Dec. to Feb.:
Of politics and weather and technology.
There's a fight going on between the FCC, NOAA, NASA, the US Navy on one side and the FCC on the other. What does 5G technology mean for the future of weather forecasting?
NOAA Warns 5G Spectrum Interference Presents Major Threat to Weather Forecasts
Some rain possible later this evening.
We should see some rain later this evening after a week calm and quiet weather. Temperatures remain in the mid to upper 80's for highs and the mid 60's for lows. This isn't too bad. I still don't see any 90 degree heat returning.
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