Hurricane Dorian is expected to reach a category 4 before making landfall in Florida. Yesterday it was predicted to be a category 3. I think the day-to-day changes mean you should pay close attention to what's going on. 24 hours is a long time and the next computer model could show it weakening, staying the same or strengthening. Florida is already declaring a state of emergency so, if you have loved ones and friends in Florida, please urge them to take all the necessary precautions.
Now this is not a weather prediction but, I think climate change and global warming have made storms far more chaotic and unpredictable. Anything is possible in terms of track, location and amounts. Please follow the weather news closely.
Here is the latest from the NWS @ 5:06 PM ETD
Synopsis for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas
506 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2019
.SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Dorian near 22.5N 67.7W 986 mb at 5 PM EDT
moving NW at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds 75 kt gusts 90 kt.
Dorian will move to 23.8N 68.7W Fri morning, 25.2N 70.4W Fri
afternoon, 26.0N 72.3W Sat morning, 26.5N 74.2W Sat afternoon, and
27.0N 77.7W Sun afternoon. Dorian will change little in intensity
as it moves to near 27.5N 80.0W Mon afternoon, and inland near
28.1N 81.4W Tue. On the forecast track, Dorian should move over the
Atlantic well east of the southeastern and central Bahamas tonight
and on Friday, approach the northwestern Bahamas Saturday, and move
near or over portions of the northwest Bahamas on Sunday. Dorian
is anticipated to become a major hurricane as early as Fri and
remain that way until landfall.
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