A beautiful day in the neighborhood!

We'll see another good day tomorrow before rain moves in from Tuesday night through Thursday night. But wow, it was a really beautiful day in Bloomington today.





A quiet and tranquil patter for a while.

There's not a lot to talk about in the weather department. I don't see any strong storms or turbulent weather ahead. There are chances for some rain here and there but everything looks fairly quiet. Enjoy the week ahead and don't forget to practice "Social Distancing".

Check out the eye candy here:



The blue 540 line dipping down in southern Illinois is the freezing line. Never gonna happen but it's great eye candy.

Look at how great the next two weeks are:



From the NWS:

.SHORT TERM /Tomorrow through Tuesday/...

Issued at 307 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2020

A slow moving low pressure system will continue rain and winds
gusting to 30 kts throughout the day Sunday. Rain is expected to
move off to the east by mid day but the breezy winds will likely
last until sunset. Brief ridging behind the low should keep things
dry across the area into Monday and will also lead to clear skies
Sunday night, allowing the temperatures to likely drop into the
mid 30s. Monday night then has a slight chance of rain with a low
level short moving through. Another low pressure system will
shortly follow behind bring a better chance of rain and thunder
starting Tuesday and lasting into the long term period.

Tomorrow will be slightly cooler behind the front, but
temperatures will return back to near normal temperatures by the
end of the short term.


&&

.LONG TERM /Tuesday Night through Saturday/...
Issued at 251 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2020

Wet and active start to the extended as a cutoff upper level low
and associated surface wave track slowly across the lower Great
Lakes through Thursday. Some model differences do remain over how
quickly the cutoff low moves through the area and subsequently how
fast rain chances diminish late Thursday...but confidence is high
at this point in a wet stretch through midweek with high pops
warranted Tuesday night through Wednesday for widespread rain and
embedded thunderstorms. Showers should become more scattered in
coverage Wednesday night and Thursday as progressively drier air
begins to advect into the region on the back side of the departing
system. Potential for 1 to 2 inches over central Indiana during
this 36 to 48 hour period. Highs will be kept down in the 50s and
60s Wednesday and Thursday with the rain and clouds.

The upper low will shift into New England by late week with
ridging aloft building into the Ohio Valley. Expect dry and warmer
weather for Friday into next weekend. Highs will recover into the
low to mid 70s by Saturday.

Light rain going on right now through the rest of tonight.

If you are observing Passover and running low on Manischewitz, this is your only option:



Even if you're not observing Passover, let's all hope that Covid-19 passes over all of us. Try some Elderberry Manischewitz.





A much cooler week coming up.

On a side note, did you notice the brief hail last night? The last two storms have produced hail. Luckily it was not enough to put any dents in your new car. Also, the most important part of this blog is the highlighted, bold-font at the end. Please read it!.

Next week is going to be cold. We're looking at highs in the 40's to low 50's and low temperatures hovering around the freezing mark. And... there's a 20% chance for snow Wednesday night. How about that? #BOTS!

Here's the latest from the NWS out of Indianapolis:

.NEAR TERM /Late Today and Tonight/...

Issued at 307 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

After a relatively dry afternoon, chances for rain begin to
increase as a surface cold front nears and helps bring forcing
that will interact with moisture aloft. The dynamics are all there
for severe weather late this evening and tonight, but with the
ongoing severe weather to the south, little of the Gulf air will
make it as far north as Indiana and will starve the state of the
instability needed for severe weather. That being said, a few
stronger storms will be possible, especially between 6 and 9Z as
some elevated instability works in ahead of the front. Damaging
winds would be the primary threat with storms tonight.

The surface cold front is expected to pass through between 9 and
13Z moving from the west to the east with very strong gradient
winds behind the front. Winds are expected to gust 40 to 50 mph
with some gusts as high as 55 mph shortly after the frontal
passage. Isolated 60 mph gusts are possible, but not high enough
to warrant High Wind Warnings, so a wind advisory will be placed
across the whole area. Highest confidence in the winds will be in
the eastern counties where the watch was placed yesterday.

Lows tonight will fall into the low to upper 40s, but will be
dependent on the timing of the frontal passage.


.SHORT TERM /Monday through Wednesday/...

Issued at 307 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

Winds will remain gusty through much of the day Monday as a 990mb
low passes overhead and continues to deepen as it moves to the
northeast. The strongest winds will generally be before 10 AM with
frequent wind gusts 40 to 50 mph expected through the morning and
afternoon hours. The threat for gusty winds that exceed wind
advisory thresholds decrease into the afternoon and an early
cancellation of the advisory may be needed if winds diminish below
criteria early.

As the wind threat diminishes, focus will then go towards the low
temperatures the next few nights as low temperatures drop into
the upper 20s and low 30s and frost/freeze headlines are
considered. Temperatures Monday night are currently expected to
drop to around 30 degrees in the north and around 32 to 33 in the
south. Confidence is medium that a freeze warning may be needed
with lower confidence in the need for a frost advisory as winds
are still somewhat high and clouds likely being in place. Dry
weather continues into Tuesday with weak high pressure building.
Better conditions for frost are expected Tuesday night with calmer
winds and less cloud cover.

Highs will range from the mid 40s to low 50s on Monday to the mid
to upper 40s on Tuesday and Wednesday. Lows will fall into the
upper 20s to low 30s on Monday and Tuesday nights.


.LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Sunday/...

Issued at 307 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

A much cooler than normal pattern will remain in place for much
of the period as the upper low pressure that will bring
significant weather to much of the eastern United States on Sunday
slowly wraps around in Canada. This nearly stationary low will
keep mostly northwesterly flow in place and allow for nights to
consistently drop into the low 30s through the middle of the week.
Frost/freeze headlines look likely Wednesday night, Thursday
night and Friday night. Some models indicate there may be a weak
wave that brings precipitation to the area during the middle
portion of the week, but confidence remains very low this occurs.

As we move into the latter portions of the week into the weekend,
the pattern begins to break with southerly flow returning and
temperatures climbing closer to normal. Weak upper level
disturbances may bring a chances for precipitation to the area
with the highest confidence late this week into the weekend where
highest POPs were kept.

Temperatures will be below to much below average for much of the
period with a warming trend into the weekend.


Ps: I know that people want more Spring-like weather like we had last week, but, I think this cold snap is a good thing. The people out at Bryan Park are not practicing "Social Distancing" at all (two people tried to hug me and I ran!) so maybe this cold snap will force people to stay inside during what I think is "Peak Week". The number of COVID-19 cases should peak a week from today.

If you are interested in some great data-driven computer modeling websites, check these out:

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

https://iu.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/460c6eb46be7403380091c377e591b0b

And Pss: If you do go to Bryan Park, take a yard-stick or tape-measure or any kind of stick and demand that people keep their distance. And wear and wear a fucking mask!



Tornado Watch for tonight! Could we see a snow-tornado or a "snownado"?

Nope! This is highly unlikely but I would like to point out that the first one was thought to have happened in Indiana back in March of 2012.


Read the full details about the original Indiana Snownado here:
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/weathermatrix/the-elusive-snow-tornado/44996

There have been other reports of snownadoes that you can read about here:
https://www.quora.com/Has-a-tornado-ever-formed-in-a-snow-storm

I only bring that up because the weather app on my device advertised a snow storm for next Tuesday.



And now of course there is a Tornado Watch out tonight for Monroe and surrounding counties.


Here are the details from the National Weather Service office out of Indianapolis:


Tornado Watch

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 91
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
725 PM EDT WED APR 8 2020

TORNADO WATCH 91 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT FOR THE
 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

INC005-011-013-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-041-043-
045-047-055-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-
097-101-105-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-133-135-137-139-143-145-
153-155-157-159-161-165-167-171-175-177-090600-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0091.200408T2325Z-200409T0600Z/

IN
.    INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTHOLOMEW          BOONE               BROWN
CARROLL              CLARK               CLAY
CLINTON              CRAWFORD            DAVIESS
DEARBORN             DECATUR             DELAWARE
DUBOIS               FAYETTE             FLOYD
FOUNTAIN             FRANKLIN            GREENE
HAMILTON             HANCOCK             HARRISON
HENDRICKS            HENRY               HOWARD
JACKSON              JEFFERSON           JENNINGS
JOHNSON              KNOX                LAWRENCE
MADISON              MARION              MARTIN
MONROE               MONTGOMERY          MORGAN
OHIO                 ORANGE              OWEN
PARKE                PERRY               PUTNAM
RANDOLPH             RIPLEY              RUSH
SCOTT                SHELBY              SULLIVAN
SWITZERLAND          TIPPECANOE          TIPTON
UNION                VERMILLION          VIGO
WARREN               WASHINGTON          WAYNE
$$




Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
118 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-091730-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, West Lebanon,
Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, Attica, Covington,
Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers,
Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, Muncie, Winchester, Clinton, Newport,
Rockville, Greencastle, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville,
Indianapolis, Greenfield, Cumberland, New Castle, Terre Haute,
Brazil, Clay City, Spencer, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood,
Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, Sullivan, Linton, Bloomfield,
Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington,
Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, Mitchell, Seymour, Brownstown,
and North Vernon
118 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Outlook: Thunderstorms are expected tonight. Some storms may be
severe.

Hazards: Damaging winds, large hail, isolated tornadoes, lightning,
heavy rain.

Timing: Highest severe threat will be from 800 PM to 1200 AM EDT.

Discussion: A cold front will move through the area tonight bringing
showers and thunderstorms. Severe storms are possible, with areas
southwest of a Terre Haute to Seymour line seeing the highest chances
for severe weather. Remain weather aware today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Outlook: Breezy conditions are expected Thursday with gusts over 35
mph possible. Thunderstorms are possible over all or parts of the
area Sunday afternoon through Monday.

Discussion: Much colder air will flow into the area on Thursday.
Gusty winds will accompany the colder air. Frost and freeze concerns
will be around Thursday and Friday nights, as well as early next
week. A low pressure system could bring a few thunderstorms Sunday
and Monday.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed tonight.

.STORM MOTION STATEMENT...

The expected storm motion tonight is from the northwest at around 50
MPH.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

Please take this seriously! As of 8:20PM the radar has a lot of red and wind and convective energy to our immediate west. Please take this seriously. Get off of the B-Line trail and go home.








Happy April Fool's Day!

I hope everyone enjoyed the joke I posted below. My photoshop skills are not that great but I created that image with snow over Indiana. I hope no one is too upset with me. I'd hate to lose the only 3 followers that I have.