A much cooler week coming up.

On a side note, did you notice the brief hail last night? The last two storms have produced hail. Luckily it was not enough to put any dents in your new car. Also, the most important part of this blog is the highlighted, bold-font at the end. Please read it!.

Next week is going to be cold. We're looking at highs in the 40's to low 50's and low temperatures hovering around the freezing mark. And... there's a 20% chance for snow Wednesday night. How about that? #BOTS!

Here's the latest from the NWS out of Indianapolis:

.NEAR TERM /Late Today and Tonight/...

Issued at 307 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

After a relatively dry afternoon, chances for rain begin to
increase as a surface cold front nears and helps bring forcing
that will interact with moisture aloft. The dynamics are all there
for severe weather late this evening and tonight, but with the
ongoing severe weather to the south, little of the Gulf air will
make it as far north as Indiana and will starve the state of the
instability needed for severe weather. That being said, a few
stronger storms will be possible, especially between 6 and 9Z as
some elevated instability works in ahead of the front. Damaging
winds would be the primary threat with storms tonight.

The surface cold front is expected to pass through between 9 and
13Z moving from the west to the east with very strong gradient
winds behind the front. Winds are expected to gust 40 to 50 mph
with some gusts as high as 55 mph shortly after the frontal
passage. Isolated 60 mph gusts are possible, but not high enough
to warrant High Wind Warnings, so a wind advisory will be placed
across the whole area. Highest confidence in the winds will be in
the eastern counties where the watch was placed yesterday.

Lows tonight will fall into the low to upper 40s, but will be
dependent on the timing of the frontal passage.


.SHORT TERM /Monday through Wednesday/...

Issued at 307 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

Winds will remain gusty through much of the day Monday as a 990mb
low passes overhead and continues to deepen as it moves to the
northeast. The strongest winds will generally be before 10 AM with
frequent wind gusts 40 to 50 mph expected through the morning and
afternoon hours. The threat for gusty winds that exceed wind
advisory thresholds decrease into the afternoon and an early
cancellation of the advisory may be needed if winds diminish below
criteria early.

As the wind threat diminishes, focus will then go towards the low
temperatures the next few nights as low temperatures drop into
the upper 20s and low 30s and frost/freeze headlines are
considered. Temperatures Monday night are currently expected to
drop to around 30 degrees in the north and around 32 to 33 in the
south. Confidence is medium that a freeze warning may be needed
with lower confidence in the need for a frost advisory as winds
are still somewhat high and clouds likely being in place. Dry
weather continues into Tuesday with weak high pressure building.
Better conditions for frost are expected Tuesday night with calmer
winds and less cloud cover.

Highs will range from the mid 40s to low 50s on Monday to the mid
to upper 40s on Tuesday and Wednesday. Lows will fall into the
upper 20s to low 30s on Monday and Tuesday nights.


.LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Sunday/...

Issued at 307 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

A much cooler than normal pattern will remain in place for much
of the period as the upper low pressure that will bring
significant weather to much of the eastern United States on Sunday
slowly wraps around in Canada. This nearly stationary low will
keep mostly northwesterly flow in place and allow for nights to
consistently drop into the low 30s through the middle of the week.
Frost/freeze headlines look likely Wednesday night, Thursday
night and Friday night. Some models indicate there may be a weak
wave that brings precipitation to the area during the middle
portion of the week, but confidence remains very low this occurs.

As we move into the latter portions of the week into the weekend,
the pattern begins to break with southerly flow returning and
temperatures climbing closer to normal. Weak upper level
disturbances may bring a chances for precipitation to the area
with the highest confidence late this week into the weekend where
highest POPs were kept.

Temperatures will be below to much below average for much of the
period with a warming trend into the weekend.

Ps: I know that people want more Spring-like weather like we had last week, but, I think this cold snap is a good thing. The people out at Bryan Park are not practicing "Social Distancing" at all (two people tried to hug me and I ran!) so maybe this cold snap will force people to stay inside during what I think is "Peak Week". The number of COVID-19 cases should peak a week from today.

If you are interested in some great data-driven computer modeling websites, check these out:

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

https://iu.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/460c6eb46be7403380091c377e591b0b

And Pss: If you do go to Bryan Park, take a yard-stick or tape-measure or any kind of stick and demand that people keep their distance. And wear and wear a fucking mask!