.NEAR TERM (Rest of This Afternoon through Monday)... Issued at 243 PM EDT Sun May 3 2020 Thunderstorms continue to develop along a boundary across the southern forecast area this afternoon. Will have likely PoPs mid- afternoon, diminishing later this afternoon as the front begins to move away. Meanwhile, an upper level disturbance was bringing mainly sprinkles to Illinois. These sprinkles will move into central Indiana soon and then persist into early evening. Will have slight chance PoPs to cover them. (Dewpoints are coming down, so some of the rain should evaporate, especially north where dewpoints are lowest). After 01Z or so the entire area should be dry. High pressure will build in and allow skies to become mostly clear overnight. These conditions will continue into Monday morning. Clouds will then increase as another system approaches the area. For now it appears that any rain will hold off until after 00Z Tuesday, but it will be close in the far southwestern portions of the area. The NBM temperatures look a bit warm tonight given clearing skies and the colder air moving in. Lowered them a bit. The NBM looks reasonable for highs on Monday given the expected conditions. && .SHORT TERM /Monday Night through Wednesday/... Issued at 331 PM EDT Sun May 3 2020 A warm front, followed by a low pressure system moving up the Ohio Valley, and then an upper level wave trailing from the northwest, will bring showers to the area, particularly Monday night into Tuesday, with lower chances Tuesday night into Wednesday. Lowered blend temperatures on Tuesday in collab with neighbors. Otherwise blend looked reasonable. && .LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Sunday/... Issued at 331 PM EDT Sun May 3 2020 The next chance for showers will come late Thursday night into Friday with another upper level wave, then there will be another dry period before a third slightly more organized disturbance requires precip chances Sunday. Blend temperatures generally appeared reasonable, although depending on which model solution verifies expect these may trend gradually colder, especially toward the end of the period. May see one or more opportunities for overnight frost headlines late in the long term period.
Today's storm produced a small amount of hail.
Just about all of the thunderstorms we've had this have produced some hail. Fascinating.
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