The Indiana snow hole

Here it is:

Twitter is abuzz about snow in Indiana this weekend but once again, the GFS says nope. Look at how the storm goes around Indiana.

Here is the what the National Weather Service is saying:

.Long Term...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 256 AM EST Tue Jan 11 2022

Dry and quiet weather will continue into the the start of the short
term period. Central Indiana looks to sit under pretty persistent
upper NW flow, with a couple of transient shortwaves that may lead
to multiple chances for precipitation. The best chance for precip
comes late Friday into Saturday as models are showing a wave
separating off from the main flow pattern and becoming a small cut
off low. As we are still several days out, there is some variability
on the strength, timing, and track of this low, but there is
agreement at least in the low/ trough swinging across the SE states
this weekend. Some deterministic models are showing multiple inches
of snow with this wave while others show maybe half an inch, so
confidence is still low at this time and it`s too early to try to
nail down any specifics. The thermal profiles do at least support
snow, but much will depend on how far south the low ends up
tracking. If it ends up trending further south, central Indiana may
even end up being missed again for a decent snow event.

Additional chances for precip come with other short waves aloft, one
Thursday morning and another towards the end of the long term
period. Did up the PoPs for Thursday as models have been ramping up
the probability for some precip to fall over the NW. Kept with
guidance on dry weather for the end of the period given the lack of
confidence this far out, but will continue to monitor and add PoPs
in future runs if need be.

Temperatures will generally be near to slightly below normal through
the period, with the coldest days occurring this weekend in the wake
of the stronger low pressure system.