Good news, bad news and #BOTS! news

For #BOTS! fans, beware that winter is not over. For the other #BOTS! fans (bring on the spring / summer) there will be days in the upper 50's to 60's. The bad news is that flooding looks like it will continue to be a problem in the midwest as we head into March.

Here's what's coming up next. 60 degrees on Monday and 62 on Tuesday. A chance for snow Wednesday and Thursday. Ain't that classic Indiana weather?

In the longer range, I still see a LOT of cold air in the north pole and Canada and it has to go somewhere, either Russia, Europe or North America. The pink color represent temperature that are between -20 and -30F.




From the NWS:

.Long Term...(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 301 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022

Saturday night through Monday...

The long term will start off cold Saturday night as high pressure
will be overhead during the evening providing subsidence under an
inversion and amid a dry sounding. However, the high will then
scamper off to the east coast by Sunday morning courtesy of fast
quasi-zonal flow aloft. In that wake of the high, another episode of
prolonged return flow will allow temperatures to jump back to the
middle 40s and lower 50s Sunday and to the 50s to around 60 degrees
by Monday. This will also serve to bring deep moisture back ahead of
another developing Plains system. Could see rain return as early as
Monday afternoon.

Monday night through Tuesday night...

Energy within fast southwest flow aloft around the base of a western
trough will spin up a surface wave over Kansas, along a cross
continent front. The eastern half of this front will extend from
around southern Quebec to the lower Great Lakes and into the central
Plains on Monday. Deterministic models in general agreement the wave
will move across central Indiana on Tuesday. Deep moisture return
ingested into this system to the tune of near seasonal max
precipitable water values of 1 to 1.5 in combination with 300K
isentropic lift and potential upper jet streak interaction supports
widespread rain chances Monday night into Tuesday. Would not be
surprised to see another widespread inch plus storm total rainfall
if the track ends up a but further north than it is projected to be
at this time. This could result in delayed river flooding progress.

Gusty south and southwest winds should allow temperatures to climb
to well above normal with highs in the 60s possible. However, as the
system exits, temperatures will roller coaster back down to the 20s
and 30s Tuesday night.

Wednesday through Thursday...

Canadian high pressure will attempt to spread southeast into the
area late this week regarding temperatures, but the fast southwest
jet will spin up another low pressure system that could bring mixed
precip back to the area as early as Wednesday.



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