If you haven't heard about this yet, you soon will. I don't even think Ryan Hall is talking about it yet. All the models (including the AI version) are hinting at a big storm system between December 2 and December 5. When all the models are in agreement on it, it's likely going to happen. The only differences in the models are exact placement, timing and the type of precipitation.
Normally in November we have one more severe weather outbreak before we finally transition into winter weather and I think this will happen during that 11/2 to 11/5 timeframe. The most trusted model, the EURO has a severe tornado outbreak followed by heavy snow.
Keep in mind that this in the long range, or 15 days away so the forecast will change many times before then but just be alert for that timeframe. Expect to see something like this:
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