.LONG TERM (Sunday through Friday)... Issued at 248 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 Sunday and Monday... Guidance continues to agree that a deepening upper trough will produce a potent low pressure system that will move into the lower Great Lakes by Monday morning. 850mb winds in excess of 50kt will pump warmth and moisture into the area Sunday. High temperatures could reach around 70 degrees, with surface dewpoints in the 50s. Guidance is speeding up the cold front, with the potential for it to arrive in Indiana near 00-03Z Monday and moving out of the area by 06-09Z. The system will have some instability via strong advection of warmth and moisture, but arriving earlier could add a bit more instability. With strong wind fields in place, it wouldn`t take much instability to bring down damaging winds at any rate, so will continue to mention the severe threat Sunday night. Damaging winds will be the primary threat, but a few tornadoes may be possible along the line storms given the shear. The strong wind fields will lead to another breezy/windy period Sunday into Sunday night, with gusts near 50mph possible outside of any convection. For now believe winds will remain below High Wind Warning criteria, so do not feel a watch is necessary at the moment. A Wind Advisory will likely be needed though. Wrap around precipitation on Monday will be snow as much colder air moves into the area. Some light accumulation may occur. Temperatures on Monday will only peak in the upper 20s to lower 30s most areas.
The Ides of March will bring tornadoes and snow to south central Indiana on Sunday.
Beware the Ides of March!
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