Saturday musings.

There's a lot of upset people on social media, especially #BOTS fans. Some people thought we were going to get a big snowstorm and now reality is setting in. This is exactly why you don't trust long range models. If you've read this blog from day one, you already know that I have mentioned the three-day rule. Weather and stock markets have a lot in common. In the financial markets there are those who ignore fundamentals like the inverse relationship between stock and bonds. Those people are called "technicians". They only look at computer models and algorithms.The same applies here. Weather forecasting has a lot of fundamentals to understand than include many measurements, variables and pattern changes. These are the fundamentals. The other people, (lets call them weather technicians) just look at computer models. While both are helpful, you can't look at the technical side without paying attention to the fundamentals. That same is true for weather, finance and perhaps a few other subject areas. Nonetheless, winter is not over.