The answer is, we don't know. It's ten days away. Social media is wreaking havoc on weather forecasting. Remember, the indices drive the pattern, not the other way around. Always look at your current conditions and the indices first.
After looking at the indices you can get an *idea* about what *might* happen but the confidence level on that would be very low. Next, the storm needs to be sampled.
After that, you can start analyzing models for consistency.
GFS
JMA
GEM
The most reasonable conclusion that can be drawn is that a trough will dig in somewhere in the middle of the country.
No comments:
Post a Comment