.LONG TERM /Thursday Through Sunday/... Issued at 312 AM EDT Mon Mar 26 2018 Main focus for the short will be on timing of additional showery activity. Models were having timing differences with an upper trough that will impact the weather over central Indiana late this week and early weekend. The 00Z GFS is much quicker than the 00z ECMWF. Thus, the GFS moves out the rain Friday afternoon, while the Euro does not move it out until overnight Friday night. Prefer the Euro that most closely resembles the blend PoPs. Confidence in timing is not high, but at least it is consistent with the previous run. With that, said, will not make any changes to the blend which has high Pops Thursday afternoon through Friday. After a brief dry period, a weaker wave will bring more shower chances to the area for the late weekend. Confidence in exact timing is low as the wave is not very distinct. Confidence is not enough to make any changes to the blend, which brings small PoPs to all or parts of central Indiana Saturday afternoon and on. Models suggest snow could briefly mix in with the rain across the north Thursday night into Friday morning and again Saturday night into Sunday morning. That said, do not expect any accumulation. Blend above normal highs of 55-60 degrees looks good for Thursday. Then, temperatures should fall back to below normal in the wake of a frontal boundary by Friday. Confidence in blend trends is good if not precise temperatures.
Winter does not want to leave.
This year's winter season is stubborn. On the other hand, the good news is that when the cold weather persists it cuts back on the amount of severe weather and tornadoes we have in the spring. There's even a chance we could still see some more snow! No kidding. Look at details below along with the NWS discussion.
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