And the wild swing continues. After the snow this weekend, it's back to above normal temperatures. Here's the NWS full discussion:
.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 305 AM EST Wed Jan 9 2019 Models are close enough that the model blend initialization was accepted for most items. Clouds will linger tonight into Thursday across the northeast forecast area, which will be impacted by flow off of Lake Michigan. However, it looks like any snow showers will remain north of the area. Otherwise high pressure will build in and keep things dry with clear to partly cloudy skies. Clouds will increase Friday ahead of an approaching upper trough and low pressure system. Good forcing and decent moisture will move in Friday night with the system, and this should produce some snow for the area. Amounts are still uncertain, as the initialization`s QPF amounts are higher than WPC`s numbers. This is likely due to the NAM and ECMWF being more aggressive with QPF amounts. Not sure that much moisture will make it up here, but don`t have enough confidence to change the initialization at this time. MOS`s low temperatures for tonight look too cold many areas, with some clouds and wind around. Went closer to the blend. && .LONG TERM /Saturday through Tuesday Night/... Issued at 338 AM EST Wed Jan 9 2019 The focus of the extended period remains on the Saturday snow chances. Models are in decent agreement with a low pressure system tracking across Missouri on Saturday, spreading a plume of moisture ahead of it through the Tennessee Valley and into central Indiana. The bulk of the moisture will affect the southern portions of central Indiana with amounts in the 3 to 4 inch range, but confidence is also low in those amounts across that area due to rain mixing in on Saturday. Further north, amounts will be more in the 1 to 3 inch range where precipitation will generally stay in the form of snow, but where moisture will not be as abundant. As the system moves eastward, snow showers will end from northwest to southeast on Saturday night and Sunday. After that, high pressure will result in dry conditions through the remainder of the forecast period with temperatures slowly climbing back above normal.
No comments:
Post a Comment