The NWS is discussing snow chances for us next Tuesday night. Right now only minor accumulations are expected but I'll take it. #BOTS!
.LONG TERM /Tuesday Night through Saturday/... Issued at 203 PM EST Sat Dec 12 2020 ECMWF shows a moderate short wave pushing through the region on Tuesday night into Wednesday. An accompanying surface low is depicted to push across southern Indiana while the 700mb low is shown to push across the west central and northern parts of Indiana. Forecast soundings on Tuesday night through Wednesday mid morning show a saturated column with the entire column below freezing. Thus given this pattern some minor accumulating snow will be possible with this passing wave. Although timing and position could change quite a bit through Tuesday...at this time it could may for some snow falling during the Wednesday morning commute. Thus will have to stay tuned on this one and continue to monitor. ECMWF then suggests strong and large high pressure building across the region on Wednesday Night through Saturday in the wake of the upper short wave. GFS forecast soundings appear to dry out as a quick flow aloft provides little in the way of upper support. Thus will keep a dry forecast on Thursday through Saturday Morning for now. The ECMWF shows a deepening area low pressure over the plains on Saturday...placing Indiana in a SW surface flow ahead of this system. At this time forecast builder has not caught on to this feature...but given the upper support and the lower level organization of the system...chances for precip in later forecasts look like a good bet for next Saturday.
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