Snow looking more likely 1/20 Wednesday.

Woo hoo! I know  #BOTS! fans are getting excited. The NWS give us 60% chance of snow Wednesday night. High on Wednesdayis 30.

Also, I would like to talk about some basic points. There are lots of weather websites like weather dot com and accuweather that produce 15 day and monthly forecasts. While those are cool to look at, the standard of reliability and accuracy still holds true. As a general rule, forecasts are reliable for up to three days; today, tomorrow and the next day. After three days, the error rate increases slightly so any forecast for a month in advance is just speculation based on past trends.

When it comes to storms, they have to be sampled and this is where weather technology is outdated by 70 years. We are still using weather balloons to send up in the air to collect data on storms once they arrive on shore.

How Accurate Are Weather Forecasts?

 

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