Here's the latest!

There's a lot of buzz about the end of October. A lot of signals are pointing to a much colder pattern towards All Hallows' Eve. Some people are even posting about the possibility of snow. Just remember that a week to ten days ago the computer models suggested that we would be in a warmer pattern. This is the nature of weather. Things change rapidly and if you've lived in Indiana a long time, you know this to be true. Nonetheless, be careful about what you see on facebook and twitter.

Here's the latest discussion from the National Weather Service out of Indianapolis:

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 317 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

Models are close enough that the National Blend of Models
initialization was accepted for most items.

Quiet weather will continue throughout the short term with high
pressure and upper ridging building in.

Low clouds will erode tonight, but models often overdo how fast the
clearing will occur. Went slower than the blend.

Mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will then continue through the
remainder of the short term.

Temperatures will gradually moderate through the period. The NBM
looks a bit fast on the warm up on Thursday, so trimmed a bit.

&&

.LONG TERM /Saturday through Tuesday/...
Issued at 323 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

Two frontal systems are expected to move across central Indiana
during the long term. The first is a weaker system from Saturday
afternoon to the early morning hours Sunday. The Euro is more
aggressive on rain with this weak front than most of the other
models are showing, plus the trend for rain Saturday has been
diminishing as we get closer. For these reasons, kept PoPs low in
this timeframe. Most of Sunday should be dry before the next
frontal system approaches the area starting late Sunday night. A
better chance of rain and thunderstorms across the region exists
from early Monday morning through Tuesday morning ahead and along
an approaching cold front, with the potential for some of the
storms becoming strong to severe at times. Warm air advection will
keep temperatures above normal for most of the long range before
dropping back down to normal by Tuesday behind the cold front.
Gustier winds are expected during the day Monday and Tuesday with
wind gusts of up to 25 to 30 kts. Otherwise, winds will generally
be 3 to 8 kts out of the south.