I'm throwing the towel in.

I hate to say it but winter is pretty much over for south central Indiana. What do I mean by "pretty much"? I've seen it snow in early April so we will likely see very small amounts of snow from now until April. I don't see any big snowstorms on the horizon. Having said that, I am retiring the BOTS! fans hashtag until Halloween of this year. Maybe March might throw us a surprise but we'll never see it coming until very late in the forecast.

There will be some rain tonight and then it will be dry the rest of the week. Thursday night will be the coldest night of the week with lows in the teens. Bundle up if you're going out to The Bishop or standing in line for Pili's Taco Truck near by.


Well, here's the latest from the NWS Indy office:

.SHORT TERM /Tuesday through Thursday/...
Issued at 239 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2020

Model data suggest the cold front will clear the southeast zones by
the mid to late morning hours of Tuesday. Will keep some chance PoPs
in those areas until frontal passage. There are a few ensemble
members that hold the precipitation threat longer into the afternoon
hours of Tuesday over the south, but these are outlier solutions at
this time.

The rest of the short term looks to be dry, as a large strong high
pressure system settles into the area from the northwest.

Based on progged low level thicknesses, the GFS MOS lows for
Wednesday night look too cold. Will nudge the guidance lows several
degrees in that period. The remainder of the periods look OK for
now.

&&

.LONG TERM /Thursday Night through Monday/...
Issued at 303 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2020

Strong high pressure will serve as the primary influence for late
week into the first half of the weekend...maintaining dry and
chilly conditions across the region. Brief ridging aloft will
expand into the Ohio Valley as the high shifts away to the east
and return flow develops. Highs will recover into the 40s over the
weekend as a result.

An upper low over the southwest U S Saturday will track E/NE into
the Ohio Valley by MOnday with an accompanying surface wave. As
moisture advects north into the region with the approach and
passage of these features...will introduce precip chances Sunday
and Monday. There may be enough residual cold air remaining at
times to enable snow to mix in with the rain. This system will
usher in a return to a more active weather pattern for the last
week of February and into early March with continued hints in the
7-14 day period of one or two higher impact systems poised to
affect the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes.

&&

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