Does the upcoming winter storm have you stressed out and worried?
If so then stay away from social media! It will make it worse. What next, an ice storm tornado?
Updates and thoughts on the winter storm setup for central Indiana this weekend.
First off, remember to trust the professionals at the National Weather Service. They just extended the Winter Storm Watch southwards in the state of Georgia while everyone else is talking about northward trends. Kudos to the NWS.
Be very careful and suspicious of snow maps on social media.
The latest GFS model has started shifting the storm south again.
My guess is that the heaviest precipitation is in the far southern Indiana counties and the northern Kentucky counties. All points south of there need to worry about ice and losing power. Go to Lowe's and get a generator if you can afford one. The cold that follows the storm is to dangerous to be without power and heat.
Which track will the 1/24 to 1/26 big snowstorm take?
The upcoming winter weather for this weekend will be one for the history books. That is because of its impact and severity as well as weather forecasting in general. For about the last eight to ten days the weather models have been hinting at a very large snowstorm between 1/24 and 1/26. Eight days ago, one of the weather models gave us a whopping 58 inches of snow. After that, all the models sensed the arctic air intrusion from the polar vortex and began suppressing the snowstorm system to the deep south in states like Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi and Alabama. In the early morning hours of today, the computer models adjusted again to show the snowstorm system being in the Ohio Valley. There will always be variations in computer modeling and in both the AI models but this one has people fighting each other and being mean. At issue is the fact that the National Weather Service is continuing with its winter storm watches in the deep south. Some social media weather personalities are saying that the NWS is wrong and should not be trusted and the storm will hit the Ohio Valley. One of these solutions could be right or maybe some combination of both could be right. Whatever you do, just check your favorite source for weather updates for this weekend. Stay weather aware and be safe out there. And just as I am ending this post, the National Weather Service has posted Winter Storm Watches for our far southern Indiana counties.
Ps: I am not an expert. I have a hobby and an interest in chaotic systems, mainly in weather, climate, finance and the stock market.
The aurora borealis aka the northern lights will be visible in Indiana tonight.
A G4 geomagnetic storm happened today and that will cause the northern lights to be visible. Check it out. Hopefully the Hoosier will have won the football game by then.
Of holidays and broken records.
Happy MLK Day!
On this day in history back on January 19, 1994, Indianapolis saw a record low temperature of -27 degrees. The windchill was -43 degrees.
Computer weather models will drive you crazy!
So yesterday the GFS had an insane ice storm over Indiana for the last week of January while the EURO had rain and thunderstorms. Today the EURO has an ice storm and the GFS has rain and thunderstorms. The GFS is posted in my previous post. Here is the new EURO model showing ice.
Here is the new GFS model showing rain and thunderstorms.
The last week of January is going to be wild!
All of the computer models are showing some very extreme stuff lately and you'll likely see this on social media. Something is coming but it's still too early to say exactly what it is but please be weather-aware for the last week of January.
Who's excited about a three day ice storm? Anyone???
The National Weather Service in Indianapolis releases new experimental 72 hour winter forecasts.
They are also asking the public for feedback. Check it out:
Also, check out the Climate Prediction Center:
Beware of social media hype on snowstorm predictions.
Yes, there will be a snowstorm somewhere in the Ohio Valley between 1/23 and 1/28 but no one has any details this far in advance. So be very careful and distrustful of what you see on social media. Here are two such examples:
This would be Stephen King thriller novel if it happened.
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