Friday 2/12/16

The radar showed light snow showers over Bloomington very early this morning but none of it reached ground level. The air is just too dry. At 11:00am it's 25 degrees with overcast skies. The windchill is 16 degrees. The NWS (National Weather Service) is forecasting a 60% chance of snow for Sunday night. That means snow is more likely than not. It's still to early to talk about exact amounts and the track. I would even add precipitation type too. As low pressure systems strengthen to our south west, they tend to draw in warm air ahead of the storm. That means a rise in temperatures. The current forecast high from the NWS for Monday 2/15 is 36 degrees. As you can see, that is already above freezing so if the the NWS is forecasting snow, it is likely to be that heavy wet snow rather than the fluffy softer kind. Another thing to keep in mind is that the storm has not been sampled yet. That should happen later tonight and certainly but Saturday morning. I wouldn't put any confidence in a forecast until after tomorrow morning. There are still run-to-run inconsistencies in the models with the GFS (Global Forecasting System) giving the most bizarre outputs I've ever seen. Stay tuned. The weather around here is like Schrodinger's Cat. We could get snow, we could get ice, we could get nothing if the storm tracks to our south, we could get rain if it strengthens and turns quickly to our north. Anything and nothing are all on the table until the storm gets sampled.