Do you want to gain insight into the meteorological mind?

One of the best ways to understand what forecasters are thinking is to follow the forecast discussions. Here is how you do that:

Go to weather.gov
Click on your state
Click on your county ( your count seat will appear which is good enough)
Scroll down to the bottom left-hand side
Click on the link for forecast discussion

Here is an excerpt:

"

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

ISSUED AT 306 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

VERY COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN FOR THURSDAY
AND KEEP CONDITIONS DRY AND COLD. SKIES WILL AVERAGE PARTLY CLOUDY FOR
THE DAY...HOWEVER PORTIONS MAY BE MOSTLY SUNNY AT TIMES.

THEN MODELS ARE PREDICTING A FASTER MOVING SHORTWAVE DIVING
SOUTHWEST ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA BY AS EARLY AS VERY LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT. THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS AND/OR FLURRIES DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR AND
THEN LINGER THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE INDICATES A LULL
IN SNOW SHOWER/FLURRY ACTIVITY FOR EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. THEN THE
UPPER LOW STRENGTHENS AND SINKS FARTHER SOUTH AND PUSHES EASTWARD
NORTH OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY AND A FEW LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE
COUNTY WARNING AREA FOR FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE REST OF THIS PERIOD WILL STAY MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLD WITH
HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOW TEENS AND LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. THE
COLDEST APPARENT TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
WITH WIND CHILLS RANGING FROM AROUND -5 TO -10 FOR CENTRAL
INDIANA.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

ISSUED AT 220 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

THE BLENDED INITIALIZATION FROM THE REGIONAL SOFTWARE WILL BE
ACCEPTED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR SUNDAY WHEN THERE IS GOOD
CORRESPONDENCE BETWEEN VARIOUS FORMS OF GUIDANCE.

THE BLEND WILL BE USED WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE STATISTICAL GUIDANCE
FROM THE EUROPEAN MODEL AND THE GFS. THAT BOLSTERS CONFIDENCE.
HOWEVER THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN THE DETERMINISTIC
FIELDS OF THE EUROPEAN AND THE GFS AS WELL AS INCREASED ENSEMBLE
SPREAD. THAT REDUCES CONFIDENCE."

Hint: Remember run-to-run consistency?