Warm and rainy this week.

Well, I guess I shouldn't say warm. It will be warmer than average for January though. This current weather pattern we are in is a perfect scenario for an ice storm of the century at some point. Here is what the NWS has to say:

.LONG TERM /Friday through Monday Night/...

Issued at 250 AM EST Tue Jan 7 2020

Wet. Moist. Soaking. Did I say Moist?

Moist and wet weather is expected to start of this period as the
ECMWF suggests a very active weather pattern starting on Friday.
Aloft...a deep trough of low pressure is expected to be digging
through the American southwest...resulting in a SW flow of warm
and moist air that will flow into the Ohio Valley. Gulf Moisture
will be available on Friday as the departing surface high
pressure provided strong southerly flow. The ECMWF suggests a
frontal boundary setting up on Friday across Michigan and
Illinois...putting Central Indiana in the warm (and moist) sector.
Several short waves are then suggested to push through the Ohio
valley on Friday through Saturday...providing forcing with the
moist air mass. Forecast soundings shows pwats over 1 inch...very
high for this time of year. Thus we have trended toward
categorical pops on Friday through Saturday as rain looks like a
certainty. Flooding may result and we will continue highlighting
this via ESF for now. With FROPA on Saturday will look for steady
or slowly falling temps through the day...with highs occurring
early.

The cold front and surface low pressure system is expected to
depart on Saturday Night...allowing some dry air to arrive on NW
flow. This should result in some dry weather for Sunday. Another
warn front and warm and moist southerly flow is expected to
return on Monday into Monday Night ahead of yet another short wave
aloft. Thus will allow pops to return to the forecast then.



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