#BOTS fans!

It's way too early to tell with 100% certainty but it looks like there's a chance for snow during the middle of next week.
#BOTS!



.Long Term...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 305 PM EST Wed Nov 9 2022

A large upper trough will be approaching the area for the end of the
work week. A surface cold front will accompany the trough and move
through midday into the late evening on Friday. Meanwhile, the
remnants of tropical system Nicole will be absorbed into the upper
flow and impact much of the eastern third of the country.

There continues to be a trend for some of the rain from the remnants
of Nicole to reach eastern Indiana. Model ensembles agree with the
deterministic ones, so confidence is high enough to expand low PoPs
across roughly the southeastern third to half of the forecast area.

Rainfall amounts would be light though, with the vast majority of
moisture farther east. The cold front coming in from the west won`t
have any moisture to work with there as it will all have been robbed
by the tropical system, so will not have any PoPs associated with it
for central Indiana. Friday will also be fairly breezy ahead and
along the front with gusts potentially reaching up to 25 to 30 mph
throughout the day.

With the cold front moving through on Friday, temperatures will only
rise a little, up to around 60 across the SE, before becoming steady
or falling west. Lows Friday night into Saturday will drop to the
upper 20s.

The upper trough axis will move through on Saturday, keeping clouds
across the area. Any lake effect snow showers look to remain
northeast of central Indiana. Otherwise, high pressure will settle
in behind the front, so keeping a dry but much colder weekend in
the forecast.

Temperatures the remainder of the period will remain fairly steady
with highs ranging from the upper 30s to low 40s and lows generally
in the mid to upper 20s. The exception will be Saturday and Sunday
nights where the lows look to drop to the low 20s as the high passes
overhead.

Uncertainty ramps back up for Tuesday`s forecast due to a lack of
consensus on the next system set to move in. Models are showing a
surface low potentially moving through the Ohio Valley and could
bring precipitation with it. There is a bit more agreement than the
previous forecast so have accepted the introduction of PoPs for
Tuesday. Depending on how things pan out with this system, would not
be surprised by snow and a rain/snow mix Tuesday. It`s too far out
to nail down any details but certainly not buying some of the
deterministic solutions that are projecting several inches of snow.
Around an inch or less would be more realistic given the time of
year and the likelihood that precip should impact the area during
the day, but again, it`s too far out to nail down any amounts
just yet.



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