The good news and the bad news for central Indiana weather for March 2026.

It is such a beautiful day here in Bloomington Indiana. Please get out and enjoy it because we all know what happens during sectionals week. 

So the good news is that Spring is almost here. The bad news is that winter will not give up so enjoy today and tomorrow because a snow and / or ice storm looks possible for Monday. After that we will get a lot of rain and thunderstorms for the first ten days of March. And after that, the dreaded Polar Vortex returns for the middle of March. Look at this temperature profile for March 12. Freezing temperatures into Mississippi!

And how about 24 degrees for March 30?

 

If you live anywhere in between Indianapolis and Bloomington, now is the time to be alert.

Storms are firing up along I-70 and southern part of the state.

It's probably not a good idea to bike to work or bike home from work today.

Weather forecast update for 2/18/26 for central Indiana,.

It's a lovely day today! Enjoy Fake-Spring because it wont last long. Strong storms and tornadoes are possible tomorrow along and south of I-70. The time-frame for this looks like it will be between 3pm and 8pm. Rain showers will continue until midnight. Dewpoints will be key in determining how severe the storms will become. Dewpoints above 60 are dangerous and dewpoints below 60 will save us. 

The overall pattern will repeat for the next three weeks. Storms on Thursday and Friday. Cold for the weekends. Warming Monday through Wednesday. Wash, rinse, three-peat.

Winter is not over; not by a long shot!

It will be nice and warm tomorrow with a high of 70 degrees. The wind will pick up tomorrow also.

There are two major concerns right now. One is the strong winds that are whipping up wildfires in Oklahoma so much so that the smoke looks like rain on the radar. Four people are already dead. Red Flag Warnings are posted in several western states. 

The next concern is the severe weather outbreak and possible tornadoes on Thursday.

After that, winter returns on Sunday and so do our snow chances but let's focus on getting through the next 60 hours first.

https://www.cnn.com/2026/02/17/weather/fire-oklahoma-texas-kansas-colorado-climate

https://www.koco.com/article/oklahoma-wildfire-forgan-fire-beaver-county/70396179

A wild week of weather this week.

The snow has melted and now we have fog. It will be 70 degrees on Wednesday. Thunderstorms on Thursday and snow on Sunday. 

Just as usual, it looks like we will get snow for Valentine's Day.

Four different models are showing snow for Valentine's Day.  

Warming trend starts on Thursday but the Polar Vortex will return.

Light snow on Tuesday.

12 degrees Tuesday night.

9 degrees on Wednesday night.

22 degrees on Thursday night.

40 degree for a high on Friday.

It's going to be warmer through the middle of February however another SSW (Sudden Stratospheric Warming) event occured about three to four days ago so that means the Polar Vortex will come back by the last week of February and the first week of March. The CFS is forecasting a high of 52 degrees on February 13.

It's also forecasting a temperature of 10 degrees on March 6.

Here is the what the National Weather Service thinks of Rodent Forecasting:

I am a little bit concerned about an ice storm next week as we slowly warm up. It's pretty look at but no one wants ice. 

There will be six more weeks of winter.

That's according to the rodent that saw it's shadow. Happy Groundhog Day 2026!