The pattern seems to be locked in.

Well folks, the pattern seems to be set. This will be a quiet week. I don't see anything happening until Sunday night when there's a 40% chance of rain.

The overall pattern appears to be locked in. It goes a little something like this: A warm front approaches and brings a high wind storm and rain ahead of a strong cold front. Then the arctic air attacks and changes the rain to snow. The arctic air hangs out for a while and then retreats. Then it warms up before the next wind storm and rain arrives. As they say, "Wash, rinse, repeat."

Here's an example of what I mean:



Here's the latest discussion from the National Weather Service:

LONG TERM /Saturday through Wednesday/...

Issued at 304 AM EST Wed Dec 4 2019

Dry weather is expected to start the period with chances for rain
beginning late this weekend into early next week. Surface high
pressure will be weakening during the day Saturday ahead of a
surface cold front that will be approaching the area. Chances for
rain begin Sunday afternoon in as southerly winds advect
seasonably warm and humid air into central Indiana. Chances for
rain increase into Monday as the gulf moisture interacts with the
aforementioned surface cold front.

Current thoughts are the best chances for rain will be late
Sunday into Monday when forcing out ahead of the front is expected
to be strongest with the heaviest axis of rain south of the
forecast area. Small chances for rain continue into Tuesday with a
possibility of a rain/snow mix during the day Tuesday which be
dependent on how quickly the cold front exits the area and
precipitation ends. Dry conditions are expected for Wednesday
with strong cold air advection bringing the coldest temperatures
of the period.

Temperatures are expected to be above average Saturday through
Monday with below average temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday.

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