Today's storm produced a small amount of hail.

Just about all of the thunderstorms we've had this have produced some hail. Fascinating.





.NEAR TERM (Rest of This Afternoon through Monday)...
Issued at 243 PM EDT Sun May 3 2020

Thunderstorms continue to develop along a boundary across the
southern forecast area this afternoon. Will have likely PoPs mid-
afternoon, diminishing later this afternoon as the front begins
to move away.

Meanwhile, an upper level disturbance was bringing mainly
sprinkles to Illinois. These sprinkles will move into central
Indiana soon and then persist into early evening. Will have slight
chance PoPs to cover them. (Dewpoints are coming down, so some of
the rain should evaporate, especially north where dewpoints are
lowest).

After 01Z or so the entire area should be dry. High pressure will
build in and allow skies to become mostly clear overnight. These
conditions will continue into Monday morning.

Clouds will then increase as another system approaches the area.
For now it appears that any rain will hold off until after 00Z
Tuesday, but it will be close in the far southwestern portions of
the area.

The NBM temperatures look a bit warm tonight given clearing skies
and the colder air moving in. Lowered them a bit. The NBM looks
reasonable for highs on Monday given the expected conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Monday Night through Wednesday/...
Issued at 331 PM EDT Sun May 3 2020

A warm front, followed by a low pressure system moving up the Ohio
Valley, and then an upper level wave trailing from the northwest,
will bring showers to the area, particularly Monday night into
Tuesday, with lower chances Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Lowered blend temperatures on Tuesday in collab with neighbors.
Otherwise blend looked reasonable.

&&

.LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Sunday/...
Issued at 331 PM EDT Sun May 3 2020

The next chance for showers will come late Thursday night into
Friday with another upper level wave, then there will be another
dry period before a third slightly more organized disturbance
requires precip chances Sunday.

Blend temperatures generally appeared reasonable, although
depending on which model solution verifies expect these may trend
gradually colder, especially toward the end of the period. May see
one or more opportunities for overnight frost headlines late in
the long term period.

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