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There's a tiny chance to see snow flurries tomorrow.



Long Term...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Mon Oct 17 2022

* Widespread freeze conditions nearly certain multiple mornings
  early-mid week, particularly Tuesday Night which would officially
  end growing season

Model guidance remains consistent on the overall pattern for the
week with a very large and anomalously deep closed low roughly over
the Great Lakes early in the week before it steadily pulls
north/northeastward toward next weekend.

Models have been trending towards slightly better chances for
precipitation tonight which could continue into Tuesday over the far
north counties as the fetch from the backside of the low pulls down
lake effect moisture into the area. Given the below freezing
temperatures in the forecast for early Tuesday morning, the long
term could start out with some light snow or a rain/snow mix. The
ground should still be warm enough that there wouldn`t be more
than light accumulations on grass from overnight.

The long term will start out much colder than normal behind the
passage of a cold front with highs for the first few days staying in
the 40s to near 50 and overnight lows near to below freezing.
Tuesday night will see the best chance for widespread freezing
temperatures with a good chance of a hard freeze that night. This
should allow for the end of the growing season if the area does not
see that tonight. Thus, will not be issuing any further
frost/freeze headlines at this time.

For the latter half of the work week and into the weekend, the upper
low will slowly exit to the NE allowing for broad ridging to move
in. At the surface, a return to SW flow will also lead to a warming
trend for the end of the week. By the weekend temperatures are
expected to reach above normal with highs getting into the lower
70s.

Models are then showing, with great variability, another trough
approaching the area at the tail end of the period. This could bring
a better chance of much needed precipitation to central Indiana but
given the uncertainties, confidence is low for now.


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